NFL Trade Deadline Deals: Where Have The Odds Moved?

Several key players were dealt in the weeks leading up to the NFL trade deadline, with a few more names switching teams on Nov. 5 ahead of the 4 p.m. ET cutoff. These moves have affected the NFL futures market and shifted individual game lines. 

Take a look at some of the biggest moves ahead of the NFL trade deadline with respect to how they might affect sports betting markets. 

Kansas City Chiefs to win Super Bowl: Kansas City Chiefs +550 on FanDuel

The two-time defending champions have made a few moves to offset a rash of bad injuries during their 8-0 start. Most notably, they acquired veteran receiver DeAndre Hopkins from the Titans on Oct. 22 to bolster an injury-diminished receiving corps. They also traded for Patriots edge rusher Josh Uche to add to an elite defensive line. Hopkins had eight catches for 86 yards and two touchdowns in a Week 9 win over the Bucs, and his presence has helped the Chiefs maintain their status as Super Bowl favorites, with odds shifting from +450 to +400 at some books. 

Detroit Lions to win Super Bowl: Detroit Lions +280 on BetRivers

The Lions traded draft picks for Browns defensive end Za’Darius Smith, filling part of the void left when they lost Defensive Player of the Year favorite Aidan Hutchinson to a broken leg. There is a chance Hutchinson returns if Detroit makes the Super Bowl, and the Lions’ odds to win the title have shortened from +1100 to the second-shortest odds during their four-game winning streak. 

Detroit travels to Houston in Week 10 for a Sunday Night Football matchup. The Lions opened as three-point road favorites and are up to 3.5-point favorites at most books following the trade and news that Nico Collins (hamstring) might not necessarily be able to play for the Texans. 

Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl: Baltimore Ravens +1100 on DraftKings

After acquiring receiver Diontae Johnson from the Panthers, the Ravens made a move ahead of the deadline to bolster their struggling pass defense by trading for veteran cornerback Tre’Davious White. A former All-Pro in 2019 and 2020, White tore his ACL in 2021 and tore his Achilles in 2023, eventually getting released by the Bills. The Rams signed him to a one-year deal but hadn’t played him since Week 4. Baltimore traded away a seventh-round pick. The Ravens have won six of their last seven games, and their title odds have shifted from +800 in Week 5 to the third favorite at +650 at FanDuel. 

Washington Commanders to win the NFC East: Washington Commanders +3000 on Caesars

Washington shored up one of the biggest deficiencies on its roster by landing top cornerback Marshon Lattimore from the Saints. Lattimore, a four-time Pro Bowl corner and former Defensive Rookie of the Year, missed the Saints’ last game with a hamstring injury but could be ready in Week 10 when the Commanders host the Steelers. The point spread has shifted from -2.5 to -3 in favor of Washington following the trade deadline. Washington leads Philadelphia by 0.5 games in the NFC East and plays the Eagles for the first time this season on Thursday, Nov. 14, to kick off Week 11. 

Pittsburgh Steelers to win the AFC North: Pittsburgh Steelers -160 on FanDuel

The Steelers made moves on each side of the ball. They dealt a fifth-round pick to the Jets for big-bodied receiver Mike Williams and sent a seventh-rounder to Green Bay for edge rusher Preston Smith, adding to a deep and talented defensive line. With Russell Wilson under center, the Steelers’ passing attack has looked much improved over the team’s past two games. While Pittsburgh is just ahead of the Ravens atop the AFC North, the Steelers are considered underdogs to win the division with a tough second-half schedule coming up. However, they’re getting -385 odds at FanDuel to make the playoffs. 

Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs: Yes +1500 on Caesars

The Bengals added some depth to their backfield by sending a seventh-round pick to Chicago for Khalil Herbert. The move comes after offseason acquisition Zack Moss (neck) was ruled out indefinitely with a low likelihood that he’ll return this season. Herbert averaged 4.6 yards per carry with three touchdowns for the Bears last season and can provide a bigger body than current Cincy lead back Chase Brown in goal-line situations. The addition hasn’t moved the Bengals’ line (+6) for their road game against the Ravens in a Thursday Night Football matchup to open Week 10.