NFL Week 11 Predictions & Lines: Free NFL Betting Picks

Week 11 Lines

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Date/Time Games
11/29/20 1:00pm ET Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals @ New England Patriots New England Patriots
Spread
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
Moneyline
-121
+106
Over/Under
O49.5 (-110)
U49.5 (-110)
Spread
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-108)
Moneyline
-126
+108
Over/Under
O49.0 (-110)
U49.0 (-110)
11/29/20 1:00pm ET Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers @ Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings
Spread
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
Moneyline
+170
-195
Over/Under
O51.5 (-110)
U51.5 (-110)
Spread
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
Moneyline
+154
-184
Over/Under
O51.5 (-114)
U51.5 (-106)
11/29/20 1:00pm ET Cleveland Browns Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars
Spread
-6 (-110)
+6 (-110)
Moneyline
-275
+230
Over/Under
O49 (-110)
U49 (-110)
Spread
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
Moneyline
-280
+230
Over/Under
O49.5 (-106)
U49.5 (-114)
11/29/20 1:00pm ET Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders @ Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons
Spread
-3 (-110)
+3 (-110)
Moneyline
-162
+143
Over/Under
O54 (-110)
U54 (-110)
Spread
-3 (+100)
+3 (-122)
Moneyline
-162
+136
Over/Under
O53.5 (-110)
U53.5 (-110)
11/29/20 1:00pm ET Los Angeles Chargers Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills
Spread
+5 (-110)
-5 (-110)
Moneyline
+200
-235
Over/Under
O53 (-110)
U53 (-110)
Spread
+4.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-112)
Moneyline
+198
-240
Over/Under
O52.5 (-115)
U52.5 (-105)
11/29/20 1:00pm ET Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets New York Jets
Spread
-7 (-103)
+7 (-120)
Moneyline
-286
+245
Over/Under
O44 (-110)
U44 (-110)
Spread
-7 (-108)
+7 (-112)
Moneyline
-310
+250
Over/Under
O44.5 (-108)
U44.5 (-112)
11/29/20 1:00pm ET New York Giants New York Giants @ Cincinnati Bengals Cincinnati Bengals
Spread
-6 (-110)
+6 (-110)
Moneyline
-265
+225
Over/Under
O44 (-110)
U44 (-110)
Spread
-6 (-110)
+6 (-110)
Moneyline
-260
+215
Over/Under
O44.5 (-110)
U44.5 (-110)
11/29/20 1:00pm ET Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts Indianapolis Colts
Spread
+3 (-104)
-3 (-118)
Moneyline
+160
-182
Over/Under
O51.5 (-110)
U51.5 (-110)
Spread
+3 (-105)
-3 (-115)
Moneyline
+134
-158
Over/Under
O51.5 (-112)
U51.5 (-108)
11/29/20 4:05pm ET New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints @ Denver Broncos Denver Broncos
Spread
-6 (-110)
+6 (-110)
Moneyline
-265
+225
Over/Under
O43.5 (-110)
U43.5 (-110)
Spread
-6 (-110)
+6 (-110)
Moneyline
-290
+235
Over/Under
O43.5 (-114)
U43.5 (-106)
11/29/20 4:05pm ET San Francisco 49ers San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Rams
Spread
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
Moneyline
+255
-295
Over/Under
O45 (-110)
U45 (-110)
Spread
+6 (-108)
-6 (-112)
Moneyline
+250
-310
Over/Under
O44.5 (-112)
U44.5 (-108)
11/29/20 4:25pm ET Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Spread
-3.5 (-106)
+3.5 (-115)
Moneyline
-186
+160
Over/Under
O56 (-110)
U56 (-110)
Spread
-3.5 (-104)
+3.5 (-118)
Moneyline
-188
+158
Over/Under
O56.0 (-110)
U56.0 (-110)
11/29/20 8:20pm ET Chicago Bears Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Green Bay Packers
Spread
+9 (-110)
-9 (-110)
Moneyline
+360
-435
Over/Under
O44.5 (-110)
U44.5 (-110)
Spread
+8.5 (-114)
-8.5 (-106)
Moneyline
+315
-400
Over/Under

My record this season: 101-42-1 SU, 81-61-2 ATS, 69-70-5 O/U

My record from Week 10: 11-3-0 SU, 8-5-1 ATS, 8-5-1 O/U

Thursday Night Football

(6-3) Arizona Cardinals @ (6-3) Seattle Seahawks

TV Info: 11/19/20, 8:20 PM EST, NFL Networkseattle seahawksarizona cardinals

Weather forecast: 46° F, possible drizzle, 9 mph wind

Holy crap, Kyler Murray is good. I was very excited about his sophomore season, excited enough to put some long-term money on the Cardinals to make the playoffs and Murray win MVP. There’s no way I could have expected this, though. Murray continues to set the NFL on fire with another 245 passing yards and a touchdown with 61 rushing touchdowns and two rushing touchdowns. He capped off that tremendous performance with an absurd 43-yard hail mary touchdown pass to DeAndre Hopkins as time expired. Make sure you watch that play if you haven’t already – it’s going to go down as one of the best plays of the season. Murray’s 16-game pace is now 4220 passing yards, 30 passing touchdowns, 1,073 rushing yards, and 18 rushing touchdowns (would be the record for a QB). The Seahawks, meanwhile, looked far from the Super Bowl contender they were supposed to be as the Rams’ resurgent defense absolutely swallowed up Russell Wilson. LA generated six sacks, five tackles for a loss, and another ten quarterback hits. Wilson finished with 248 passing yards on just a 59.7% completion rate with 2 interceptions and no touchdowns as the Seahawks registered just 16 points in their worst offensive performance of the season. Seattle is still the league’s highest-scoring team at 32.2 points per game, but they have to be nervous about how their offensive line was exposed by the Rams, especially with injuries persisting in that group. Seattle could also be without its top two cornerbacks again this week in Quinton Dunbar and Shaquill Griffin, underscoring a passing defense that has allowed 353.3 passing yards per game, by far the most in the NFL. With 22 sacks in 9 games, the Cardinals aren’t quite the same elite pass-rushing group as the Rams (31 sacks in 9 games), but they can still put plenty of pressure on Wilson. However, I do expect Tyler Lockett to have a great game this week. D.K. Metcalf will get the Patrick Peterson treatment this week, while Lockett will work in the slot where Arizona continues to be exposed. Remember, Lockett had 15 catches for 200 yards and 3 touchdowns against this team a few weeks ago. It’s hard to call this game a must-win for Seattle with several weeks still to go in the season, but they now sit in third place in the NFL as they’ve lost to both the Cards and Rams. As usual for the Seahawks, this game will come down to Russell Wilson’s production, but he’s been more turnover-prone as of late, and Murray has been the better quarterback recently. With the complete team overall, I’m taking the Cards to pull off a season sweep of their division rival and put a stranglehold on the NFC West.

