New York Giants Vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Player Props & Picks (11/24/22)
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Get New York Giants Vs. Dallas Cowboys player prop picks & odds for the (11/24/22) matchup
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New York Giants Vs. Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Picks
It’s a tradition unlike any other – the Dallas Cowboys on Thanksgiving! In this article, I’ll break down my favorite player props to target from this exciting NFC East showdown between two 7-3 football teams. You can use the player prop search tool above to find the best odds for your favorite props in this game. Without further ado, let’s get to work.
Dalton Schultz Over 37.5 Receiving Yards (-110 DraftKings)
I gave out this player prop on Twitter and on the YouTube show, and it’s one of my favorite bets across the entire Week 12 NFL slate. Dalton Schultz is coming off a down game, but that was mostly a product of the Cowboys kicking the Vikings’ teeth in and not needing to pass the ball at all in the second half.
Prior to last week, Schultz had 49+ receiving yards in each of his four games this season with Dak Prescott. Dating back to last season, he’s hit the over on this receiving yardage prop in seven of nine games with Prescott in the starting lineup.
This week, Schultz is facing a Giants defense that ranks 30th in pass defense DVOA against tight ends per Football Outsiders, allowing six receptions for 59.8 yards per game to the position. In his last three games against the Giants, Schultz has averaged 70 receiving yards per game.
In addition to his receiving yardage prop, which I’d play up to 39.5, I’m also putting a unit on his anytime touchdown scorer prop. Schultz has five red-zone targets over his last two games, but he only has one touchdown all season. He’s due for some positive regression in that respect, and he came very close to hitting paydirt last week.
The best odds on Schultz’s touchdown prop can currently be found at +200 on DraftKings, but it’s always important to shop the odds on touchdown props in particular as they can very greatly. I’ll also be putting a half unit on Schultz to score the first touchdown in the game at +1100 odds on DraftKings.
Noah Brown Over 26.5 Receiving Yards (-115 DraftKings)
There’s nothing in this game that I like quite as much as the Dalton Schultz props, but it could be a solid afternoon for Noah Brown given the matchup. Against the Giants earlier this season, Brown came up with five catches for 54 yards despite catching passes from Cooper Rush with Dak Prescott sidelined with an injury.
The return of Michael Gallup from injury has obviously sidelined Noah Brown somewhat, but he still has five targets over the last two weeks and has played on 75% of snaps in every game this season. Brown came up with two catches for 42 yards last week, and he likely only needs a couple of grabs to hit the over on this prop.
Brown excels against man coverage, which the Giants run at the highest rate in the NFL. He’s averaging an elite 2.49 yards per route run against man coverage but just 1.23 yards per route run against zone, per PFF. While his usage is a bit tricky given the abundance of weapons in this offense, I like my chances with Brown getting a couple of long catches here.
Daniel Jones Under 193.5 Passing Yards (-115 DraftKings)
Daniel Jones has had a solid season in his first year with Brian Daboll, and it was easy to project given how much Daboll meant to Josh Allen’s rise into elite territory. However, unlike with Allen in Buffalo, Daboll has had to scheme this offense for Daniel Jones with hardly any real productivity from pass-catching talent.
Prior to his season-ending torn ACL last week, Wan’Dale Robinson was garnering a whopping 30% target share. While he’s an exciting rookie prospect, that was more emblematic of the overall lack of weapons in this offense. A return of Odell Beckham Jr. to the Giants wouldn’t just be fun, it might be necessary for this team.
The Cowboys have been stout against opposing passers all season, and they’ve allowed just two quarterbacks to go over their listed passing yardage prop this year. They’ve allowed just 174.5 passing yards per game and rank second in the league in pass defense DVOA. This would be a difficult matchup for Jones if he had players to throw to, and he simply doesn’t right now.