New York Giants Vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Player Props & Picks (10/30/22)

Get New York Giants Vs. Seattle Seahawks player prop picks & odds for the (10/30/22) matchup

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New York Giants Vs. Seattle Seahawks Player Prop Picks

The Giants and Seahawks are two of the best stories in the NFL this season, and they’re both projected to finish the year with winning records. It certainly wasn’t expected before the season, but this is one of the most exciting games of Week 8. There is plenty of value in the player props department for these teams, and I’m excited to break it down. You can use the player prop search tool above to compare odds from different sportsbooks for the Giants vs. Seahawks game. Let’s get to work.

Kenneth Walker Over 83.5 Rushing Yards (-110 BetMGM)

You already knew where I was going with my first prop in this game. I’m a huge fan of rookie running back Kenneth Walker, and he’s been so much fun to recent weeks. He’s averaging 117.6 rushing yards over his last three games, and he’s seen 20+ carries in each of his last two games after Rashaad Penny went down with a season-ending injury.

Kenneth Walker is 13th in EPA among 42 qualified running backs this year, and last week, he was fifth in EPA on rushing attempts of 24 running backs with 10+ carries. 17.9% of his runs have gone for 10+ yards, which is the fifth-highest rate among backs with 50+ carries. Walker is simply a home run waiting to happen.

This week, Walker faces one of the best matchups for running backs in the NFL. The Giants’ run defense has gotten gashed this year as they rank 30th in DVOA and 32nd in yards per carry allowed. Last week, they allowed Travis Etienne to gain 114 yards on just 14 carries, and Walker should have similar success this week.

Wan’Dale Robinson Over 4.5 Receptions (+115 BetMGM)

The Giants have been desperate for a consistent wide receiver in the offense, and now that rookie Wan’Dale Robinson is healthy, he’s going to get all of the work he can handle. Brian Daboll pushed the franchise to select him early in the second round, and while it was a consensus reach, it’s clear he has a plan for him in the offense.

Last week, Robinson played on 69% of snaps and saw eight targets on 29 routes run, giving him an elite 27.6% targets per route run. Robinson played 80% of his snaps from the slot last week, and that will set him up nicely against the Seahawks’ rookie slot corner Coby Bryant. Among corners with 100+ coverage snaps in the slot, Bryant is allowing the fourth-highest passer rating in the NFL.

Tyler Lockett Over 5.5 Receptions (+100 DraftKings)

With D.K. Metcalf potentially out or at least limited this week, I’m projecting a big game for Tyler Lockett. That’s particularly true against the Giants’ man-heavy, blitzing defense. Lockett has a 30% team target share against the blitz, which is 13th among all wide receivers. He also has 41.8% of the team’s air yards against the blitz, which sits at 12th, so if you’d rather play his yards, that’s a fine approach as well.

Looking at the wide receivers who have had the most success against the Giants, they are very similar in profile to Lockett with inside-out versatility. Christian Kirk (7-96), CeeDee Lamb (8-87-1), and Randall Cobb (7-99) have all had very productive games against them. With Metcalf out, Lockett will be heavily involved in the offense, and you’re getting good value on his receptions at even money. He has 6+ catches in four of his last six games.