Matchup to watch: Tyler Lockett (15 catches for 200 yards and 3 touchdowns last time he faced the Cardinals) vs. Byron Murphy (Arizona slot cornerback)

Injury Report:

Arizona Cardinals: S Budda Baker (groin) Q, TE Maxx Williams (ankle) Q, RB Kenyan Drake (ankle) Q, LB Haason Reddick (neck) Q, CB Dre Kirkpatrick (hamstring) Q, DT Corey Peters (knee) Q, LB Devondre Campbell (calf) Q, DE Jordan Phillips (hamstring) Q, DE Zach Allen (ankle) IR eligible to return

Seattle Seahawks: LB K.J. Wright (ankle) Q, OG Mike Iupati (undisclosed) Q, CB Quinton Dunbar (knee) Q, RB Chris Carson (foot) Q, RB Travis Homer (hand) Q, CB Shaquill Griffin (hamstring) Q, DE Benson Mayowa (ankle) Q, RB Carlos Hyde (hamstring) Q, C Ethan Pocic (concussion) Q, WR Phillip Dorsett (foot) IR eligible to return

Betting Trends to Know:

Arizona Cardinals: 6-3 SU this season, 5-4 ATS this season, 4-1 SU in last 5 games, 5-1 ATS in last 6 games vs. Seahawks, 9-2-2 in last 13 road games

Seattle Seahawks: 6-3 SU this season, 5-4 ATS this season, 1-4 ATS in last 5 games, 0-5 ATS in last 5 home games vs. Cardinals, the total has gone over in 7 of Seattle’s last 10 games

Odds: Seahawks -3, O/U 58

My prediction: Cardinals win 31-28, Cardinals cover, over 58 points

Sunday Football

(9-0) Pittsburgh Steelers @ (1-8) Jacksonville Jaguars

TV Info: 11/22/20, 1:00 PM EST, CBSjacksonville jaguarspittsburgh steelers

Weather forecast: 76° F, clear, 11 mph wind

The Steelers’ pass rush was dominant yet again on Sunday as they pressured Joe Burrow 13 times on 44 dropbacks (including 4 sacks) and held him to zero completions on those thirteen dropbacks, per PFF. Ben Roethlisberger’s final stats were tremendous in that game as he finished with 333 passing yards and 4 touchdowns. Diontae Johnson went 6-116-1, JuJu Smith-Schuster went 9-77-1, and Chase Claypool went 4-56-2. The Jaguars are allowing the fourth-most passing yards per game and quite simply don’t have the bodies to match up with one of the best receiving corps in the NFL. Meanwhile, Jacksonville is coming off a surprising 4-point road loss to the Packers that saw them cover the spread by a significant margin. Rookie quarterback Jake Luton completed just 18 of 35 passes, though, and finished with a 33.2 QBR – with Gardner Minshew expected out again this week, Luton is going to have a tough time dealing with the Steelers who lead the NFL in sacks and hold opponents to just 211.3 passing yards per game, the fifth-fewest in the NFL. That ATS win was surprising as Jacksonville is just 2-5 ATS this season and 0-8 SU in his last 8 games. These teams have drifted in opposite directions since meeting in the 2017 AFC Championship game, and it would be a real shock to see the Steelers fail to crush this Jaguars’ team that they’re undoubtedly much better than.

Matchup to watch: Steelers’ front seven (36 sacks in 9 games, most in the NFL) vs. Jaguars’ offensive line (28 sacks allowed, fifth-most in NFL)

Injury Report:

Pittsburgh Steelers: RB Anthony McFarland (illness) Q, CB Mike Hilton (shoulder) Q, TE Vance McDonald (illness) COVID-19, DT Chris Wormley (knee) IR eligible to return

Jacksonville Jaguars: RB Chris Thompson (back) Q, QB Gardner Minshew (thumb) Q, WR Laviska Shenault Jr. (hamstring) Q, CB D.J. Hayden (hamstring) Q, C Brandon Linder (back) Q

Betting Trends to Know:

Pittsburgh Steelers: 9-0 SU this season, 7-2 ATS this season, 6-1 ATS in last 7 games, Steelers are 4-2 SU in last 6 games vs. Jacksonville

Jacksonville Jaguars: 1-8 SU this season, 4-5 ATS this season, 0-8 SU in last 8 games, 2-5 ATS in last 7 games, 1-5 SU in last 5 games vs. Steelers

