NFL Player Props To Consider For Week 10

The NFL season continues into Week 10 with a sizable slate on tap this weekend. The action begins at 9:30 a.m. ET when the Carolina Panthers and New York Giants kick off in Germany. Then there are seven games in the 1 p.m. ET window, highlighted by Christian McCaffrey’s expected return for the 49ers. 

We’re highlighting some NFL player props to consider while discussing overs, unders, or same-game parlays involving the players listed below. Place your bets with your favorite sportsbook apps.

Garrett Wilson Week 10 Player Prop Bets (NYJ @ ARI)

66.5 receiving yards: Over -120; under -110

• Wilson leads the NFL in targets, and his workload has not been diminished by the arrival of Davante Adams. In fact, he’s seen even higher quality targets with defenses respecting Adams on the other side of the field, and Wilson is now averaging 94.4 yards per game while drawing 12 targets per game over his last 12 outings. The Arizona defense might have looked good last week against a Bears team that seemed to quit on the field, but the Cardinals are allowing the fifth-most first downs through the air and the eighth-most receiving yards to receivers. Aaron Rodgers is getting the ball out quickly to Wilson, allowing his young playmaker to pile up yards after the catch. And Wilson proved he can make highlight-worthy grabs last Thursday night against a very good Texans secondary. 

Josh Allen Week 10 Player Prop Bets (BUF @ IND)

237.5 passing yards: Over -110; under -110

• The Bills have been a run-heavy team since Joe Brady took over as their offensive coordinator, but the Colts have been selling out to stop the run since they were walloped by Josh Jacobs and the Packers in Week 2. Stacking the box to stop the run has left their Cover-2 scheme very vulnerable, and the Colts have allowed season-high passing yardage totals to Justin Fields, Trevor Lawrence and Caleb Williams, and over 280 passing yards to the Vikings and Texans since then. Allen is averaging 280.3 passing yards per game over his last three outings and is 7-0 with a 70.6% completion rate in his career indoors. Buffalo’s defense could struggle against Joe Flacco after the Dolphins completed 90% of their passes against that secondary, so this game could produce a pass-heavy script down the stretch. 

1.5 passing touchdowns: Over -115; under -113

• Allen has thrown multiple touchdown passes in four straight starts. The Indianapolis defense has allowed 83.3% of touchdowns through the air over its last three games, including three passing TDs to Sam Darnold and the Vikings last week. Allen should find openings against Gus Bradley’s Cover-2 scheme. Consider a same-game parlay involving Allen to pass for 225 yards and to throw for two touchdowns, and Dalton Kincaid to reach 40 receiving yards (+188 at DraftKings) against a zone-heavy Colts defense since Keon Coleman and Amari Cooper are both questionable with their respective wrist injuries. 

Rhamondre Stevenson Week 10 Player Prop Bets (NE @ CHI)

52.5 rushing yards: Under -115; over -115

• The Patriots have one of the worst offensive lines in football, and they’ve been playing from behind throughout most of the season due to a poor defense. The Bears are in a prime bounce-back spot at home after an embarrassing road loss, and Caleb Williams has been far better in Chicago this season. Stevenson is averaging just 27.3 rushing yards per game at 2.2 yards per carry over his last three outings. Even the Bears’ struggling rush defense should find success against an anemic Patriots rushing attack. 

Justin Herbert Week 10 Player Prop Bets (LAC vs. TEN)

225.5 passing yards: Over -110; under -110

• The Titans have allowed the fewest passing yards per game this season, but that raw number is completely misleading. Tennessee has faced poor offenses and gave Detroit a number of short fields in recent games. The Titans’ secondary is now extremely vulnerable with offseason acquisitions Chidobe Awuzie (on injured reserve) and L’Jarius Sneed (quad) doubtful to suit up in the coming weeks. Herbert posted low numbers prior to the Chargers’ bye week but has come out of the break healthier to average 286.8 passing yards per game over four starts. The Chargers have changed their extremely run-heavy approach, with Herbert’s pass attempts increasing from 22.8 to 33 per game over those four outings. Quentin Johnston is back to give the Chargers a downfield threat, Ladd McConkey is making plays at all levels, and the Chargers’ rushing attack has dropped in efficiency since a hot start.  

De’Von Achane Week 10 Player Prop Bets (MIA @ LAR)

54.5 rushing yards: Over -110; under -110

• The stock is rising for all of Miami’s skill players with Tua Tagovailoa back from an extended absence. Achane is averaging 80 rushing yards per game at 7.3 yards per carry over his last two outings with Tua back, and he played on 70% of offensive snaps last week at Buffalo despite the presence of veteran Raheem Mostert. The Dolphins should look to establish the run in this Monday Night Football matchup on the road against a Rams defense that has faced the third-highest rush-play rate (49.5%) on the season and has coughed up 135.1 rushing yards per game. These teams play with plenty of pace, and the total sits at 51 points, so there could be ample opportunities for Achane to break a big run that could put him over this total.