NFL Week 11 49ers vs. Chiefs SGP Strategy and Same Game Parlay Picks
Tonight, we’re treated to an exciting primetime matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals. These teams are seemingly headed in opposite directions, but the NFC West rivals will attempt to bring their best to Mexico City for a divisional showdown. You can read our matchup preview and player props article for more coverage on this game.
In this article, I’ll build a Same Game Parlay (SGP) for this game. SGPs provide a great opportunity to get boosted odds on a combination of bets. This Monday Night Football game has some intriguing player props on the board, and I’ll be looking to target some of those in this article. Let’s get to work.
*Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook
NFL Week 11 Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay
The first play I’m taking for this SGP is the Arizona Cardinals +10.5 at -128 odds on FanDuel. I definitely believe the 49ers pull this game out tonight, but this is just a lot of points for a primetime divisional game with a low total. While Colt McCoy will get the start over the injured Kyler Murray, he’s proven capable of engineering a functional offense.
For what it’s worth, Jimmy Garoppolo is 1-6 ATS in his last seven as a more than a touchdown favorite and he’s 2-7-1 ATS in his career against the Cardinals per BetLabs. Arizona is well coached on the defensive end, and while the 49ers have plenty of weapons, the Cardinals can find ways to bother Garoppolo tonight.
For our first player prop in this SGP, I’m targeting George Kittle. I wrote about how much I love him in this game in our player props article, and I’m playing him a couple of different ways in this article. First, I’ll take him over 47.5 receiving yards. I prefer his receptions prop at 3.5, but FanDuel doesn’t allow you to put receptions props in SGPs.
However, Kittle has been over this receiving yardage number in five of his last six games against the Cardinals, and he’s averaging 64.8 yards per game in his career against them. Arizona ranks 30th in pass defense DVOA this season against tight ends, and they’ve allowed some big receiving games to the position.
I’ll also take Kittle’s touchdown prop at +170 odds on FanDuel. Kittle reached paydirt in his last game against the Cardinals, and he’s scored in two of his last three games. He continues to be perhaps the team’s best red-zone target despite the presence of Christian McCaffrey, and this matchup is highly favorable for him.
While you can consider adding more props to your SGP for a greater payout, I decided to keep this one very simple. Feel free to add in other props as you wish as there are certainly favorable odds to be found on the board for this game. With those three bets combined, we’re looking at a very nice payout, so I love the odds on this Same Game Parlay.
- Arizona Cardinals +10.5 (-128)
- George Kittle Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
- George Kittle Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+170)
Full Same Game Parlay Odds: +707 ($10 wins $70.79)