Odds: Steelers -10, O/U 47.5

My prediction: Steelers win 31-17, Steelers cover, over 47.5 points

(4-5) Detroit Lions @ (3-7) Carolina Panthers

TV Info: 11/22/20, 1:00 PM EST, FOXcarolina panthersdetroit lions

Weather forecast: 60° F, clear, 2 mph wind

The Lions almost blew yet another fourth-quarter lead against Washington on Sunday, but Matt Prater’s 59-yard field goal iced the game as time expired. Matthew Stafford had a solid game as he completed 72% of his passes for 276 yards and 3 touchdowns, but he’s listed as questionable after injuring his thumb in his throwing hand. X-rays came back negative, and Stafford said he’s hopeful of playing this week, but it’s well worth watching practice reports this week to confirm his availability. Teddy Bridgewater is also dealing with an MCL sprain, but his MRI came back negative, and he won’t miss an extended period of time. If he’s out this week, the Panthers would likely turn to second-year quarterback Will Grier as the starter. However, with starting tackle Russell Okung and running back Christian McCaffrey both injured, this offense could be minimal. However, both of these pass defenses have been pretty brutal this season as the Panthers have allowed the 11th-most passing yards per game, and the Lions have allowed the ninth-most. Meanwhile, Carolina has just 11 sacks through 10 games, the fewest per game, while the Lions have just 13 sacks through 9 games. If either team is forced to turn to their backup QB, it’s hard to imagine a much better matchup for them to walk into. Rookie running back D’Andre Swift continues to emerge for Detroit, and last week, he had 147 yards from scrimmage on 21 touches and scored a touchdown through the air. The Panthers have struggled to defend running backs this season, and last week they allowed Ronald Jones to rush for a 98-yard touchdown. If Stafford is forced to miss, or even if he plays and is limited, this offense will be heavily reliant on Swift with Kenny Golladay questionable with the hip injury that has kept him out the past couple of weeks. Ultimately, neither of these teams have played particularly well this season and the prospect of them being without their starting quarterback is a scary one. For now, I’ll pick the Panthers to win and cover at home as the healthier and better-coached team.

Matchup to watch: D’Andre Swift (147 yards from scrimmage last week) vs. Panthers (allowed 4th-most fantasy points per game to running backs)

Injury Report:

Detroit Lions: QB Matthew Stafford (thumb) Q, DE Nick Williams (shoulder) Q, WR Jamal Agnew (ribs) Q, WR Kenny Golladay (hip) Q, LB Jarrad Davis (knee) Q, OT Halapoulivaati Vaitai (foot) Q, WR Danny Amendola (hip) Q, DE Julian Okwara (undisclosed) IR eligible to return, DE Trey Flowers (undisclosed) IR

Carolina Panthers: QB Teddy Bridgewater (MCL) Q, RB Christian McCaffrey (shoulder) Q, OT Russell Okung (calf) Q, CB Donte Jackson (toe) Q, WR Keith Kirkwood (shoulder) IR eligible to return

Betting Trends to Know:

Detroit Lions: 4-5 SU this season, 4-5 ATS this season, 6-14 ATS over last 20 games, the total has gone over in 8 of Detroit’s last 12 games, the total has gone over in 6 of Detroit’s 9 games this season

Carolina Panthers: 3-7 SU this season, 5-5 ATS this season, 0-5 SU in last 5 games, 1-8 SU in last 9 games at home, the total has gone over in 5 of the Panthers’ 9 games this season

Odds: Panthers -2.5, O/U 49

My predictions: Panthers win 27-24, Panthers cover, over 49 points

(4-5) New England Patriots @ (2-7) Houston Texans

TV Info: 11/22/20, 1:00 PM EST, CBShouston texansnew england patriots

Weather forecast: 77° F, clear, 7 mph wind

In the pouring rain in Foxborough, the Patriots came out on Sunday night and put together one of their most complete season performances. With the Bills at 7-3 and the Dolphins at 6-3, New England is quickly falling out of the race for the AFC East, but they’ll be hoping this impressive win over the Ravens can catapult them into a run of wins here. The Pats’ run game continues to be their biggest strength as Damien Harris rushed for 121 yards on 22 carries while Cam Newton rushed for another touchdown, his 9th season. New England’s rushing offense is difficult for most teams to handle, but it will be especially so for the Texans this week. Houston has allowed 167.4 rushing yards per game, by far the most in the NFL. Last week, they allowed both Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt to rush for over 100 yards each. The Texans have allowed 28 points per game, the seventh-most in the NFL, and have generated just 5 takeaways, the fewest in the NFL. Deshaun Watson is coming off a tough game in brutal weather in Cleveland – he completed 20 of 30 passes for 163 yards and a touchdown – but heading into that game, he had thrown for 280+ yards and 2+ touchdowns in five straight weeks. However, he won’t find it easy against a Patriots pass defense that has started to put it together in recent weeks. Chase Winovich continues to excel in his sophomore season, and he finished with 10 quarterback hurries against the Ravens as he lined up all over the field. J.C. Jackson continues to emerge at cornerback, and the group of Jason McCourty, Devin McCourty, and Kyle Dugger played very well in the secondary. If the Patriots can get Stephon Gilmore back from injury this week, their pass defense will simply be too overwhelming for Watson and the Texans. The Patriots have been very successful against the Texans as of late as they’ve gone 8-3 ATS against the team. Sure, all of those games were with Tom Brady, but I trust Bill Belichick and this defense to complement the Pats’ run game enough to earn them a convincing win on the road.

Matchup to watch: Patriots’ rushing offense (3rd-most rushing yards per game) vs. Texans’ rushing defense (most rushing yards allowed per game)

Injury Report:

New England Patriots: CB Stephon Gilmore (knee) Q, LB Jawhaun Bentley (groin) Q, RB Sony Michel (quadriceps) IR eligible to return, WR Julian Edelman (knee) IR eligible to return

Houston Texans: DE Charles Omenihu (leg) Q, QB Josh McCown (undisclosed) Q, CB Gareon Conley (ankle) IR eligible to return, RB David Johnson (concussion) IR

Betting Trends to Know:

New England Patriots: 4-5 SU this season, 4-5 ATS this season, 2-4 ATS in last 6 games, the total has gone under in 4 of New England’s last 6 games, 8-3 ATS in last 11 games vs. Texans

Houston Texans: 2-7 SU this season, 2-7 ATS this season, the total has gone under in 4 of the Texans’ last 5 games at home, Texans are 1-3 ATS at home

