NFL Futures I’m Betting On Before Week 15
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It’s never too late to bet on futures in the NFL, and we’re going back to the well with what have been some incredible values this season. The Browns have emerged as a strong contender to win the AFC North after their win over the Ravens, and we got in at +420 on that bet. The Buccaneers are now the odds-on favorite to earn the #1 seed in the NFC after the Rams beat the Cardinals on Monday, and we got in at +490. Let’s see if we can find more excellent values this week.
Futures We’ve Bet On
*Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook
- Arizona Cardinals Under 13.5 Wins; Current Odds: 12.5 Wins
- New England Patriots to Make the Playoffs at +350; Current Odds: -10000
- Seattle Seahawks to Make the Playoffs at +230; Current Odds: +900
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the #1 Seed in the NFC at +490; Current Odds: -120
- Cleveland Browns to win the AFC North at +420; Current Odds: +175
- Denver Broncos Over 8.5 Wins; Current Odds: 8.5 Wins
- Kansas City Chiefs to win the AFC West at -110; Current Odds: -250
- Philadelpia Eagles to Make the Playoffs at +200; Current Odds: +125
- Tennessee Titans Over 12.5 Wins; Current Odds: 11.5 Wins
- Miami Dolphins to Make the Playoffs: +1000; Current Odds: +750
- Jonathan Taylor Offensive Player of the Year: +225; Current Odds: +150
- Green Bay Packers to Win the Super Bowl: 750; Current Odds: +650
- Cincinnati Bengals to Miss the Playoffs: -110; Current Odds: -225
Jaylen Waddle to Win Offensive Rookie of the Year: +6500
There have been some excellent rookie performances this season, but Jaylen Waddle isn’t getting enough love for his production. Waddle is up to 85 catches this year, just 16 away from Anquan Boldin’s rookie record of 101 receptions in 2002. He already has the most receptions of any rookie since 2016. Ja’Marr Chase has been excellent at receiver, but Waddle has more catches and comes in as PFF’s 18th-best receiver while Chase ranks 21st. Waddle has been Tua Tagovailoa’s most reliable target, and the chemistry between the two has been apparent all season.
Of course, the voters don’t scan over PFF rankings when they make their selections for awards, but the point remains that Waddle isn’t that far off from Chase from a production standpoint. Mac Jones is now listed as a -500 favorite to win this award, but he’s currently dealing with a thumb injury, and it remains to be seen how that impacts his production down the stretch. These futures don’t always have to be placed with the expectation that they pay off, but if Jones misses a couple of games and the Dolphins make a late playoff push, it’s conceivable that Waddle could win this award. If you placed $10 on him to win, you’d be looking at a $650 payout.
Jacksonville Jaguars Under 3.5 Wins: -120
This future has been on my list for a few weeks now, and I’m ready to pull the trigger on it. Trevor Lawrence is coming off a four-interception game against the Titans, and he has thrown one touchdown since Halloween. Whether it’s been poor coaching from Urban Meyer or a lack of confidence from Lawrence is up for debate, but this offense has been nothing short of inept all season. Jacksonville has scored just 9.6 points per game during this five-game losing streak. It’s increasingly apparent that Urban Meyer has lost the locker room, and it’s difficult to handicap human emotion, but these players are not interested in helping Meyer retain his job.
The Jaguars are inexplicably favored this week against a Texans team that already beat them this season, and I’m betting on them to lose. I don’t particularly care that Houston and the Jets represent two of the easier matchups on the season – how can you possibly pick Jacksonville to beat anyone right now? This team lacks a true identity, doesn’t play with any grit or resolve, and consistently puts its should-be transcendent rookie quarterback in positions to fail rather than succeed. I have no problem laying the juice on the Jaguars to lose at least three of their remaining four games.
