Get New York Giants Vs. Minnesota Vikings player prop picks & odds for the (1/15/23) matchup.
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New York Giants Vs. Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Picks
The Wild Card round is full of rematches, and on Sunday, we’ll see the Giants and Vikings face off after a thrilling matchup in Week 16 that resulted in a 3-point Minnesota win. With both of these teams having exciting skill position players, there’s plenty of value in the player props markets.
For more coverage on this and every Wild Card game, check out the Lineups YouTube page. In addition, be sure to use the player prop search tool above to make sure you’re getting the best odds for props from the Giants vs. Vikings game. Let’s get to work.
Saquon Barkley Over 3.5 Receptions (-130 FanDuel)
This prop is already juiced to the over, and if you’re looking for even money props, there are a couple below I like. However, I believe it’s okay to take the juice on this one. Saquon Barkley had eight receptions for 49 yards against the Vikings a few weeks ago, and this line is 4.5 catches below that.
Barkley is a brilliant pass catcher, and he has 4+ receptions in four of his last six games. The Vikings have allowed the sixth-most receptions to running backs this season, and it’s very clear as to why.
Minnesota has relied on its linebacker tandem of Eric Kendricks and Jordan Hicks against RBs, and they both rank outside the top 60 in PFF’s coverage grades among 89 linebackers with 130+ coverage snaps.
Take a look at this list of some of the running backs with 4+ catches against the Vikings this year: Zonovan Knight (5), Ty Johnson (8), Rhamondre Stevenson (9), Tony Pollard (6), Eno Benjamin (4), and A.J. Dillon (5). Barkley is arguably significantly better than all of those players.
I expect the Vikings to load the box a bit more aggressively in this game after Barkley averaged 6.0 YPC against them a few weeks ago, and the Giants will respond by looking to get the ball to their best offensive player through the air instead.
K.J. Osborn Over 38.5 Receiving Yards (-115 DraftKings)
I recommended K.J. Osborn to a lot of people in Best Ball drafts over the offseason, and it’s taken all year to come to fruition, but he’s finally starting to break out. Osborn has 59 or more receiving yards in three of his last four games, and two of those were 100+ yards.
Osborn played 59.1% of his snaps in the slot during the regular season, where he’ll primarily match up with Darnay Holmes. The Giants’ slot corner has allowed a 65.2% catch rate and a 90.2 passer rating, and Osborn can take advantage of that matchup.
T.J. Hockenson roasted the Giants with 13 catches for 109 yards and two touchdowns when they played a few weeks ago, but his prop line is set down at 4.5 catches and 47.5 yards. To me, that indicates the sportsbooks’ respect for the Giants’ coaching staff as Hockenson will be a focal point of their game plan here.
That will leave Osborn to take advantage of softer coverage, particularly when you consider the attention Justin Jefferson demands. Osborn has a 20.3% target share since Week 15, and I expect him to deliver with a strong performance given that increased workload.
Richie James Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (-114 FanDuel)
Brian Daboll deserves a ton of credit for maximizing the capabilities of this seemingly overmatched roster, and Richie James is a great example of that. Previously a seventh-round pick out of Middle Tennessee, James is beginning to break out in his first year in New York.
James had a team-leading 25% target share from Week 14 to 17, and he had a 31.3% air yard share over that span. He’s a slot receiver by trade as 88.7% of his snaps have come in the slot over the past month, and that’s great news against the Vikings.
Minnesota’s primary slot corner Chandon Sullivan has allowed a 79.1% catch rate, the fourth-highest among corners with 300+ coverage snaps, and a 108.5 passer rating. Sullivan is averaging 5.3 catches for 54 yards per game since Week 11, and this is a great opportunity for him to continue that production.
Isaiah Hodgins Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+290 FanDuel)
If you’re looking to take a flier on a longer-odds touchdown scorer in this game, Hodgins is easily the best value on the board. Since Week 13, Hodgins has an absurd 75% end zone target share as he’s clearly become a trusted receiver near the goal line.
With that end zone target share, Hodgins has four touchdowns in his last five games, including one against the Vikings. In Week 17, Hodgins’ last regular season action, he ran 41% of his routes out of the slot, which was by far a season-high. That would give him an opportunity to work against the highly vulnerable Chandon Sullivan.
Even if Hodgins is spending more time on the boundary, he had four catches for 57 yards and a score with Patrick Peterson as the nearest defender in that Week 16 matchup.
This game also has an over/under of 48.5 points, the highest of the week, and while I’m personally playing the under, there’s still plenty of room for touchdowns to be scored in this game environment.