Odds: Patriots -2.5, O/U 48

My predictions: Patriots win 24-21, Patriots cover, under 48 points

(6-3) Tennessee Titans @ (6-3) Baltimore Ravens

TV Info: 11/22/20, 1:00 PM EST, CBSbaltimore ravenstennessee titans

Weather forecast: 57° F, overcast, 6 mph wind

Both the Titans and Ravens are coming off primetime losses that push their records down to 6-3 on the season. In a crowded AFC playoff race, the Titans and Ravens are getting down to the season’s crunch where they need to win games to maintain playoff positioning. Baltimore is now 3 games behind Pittsburgh in the AFC North, but they are still alive in that division race. The Titans have the same record as the Colts in the AFC South, but with a game in hand for Indy, Tennessee has to bounce back and fast. The Ravens’ defense is going to give the Titans an adamant time this week as they’ve allowed just 18.3 points per game, the fewest in the NFL, and just 323 yards per game, the 8th-fewest. However, the last time the Titans traveled to Baltimore, they earned a shocking 28-12 upset victory in the playoffs’ divisional round. Derrick Henry rushed 30 times for 195 yards in that game, and you have to imagine Baltimore has a strong desire to exact some revenge on Henry and the Titans after that game. The Ravens’ run defense has been pretty solid this season, but the potential absences of Calais Campbell, Brandon Williams, and L.J. Fort would hamper this front seven’s run-stopping ability. Baltimore allowed the Patriots to rush for 173 yards on 39 carries last week. The biggest gap between these teams is in turnover differential. Both teams have 14 takeaways this season, but the Titans have just 4 giveaways and lead the NFL with a +10 turnover differential, while the Ravens have 11 giveaways and a +3 turnover differential. When these teams met in the playoffs, the Titans won the turnover battle by forcing the Ravens to cough up the ball 3 times while playing a clean game on their end. Unfortunately for the Titans, they’ve gone just 3-6 ATS so far this season as Stephen Gostkowski has missed 8 of 20 field-goal attempts, constantly putting Tennessee behind the 8-ball in terms of compiling points. Additionally, the continued absence of punter Brett Kern has hurt this team’s special teams production – they allowed the Colts to block a punt for a touchdown last week. As long as the Titans have these special teams issues, it’s tough to pick them to cover the spread, and I’ll take the Ravens to win by a touchdown at home.

Matchup to watch: Justin Tucker, Sam Koch (Ravens kicker, punter) vs. Stephen Gostkowski, Trevor Daniel (Titans kicker, punter)

Injury Report:

Tennessee Titans: CB Adoree Jackson (knee) Q, WR Adam Humphries (concussion) Q, TE MyCole Pruitt (knee) Q, RB Darrynton Evans (hamstring) IR eligible to return, CB Kristian Fulton (knee) IR eligible to return

Baltimore Ravens: DE Calais Campbell (calf) Q, LB L.J. Fort (finger) Q, CB Jimmy Smith (ankle) Q, DT Brandon Williams (ankle) Q, TE Nick Boyle (knee) O

Betting Trends to Know:

Tennessee Titans: 6-3 SU this season, 3-6 ATS this season, 3-7 ATS in last 10 games, 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games, the total has gone under in 7 of the Titans’ last 7 road games vs. Ravens

Baltimore Ravens: 6-3 SU this season, 4-4-1 ATS this season, 13-6-1 ATS in last 20 games, 3-10-1 in last 14 games as a favorite, the total has gone under in 4 of the Ravens’ last 5 home games

Odds: Ravens -6.5, O/U 49

My predictions: Ravens win 27-17, Ravens cover, under 49 points

(3-5-1) Philadelphia Eagles @ (6-3) Cleveland Browns

TV Info: 11/22/20, 1:00 PM EST, FOXcleveland brownsphiladelphia eagles

Weather forecast: 62° F, overcast, 16 mph wind

I picked the Eagles to win last week, and that was one of the few games I picked incorrectly. Carson Wentz had another ugly game as he completed just 56.7% of his passes for just 208 yards and took 3 sacks against an admittedly frisky New York defense. However, Wentz continues to take more sacks than any other quarterback in the NFL, and a turnover-free game was surprising but should be taken at face value – the Eagles are tied for the third-most turnovers in the NFL this season. The Browns, meanwhile, have a +4 turnover margin, tied for the fifth-best in the NFL. Cleveland looks like it will be hit with a similar mix of wind and rain to what we’ve seen there over the past few weeks, and those sloppy conditions will favor the Browns, who are able to hold onto the ball and control time of possession. The Browns will be thrilled to have Nick Chubb back as both he and Kareem Hunt rushed for over 100 yards last week against the Texans. The Eagles have allowed 133 rushing yards per game, the seventh-most in football, so I expect Chubb and Hunt to dominate yet again this week. Baker Mayfield has been underwhelming – he hasn’t thrown a touchdown over the past two weeks and has surpassed 250 passing yards just once all year. However, he’s done a great job of taking care of the football, which is much more than you can say of Carson Wentz. Cleveland’s run defense has been solid as they’ve allowed the 8th-fewest rushing yards per game, and their pass defense has started to round into form as they’ve gotten back some key players from injuries. The AFC North is loaded with the Steelers, Ravens, and Browns all at 6-3 or better, and Cleveland is on the outside looking in on the playoff picture despite their strong record. Their ball-control, run-heavy style should work well against Philly, and I’m expecting the Browns to continue their success at home in the rain and wind.

