New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Player Props & Picks (1/8/2023)
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Get New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles anytime touchdown picks & odds for the (01/08/2023) matchup along with updated player prop odds for each player in the game.
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New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Picks
The week 18 matchup between the host Philadelphia Eagles (13-3) and their division rival New York Giants (9-6-1) is of critical importance for the home team, but means virtually nothing for the visitors.
With a win, the Eagles will clinch the NFC East division championship and lock up the top seed in the conference and home field advantage throughout the playoffs. On the other hand, the Giants are locked into the sixth seed in the NFC no matter what happens this week.
As a result, there is a high level of uncertainty about what players will actually be playing in this game. Eagles QB Jalen Hurts is expected to return after missing the last two games with a shoulder injury, but as of this writing on Saturday afternoon, he is still officially listed as questionable on the injury report. The rest of the Eagles’ usual starters are expected to play and help them secure the #1 seed, but in the event of a lopsided game, some of them are likely to be riding the bench for a large portion of the second half.
The Giants are widely expected to rest most of their key starters, such as quarterback Daniel Jones, running back Saquon Barkley, and defensive linemen Leonard Williams and Kayvon Thibodeaux. But they still have to field a team, so some of their regular players should still see some action.
With all this uncertainty, sportsbooks had hardly released any player prop odds for this game at the time this article was published. As such, we’re going to focus on anytime touchdown odds and offer our favorite picks for players we expect to find the endzone in this Giants vs. Eagles regular season finale.
Boston Scott anytime touchdown (+400 at DraftKings)
Scott may have a very limited role in the Eagles’ offense this season, but he has been nothing short of a Giant Killer in his career. There is no good explanation for it, but for some reason the Eagles just love using Scott against the Giants, and he consistently delivers for them.
In a game in which lead running back Miles Sanders should still see the bulk of the work, I still expect Scott to get plenty of run, especially if the game turns into a blowout with the Eagles’ starters overmatching the Giants’ backups.
In his seven career games against the Giants, Scott has more yards (360) and more touchdowns (8) than he does against any other team. In two games last year, Scott tallied 27 carries, 105 yards and two touchdowns. He had 60 carries and 268 yards in his other 14 games.
Scott also had his best game of this season against the Giants in week 14, averaging a season-high 5.5 yards per carry and scoring a touchdown. I cashed in on a Scott anytime touchdown in that game at +900 odds. With +400 odds this week, I am absolutely going back to the well and picking Scott as my favorite value for an anytime touchdown in this game.
Since most of Scott’s workload should come in the second half, I would also be interested in a dart throw at Scott to score the last touchdown of the game, which comes with juicy +2800 odds.
Devonta Smith anytime touchdown (+150 at BetRivers)
Smith has been on an absolute tear over the last five weeks, going over 100 yards receiving in four out of five games and catching 32 passes for 520 yards (16.25/reception) and four touchdowns. While A.J. Brown has more yards and touchdowns this season and has received more attention, Smith is actually leading the Eagles in receptions with 88, a new franchise record for catches by a wide receiver (tight end Zach Ertz and running back Brian Westbrook are the only players with more).
I like the chances for Smith to continue his hot streak by scoring another touchdown in this game. The Giants’ secondary has been decimated by injuries, so ironically that may be one unit where they will not even be able to rest their starters, since it’s mostly all backups already.
When the Eagles get in the red zone, Jalen Hurts has usually been the guy that punches it in. But if the Eagles are trying to limit his exposure in this game, they may play it safer and call more pass plays. With his precise route running and incredible ability to catch in traffic, Smith will benefit from that adjustment.
Matt Breida anytime touchdown (+280 at FanDuel)
It’s very hard to bet on any Giants in this game given the uncertainty over playing time, but one player who we can be fairly confident will see a high snap share is Breida. Saquon Barkley is the Giants’ most important player, and with his recent injury history, if they are going to play it safe with anybody outside of the quarterback, it’s going to be Barkley.
Breida is the next man up, and I don’t expect him to be a player the Giants choose to rest. Breida is a capable veteran who the Giants could lean on rather than asking for backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor to carry the load offensively. There is always a chance the Eagles’ first-team defense just completely shuts down the Giants’ offense, but if any Giant is a decent bet to get in the endzone, it’s Breida.
