NFL Week 11 Chiefs vs. Chargers SGP Strategy and Same Game Parlay Picks

The Sunday Night Football game between the Chiefs and Chargers has it all – playoff implications, superstar players, and high-stakes action all in a divisional rivalry. For such an exhilarating game, we should build a Same Game Parlay to root for during this primetime bout. In this article, I’ll do exactly that.

You can check out all of our player prop picks on the main player props page. My spread picks are all located on the spreadsheet pinned to my Twitter profile. Let’s see if we can find some correlated outcomes that we can combine together for a bigger boost. Let’s get to work.

*Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook

NFL Week 11 Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay

If you read my best bets article for NFL Week 11, you’ll know that I love the Chargers ATS this week. For this SGP, let’s sell some points and take the Chargers +3.5 at +108 odds. We’re still getting some great coverage to the key number of 3 points at that price while not laying juice at the current number of +5.5.

I love the Chargers tonight as Justin Herbert is 4-1 ATS in his career against the Chiefs. With Mike Williams and Keenan Allen both expected to play, Herbert should be in line for his best performance in a while. The Chiefs have injuries they are dealing with on both sides of the ball, most notably to JuJu Smith-Schuster and Mecole Hardman, so it’s difficult to envision them running away with this game.

Speaking of Herbert, let’s kick off our SGP with some of his player props. He’ll be thrilled to have his receivers back in action, and he’s had either 280+ passing yards or 2+ touchdowns in every career game against Kansas City. Let’s take him over 300 passing yards at +148 odds.

For our first correlated play, let’s grab one of his receivers. Mike Williams had 113 receiving yards against the Chiefs in their game earlier this year, and they rank dead last in DVOA allowed to WR1s this season, per Football Outsiders. He’s generously priced at 60.5 receiving yards on FanDuel.

With the nature of a high ankle sprain, Williams could reaggravate the injury and be forced to leave this game. However, I’m willing to take that risk with the value we’re getting on his player props. Let’s add a little more value and take him at 70+ receiving yards for +136 odds. I’ll also take his touchdown prop at +150 odds.

Finally, let’s add in a Chiefs player to round out this SGP. I’m a big fan of Kadarius Toney’s game as a dollar store Tyreek Hill, and he’s set for a big role tonight with Smith-Schuster and Hardman out. Travis Kelce raved about Toney on his podcast after last week’s game, and it will be exciting to see him continue to break out tonight. Let’s take him over 53.5 receiving yards and anytime touchdown scorer.

  • Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 (+108)
  • Justin Herbert 300+ Passing Yards (+148)
  • Mike Williams 70+ Receiving Yards (+136)
  • Mike Williams Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+150)
  • Kadarius Toney Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
  • Kadarius Toney Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+160)

Full SGP Odds: +5607 ($5 wins $280.37)

I've been writing about sports for Lineups since the beginning of 2020 and on my own website since 2018. In May 2021, I graduated from the University of Michigan with a degree in sport management. As the United States embarks on an exciting journey towards the legalization of sports betting, I'm thrilled to have the opportunity to cover industry news, NFL and NBA odds, and more.

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