Matchup to watch: Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt (both rushed for 100+ yards last week) vs. Eagles’ run defense (7th-most rushing yards per game allowed)

Injury Report:

Philadelphia Eagles: S Rudy Ford (hamstring) Q, TE Zach Ertz (ankle) IR eligible to return, OG Isaac Seumalo (knee) IR eligible to return

Cleveland Browns: LB Jacob Phillips (knee) Q, FB Andy Janovich (COVID-19) IR, OT Chris Hubbard (COVID-19) IR, CB Greedy Williams (shoulder) IR eligible to return

Betting Trends to Know:

Philadelphia Eagles: 3-5-1 SU this season, 3-6 ATS this season, 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs. AFC teams, the total has gone under in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games

Cleveland Browns: 6-3 SU this season, 3-6 ATS this season, 1-4 ATS in last 5 games, the total has gone under in 4 of Cleveland’s last 5 games played in November

Odds: Browns -3.5, O/U 48

My predictions: Browns win 20-16, Browns cover, under 48 points

(3-6) Atlanta Falcons @ (7-2) New Orleans Saints

TV Info: 11/22/20, 1:00 PM EST, FOXnew orleans saintsatlanta falcons

The Saints crushed the 49ers last week as their defense held them to 14 points, and Alvin Kamara contributed with three touchdowns, two on the ground and one through the air. However, the big story for the Saints coming out of that game is the devastating injuries to future Hall of Fame quarterback Drew Brees. After taking a huge hit, Brees wound up breaking multiple ribs and suffering a collapsed lung that will keep him off the field for the foreseeable future. I expect to see Jameis Winston under center next week, but it’s hard to glean much from his performance after completing 6 of 10 passes for 63 yards. Luckily for Winston, he couldn’t ask for a much better matchup as he’ll face the Falcons, who have surrendered 310.3 passing yards per game, the second-most in the NFL. Atlanta has also allowed 22 passing touchdowns so far this season, more than any other team. The Falcons are coming off a much-needed bye week that will hopefully allow them to get Calvin Ridley back on the field. Julio Jones had been on a hot streak before the team’s bye, and Matt Ryan had finally been turning around his production with his top receivers on the field. However, the Saints’ defense has leveled up as of late as they’ve allowed the Bears, Buccaneers, and 49ers to just 13 points per game over the past three weeks. The Falcons have struggled to finish off drives with touchdowns as they have the fifth-most offensive yards per game but rank middle-of-the-pack in scoring. While Drew Brees won’t be available for the Saints this week, they’ve gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against their division rival. I still trust Sean Payton to come in with a strong gameplan and beat this struggling team, particularly at home.

Weather forecast: dome, N/A

Matchup to watch: Jameis Winston (starting in place of Drew Brees) vs. Falcons’ pass defense (most passing touchdowns allowed this season)

Injury Report:

Atlanta Falcons: WR Calvin Ridley (foot) Q, DE Dante Fowler (hamstring) IR

New Orleans Saints: RB DeAndre Washington (back) Q, CB Marshon Lattimore (oblique) Q, WR Tre’Quan Smith (concussion) Q, DE Anthony Lanier (undisclosed) Q, TE Josh Hill (concussion) Q, QB Drew Brees (ribs, lung) O, WR Bennie Fowler (shoulder) IR eligible to return

Betting Trends to Know:

Atlanta Falcons: 3-6 SU this season, 4-5 ATS this season, 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs. Saints, 7-1 ATS in last 8 games on the road, the total has gone under in 4 of Atlanta’s last 6 games

New Orleans Saints: 7-2 SU this season, 4-5 ATS this season, 7-3 ATS in last 10 games vs. Falcons, the total has gone under in 5 of New Orleans’ last 7 games at home vs. Atlanta

Odds: Saints -4.5, O/U 51.5

My predictions: Saints win 26-23, Falcons cover, under 51.5 points

(2-6-1) Cincinnati Bengals @ (2-7) Washington Football Team

TV Info: 11/22/20, 1:00 PM EST, CBSwashington football teamcincinnati bengals

Weather forecast: 59° F, mostly cloudy, 6 mph wind

Joe Burrow’s rookie season has presented some ups and downs, but this past week in Pittsburgh was one of the toughest spots we’ve seen him in. He honestly performed admirably well, considering his offensive line allowed him to be pressured 13 times as he took 4 sacks but didn’t turn the ball over and finished with 213 passing yards and a touchdown. Rookie wideout Tee Higgins continues to emerge as Burrow’s favorite target, and he finished with 7 catches for 115 yards and a touchdown last week. However, the Bengals’ defense offered little resistance against the Steelers as Ben Roethlisberger threw 333 yards and 4 touchdowns. The Washington offense isn’t nearly the same force as Pittsburgh’s, but their front seven will give this overmatched Cincinnatti offensive line similar issues. Washington has 28 sacks through 9 games, the fifth-most in the NFL, as rookie Chase Young has led a dominant front seven. Washington has also allowed just 194.7 passing yards per game, the fewest in the NFL. Burrow has some talented receiving weapons to work with, but if his offensive line can’t give him time to push the ball downfield, it will likely be another ugly offensive output for Cincy. Meanwhile, Alex Smith made his first start since his devastating and nearly life-threatening leg injury last year. He finished with just under 400 passing yards and nearly led Washington to a comeback win late in the 4th-quarter. The Bengals have been torched by opposing signal-callers this year as they’ve allowed 21 passing touchdowns, tied with Dallas for the second-most. An already limited secondary is missing several key players, and I’m expecting Terry McLaurin to do damage in this game. The Bengals have also allowed the sixth-most rushing yards per game, so I’m expecting some more strong production from Antonio Gibson and J.D. McKissic. Ultimately, both of these teams have underperformed this season, but Burrow is really going to struggle against this defense, and I’ll roll with Washington at home here.

Matchup to watch: Washington front seven (fifth-most sacks) vs. Bengals’ offensive line (2nd-most sacks per game allowed)

Injury Report:

Cincinnati Bengals: CB Leshaun Sims (concussion) Q, OT Bobby Hart (knee) Q, RB Joe Mixon (foot) Q, DT Geno Atkins (personal) Q, CB Mackensie Alexander (concussion) Q, CB Trae Waynes (COVID-19) IR, DT D.J. Reader (quadriceps) IR eligible to return, OG Xavier Su’a-Filo (ankle) IR eligible to return

Washington Football Team: OT Geron Christian (knee) Q, WR Dontrelle Inman (hamstring) Q, WR Antonio Gandy-Golden (hamstring) IR eligible to return, OT Saahdiq Charles (kneecap) IR eligible to return, OG Michael Liedtke (undisclosed) IR eligible to return, LB Reuben Foster (knee) IR eligible to return, OT Cornelius Lucas (ankle) IR eligible to return, RB Bryce Love (knee) IR eligible to return

Betting Trends to Know:

Cincinnati Bengals: 2-6-1 SU this season, 6-2-1 ATS this season, 3-2 ATS on the road this season, 0-16-1 SU in last 17 road games, the total has gone over in 4 of the Bengals’ last 5 games this season

Washington Football Team: 2-7 SU this season, 3-5-1 ATS this season, 2-2-1 ATS at home this season, 3-14 SU in last 17 games at home, the total has gone over in 7 of Washington’s last 8 games vs. AFC North teams

Odds: Washington -1.5, O/U 46.5

My predictions: Washington wins 26-22, Washington covers, over 46.5 points

(0-9) New York Jets @ (2-7) Los Angeles Chargers

TV Info: 11/22/20, 4:05 PM EST, FOXlosangeleschargersnew100X100new york jets

Justin Herbert struggled last week against a surging Miami defense, but his final stats were still pretty strong as he completed 20 of 32 passes for 187 yards and 2 touchdowns to 1 interception. He also rushed 4 times for 10 yards and a touchdown. Herbert is now on a 16-game pace of 4,600 passing yards with 38 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. He won the Offensive Rookie of the Month award for October and is the clear frontrunner to win Offensive Player of the Year. Keenan Allen has been tremendous with 65 catches for 690 yards and 5 touchdowns through 9 games, while Mike Williams has made some huge plays. Defensively, the Chargers have been hampered by their several injuries, but they shouldn’t have too difficult of a time stopping this Jets’ offense. The Jets actually looked pretty strong a couple of weeks ago before their bye week as they nearly beat the Patriots on Monday Night Football. Joe Flacco completed 18 of 25 passes for 262 yards, 3 touchdowns, and an interception, while Breshad Perriman caught 5 passes for 101 yards and 2 touchdowns. However, New York has still scored just 13.4 points per game, and I believe that game was much more of a fluky one-off than a turning point for their season. The Chargers’ offense is very capable of running the score up with Justin Herbert playing some tremendous football, especially against a New York defense that has allowed 29.8 points per game, the third-most in the NFL. Give me the Chargers to pick up their third win of the season in one of the most impressive performances of Justin Herbert’s proficient rookie season.

Weather forecast: dome, N/A

Matchup to watch: Justin Herbert vs. Jets’ pass defense (allowing 4th-most passing yards per game)

Injury Report:

New York Jets: QB Sam Darnold (shoulder) O, DT Quinnen Williams (hamstring) Q, OT Mekhi Becton (chest) Q, LB Brian Cashman (hamstring) Q, K Sam Ficken (groin) Q, CB Brian Poole (knee) Q, WR Chris Hogan (ankle) IR eligible to return, LB Patrick Onwuasor (knee) IR eligible to return

Los Angeles Chargers: DE Joey Bosa (concussion) Q, CB Chris Harris Jr. (foot) IR eligible to return, RB Austin Ekeler (hamstring) IR eligible to return, TE Virgil Green (ankle) IR eligible to return, LB Drue Tranquill (ankle) IR eligible to return

Betting Trends to Know:

New York Jets: 0-9 SU this season, 2-7 ATS this season, 0-4 ATS on the road this season, the total has gone under in 4 of the Jets’ last 5 games

Los Angeles Chargers: 2-7 SU this season, 4-4-1 ATS this season, 2-2 ATS at home this season, the total has gone over in 5 of the Chargers’ last 5 games

Odds: Chargers -8.5, O/U 47

My predictions: Chargers win 31-13, Chargers cover, under 47 points

(2-7) Dallas Cowboys @ (4-5) Minnesota Vikings

TV Info: 11/22/20, 4:25 PM EST, FOXminnesota vikingsdallas cowboys

Weather forecast: dome, N/A

The Vikings are on a tear right now with three straight wins over their divisional opponents in the Packers, Lions, and Bears. Kirk Cousins finally overcame his Monday Night Football demons with a win in primetime. He completed 25 of 36 passes for 292 yards, 2 touchdowns, and an interception against what has been one of the best passing defenses in the NFL. Justin Jefferson continued his scorching rookie season with 8 catches for 135 yards while Adam Thielen caught another 2 touchdowns to bring his season total to 9, tied for the most in the NFL. The Cowboys have allowed an average passer rating of 103.1, the fifth-highest, and 21 touchdowns so far, the 2nd-most in the NFL, so Cousins, Thielen, and Jefferson should continue to produce. On the other side of the ball, the Vikings’ secondary has struggled all year as they’ve allowed the sixth-most passing yards per game and are dealing with injuries to would-be starting cornerbacks Mike Hughes, Holton Hill, and Cameron Dantzler. It looks like Andy Dalton will return this week, and he’ll be primed to take advantage of this overmatched secondary, especially with all of the receiving talents he has at his disposal in Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, and CeeDee Lamb. The Cowboys will continue to be without their starting tackles – Tyron Smith and La’El Collins – but the Vikings have just 18 sacks in 9 games as their top pass-rushers, Danielle Hunter and Anthony Barr, remain on Injured Reserve. The Vikings have clearly been the better team this season as they have gone 6-3 ATS while the Cowboys have gone 1-8 ATS. However, a line of over a touchdown for Minnesota is too much. I’ll still pick the Vikings to win at home, given their recent momentum and the strong coaching of Mike Zimmer. Still, the Cowboys should be able to keep this game close, especially after we saw them nearly beat the Steelers with Garrett Gilbert under center before their bye.

Weather forecast: dome, N/A

Matchup to watch: Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, and CeeDee Lamb vs. Vikings’ cornerbacks (allowing sixth-most passing yards per game)

Injury Report:

Dallas Cowboys: C Tyler Biadasz (hamstring) Q, LB Joe Thomas (wrist) Q, CB Trevon Diggs (foot) O, DT Tyrone Crawford (COVID-19) IR, OT Brandon Knight (knee) IR eligible to return

Minnesota Vikings: CB Cameron Dantzler (concussion) Q, TE Irv Smith (groin) Q, LB Jordan Brailford (personal) Q, CB Mike Hughes (neck) IR eligible to return, S Myles Dorn (undisclosed) IR eligible to return

Betting Trends to Know:

Dallas Cowboys: 2-7 SU this season, 1-8 ATS this season, 0-5 ATS in last 5 games vs. the Vikings, the total has gone under in 4 of the Cowboys’ last 5 games

Minnesota Vikings: 4-5 SU this season, 6-3 ATS this season, 6-1 ATS in last 7 games, the total has gone over in 5 of Minnesota’s last 7 games

Odds: Vikings -7.5, O/U 48

My predictions: Vikings win 27-23, Cowboys cover, over 48 points

(7-2) Green Bay Packers @ (6-3) Indianapolis Colts

TV Info: 11/22/20, 4:25 PM EST, CBSindianpolis coltsgreen bay packers

Weather forecast: dome, N/A

The Packers surprisingly cut it close against a Jaguars team with rookie sixth-round quarterback Jake Luton making his second career start as they came away with just a 4-point win at home in some brutal conditions. Aaron Rodgers threw for another 325 yards and 2 touchdowns, but he had his third interception of the season and his first in almost a month. Aaron Jones was surprisingly ineffective on the ground against a porous Jacksonville run defense, while Davante Adams had a modest 8-66-1 line after torching opposing teams the prior few weeks. Approximately none of that bodes well for Green bay as they go on the road to face a Colts defense that has allowed just 19.7 points per game, the 4th-fewest, and 290.4 total yards per game, the fewest. However, Green Bay has just 5 turnovers all season, the 2nd-fewest in the NFL, so they should be able to keep the ball moving. On the offensive side of the ball, the Colts will take advantage of a Packers’ secondary that could be without its top two cornerbacks in Jaire Alexander and Kevin King. The Jaguars weren’t quite able to expose them for it, but Alexander has been one of the best cornerbacks in football, and his absence would be huge for Green Bay. The Colts have seen limited production from their receiving corps, but rookie wideout Michael Pittman Jr. broke out last week against the Titans with 7 catches for 101 yards. He’s a player to watch this week as he could be a huge difference-maker, particularly if Alexander misses. Nyheim Hines broke out for the Colts last week as he gained 115 all-purpose yards on 17 touches and scored two touchdowns against the Titans. With Jordan Wilkins and Jonathan Taylor largely ineffective, Hines has taken on more of a role behind one of the best offensive lines in the NFL. The Packers have struggled against running backs all year as they’ve allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to the position, and Hines could be a real difference-maker yet again this week. Ultimately, both of these teams are very efficient offensively, but I’ll take the Colts to win here as the healthier team with a better defense, especially as they’re playing at home.

Matchup to watch: Davante Adams (Packers wide receiver) vs. Xavier Rhodes (Colts cornerback)

Injury Report:

Green Bay Packers: CB Jaire Alexander (concussion) Q, CB Kevin King (quadriceps) Q, WR Darius Shepherd (shoulder) Q, S Will Redmond (shoulder) Q, WR Allen Lazard (abdomen) Q, RB Tyler Ervin (ribs) Q, RB A.J. Dillon (COVID-19) IR

Indianapolis Colts: TE Jack Doyle (concussion) Q, CB Kenny Moore (ribs) Q, WR Parris Campbell (MCL) IR eligible to return, DE Kemeko Turay (ankle) PUP eligible to return

Betting Trends to Know:

Green Bay Packers: 7-2 SU this season, 6-3 ATS this season, 4-1 ATS in last 5 games on the road, 2-7 in last 9 games vs. Indianapolis, the total has gone under in 4 of Green Bay’s last 6 games

Indianapolis Colts: 6-3 SU this season, 5-4 ATS this season, 6-2 SU in last 8 games, 4-0-1 SU in last 5 games at home vs. Green Bay, the total has gone over in 4 of Indianapolis’s last 5 games

Odds: Colts -2.5, O/U 51.5

My predictions: Colts win 27-24, Colts cover, under 51.5 points

(8-1) Kansas City Chiefs @ (6-3) Las Vegas Raiders

TV Info: 11/22/20, 8:20 PM EST, NBCoakland raiderskansas city chiefs

Weather forecast: dome, N/A

The Chiefs have roared to an 8-1 start and are coming off a perfectly-timed bye week to set them up for the final stretch of the season. Their one loss of the year came back in October at home to the division-rival Raiders. Derek Carr was excellent that day as he completed 22 of 31 passes for 347 yards and 3 touchdowns to 1 interception as Josh Jacobs rushed for 77 yards and 2 touchdowns on 23 carries. That game still represents Henry Ruggs’s best game of the year as he had 2 catches for 118 yards and 1 touchdown on a play he absolutely torched Kansas City’s secondary. The Chiefs’ defense looked awful that day as the Raiders put up 40 points, but they held their opponents to just 18.3 points per game over the ensuing four weeks. However, the Chiefs have still allowed opponents to rush for 138.4 yards per game, the fourth-most in the NFL. Vegas’s rushing offense has been tremendous as of late, and against the Broncos last week, Josh Jacobs and Devontae Booker combined for 37 carries for 193 yards and 4 touchdowns. The Raiders’ margin of victory of 25 points was incredibly impressive, but Drew Lock threw 4 interceptions and played awful football in general, so it’s hard to glean much from that outcome. The Chiefs have a +9 turnover differential, the third-best in the NFL, so it’s not like we should expect them to have the same outcome against this Raiders defense. Vegas is also seriously banged up right now. Kolton Miller and Trent Brown, the team’s two starting offensive tackles, could be missing this week. Defensive end Clelin Ferrell and defensive back Lamarcus Joyner were added to the COVID-19 list on Tuesday, while linebacker Cory Littleton remains there. The Chiefs aren’t much healthier with a slew of players on the injury list this week, including Mitchell Schwartz and Eric Fisher, who is on the COVID-19 IR list. Ultimately, this game comes down to whether or not Patrick Mahomes can perform against the Raiders’ defense that has allowed 264.9 passing yards per game, the 8th-most in the NFL. With Vegas missing some key defensive players and Mahomes coming off the bye week with a bit of a chip on his shoulder against the one team the Chiefs have lost to, I’m expecting him to explode in primetime. The Raiders can score enough to keep this close, and I’ll pick them ATS, but the Chiefs won’t let them sweep the season series.

Matchup to watch: Patrick Mahomes vs. Raiders’ pass defense (8th-most passing yards per game allowed)

Injury Report:

Kansas City Chiefs: WR Sammy Watkins (hamstring) Q, CB Rashad Fenton (ankle) Q, CB Antonio Hamilton (hamstring) Q, OT Mike Remmers (ribs) Q, OT Mitchell Schwartz (COVID-19) IR, OT Eric Fisher (COVID-19) IR, OT Martinas Rankin (COVID-19) IR, WR Mecole Hardman (COVID-19) IR, CB Ljarius Sneed (collarbone) IR eligible to return, DE Alex Okafor (hamstring) IR eligible to return, DE Taco Charlton (leg) O

Las Vegas Raiders: OT Kolton Miller (ankle) Q, DT Maurice Hurst (ankle) Q, RB Jalen Richard (chest) Q, LB Corey Littleton (COVID-19) IR, OT Trent Brown (COVID-19) IR, DE Clelin Ferrell (COVID-19) IR, DB Lamarcus Joyner (COVID-19) IR, C Richie Incognito (Achilles) IR eligible to return

Betting Trends to Know:

Kansas City Chiefs: 8-1 SU this season, 6-3 ATS this season, 8-2 SU in last 10 games vs. Raiders, 6-4 in last 10 games vs. Raiders

Las Vegas Raiders: 6-3 SU this season, 6-3 ATS this season, 1-2 SU in last 3 games vs. Chiefs, 1-2 ATS in last 3 games vs. Chiefs, the total has gone over in 7 of Las Vegas’s last 9 games

Odds: Chiefs -6.5, O/U 56.5

My predictions: Chiefs win 31-27, Raiders cover, over 56.5 points

Monday Night Football

(6-3) Los Angeles Rams @ (7-3) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

TV Info: 11/23/20, 8:15 PM EST, ESPNtampa bay buccaneerslos angeles rams new 100x100

Weather forecast: 74° F, clear, 8 mph wind

The Rams are coming off their most impressive win of the season, a 7-point home victory over the division-rival Seahawks in which they smothered Russell Wilson and held him without a touchdown for the first time all season. Los Angeles’s defense was stupendous in creating constant pressure on Wilson and holding D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett to a combined 7 catches for 94 yards, their worst production of the season. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers are coming off a much-needed bounceback win over the Panthers after an embarrassing 38-3 loss to the Saints their last time on primetime. Against Carolina, Tom Brady bounced back in a huge way as he completed 28 of 39 passes for 341 yards and 3 touchdowns. The Rams’ pass defense has continued to emerge as they’ve allowed the third-fewest passing yards per game, but they quite simply don’t have the bodies to match up with the trio of Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, and Antonio Brown. Tampa’s offensive line struggled some last week with Ali Marpet out, and his return will be huge for this team to be able to at least attempt to block Aaron Donald this week. For the Rams, the prospect of losing Andrew Whitworth for the remainder of the season has to be terrifying as the 38-year-old left tackle has been a stalwart for this tWith with 32 sacks through 10 games (2nd-mothe Buccaneers st), will push this offensive line to the limit as they attempt to rework themselves without their leader. Jared Goff still didn’t look good against the Seahawks last week, despite his final numbers being solid, and he’s likely going to struggle against Tampa’s front seven, which is one of the best in the NFL. The Buccaneers have also allowed the fewest rushing yards per game, so it’s unlikely the Rams can support Goff with the type of run game he needs alongside him in order to succeed. This is going to be a low-scoring game between two of the best defenses in the NFL, and I’m taking Tom Brady to find a way to get the win at home.

Matchup to watch: Rams’ offensive line (lost Andrew Whitworth) vs. Buccaneers’ front seven (2nd-most sacks this season)

Injury Report:

Los Angeles Rams: C Brian Allen (knee) Q, K Kai Forbath (ankle) Q, S Taylor Rapp (knee) Q, OT Andrew Whitworth (MCL) IR

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: OG Ali Marpet (concussion) Q, WR Jordan Mickens (COVID-19) IR, S Justin Evans (foot) PUP eligible to return, LB Jack Cichy (hamstring) IR eligible to return

Betting Trends to Know:

Los Angeles Rams: 6-3 SU this season, 5-4 ATS this season, 6-1 ATS in last 7 games vs. the Rams, 2-5 SU in last 7 games on the road, the total has gone under in 5 of the Rams’ last 5 games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-3 SU this season, 5-5 ATS this season, 4-1 SU in last 5 games, the total has gone under in 5 of Tampa’s last 6 home games vs. the Rams

Odds: Buccanneers -3.5, O/U 47.5

My predictions: Buccaneers win 23-21, Rams cover, under 47.5 points

  
For as long as I've been watching sports, I've been gambling on them too. I used to place $1 bets on several NBA games throughout the week with a buddy in high school with the winner rarely getting more than a few dollars for their trouble. It didn't matter - the rush of landing a winning bet and the ensuing bragging rights were enough. Now I've graduated to full-blown degenerate status, placing copious futures bets for every sport and designing elaborate parlays for maximum payoff. I've experienced my fair share of blown chances but there's no better feeling than using my sports research and knowledge to pull off a win.

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