NFL Week 11 Trends: Packers Coasting, Lions Struggling; What Else is New?

In this weekly column, I pick out some of the eye-popping trends for the upcoming NFL matchups with an eye on helping you make more educated bets. Keep in mind that these trends are not always prescriptive for what will happen in the future. In fact, you might notice that some of these trends directly contradict one another. The goal here is to have the background knowledge to better frame your bets. Does one team always cover against another? Is one team struggling on the road lately? Is another team dominant in the month of November? Those are the questions we hope to answer with this column. Let’s dive in.

Week 11 Betting Trends to Know

*Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook

New England Patriots (-7, O/U 47) vs. Atlanta Falcons

  • Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall
  • Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Thursday Night Football games
  • Falcons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss
  • Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass
  • Under is 12-2 in the Patriots’ last 14 road games against a team with a losing home record
  • Under is 5-0 in the Falcons’ last 5 Thursday Night Football games

New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-2, O/U 43)

  • Saints are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a losing home record
  • Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss
  • Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite
  • Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against NFC teams
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams in Philadelphia
  • Over is 5-1 in the Saints’ last 6 games overall

Miami Dolphins (-3.5, O/U 44.5) vs. New York Jets

  • Dolphins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November
  • Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite
  • Jets are 11-25 ATS in their last 36 games in November
  • Jets are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against the Dolphins
  • Under is 6-1 in the Dolphins’ last 7 games against AFC East teams
  • Over is 6-0 in the Jets’ last 6 games overall

Washington Football Team vs. Carolina Panthers (-3.5, O/U 43)

  • Football Team are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog
  • Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November
  • Underdog is 8-3 ATS in these teams’ last 11 meetings
  • Under is 4-0 in the Football Team’s last 4 games overall
  • Under is 5-0 in the Panthers’ last 5 games as a favorite
  • Under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings between these teams

Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills (-7, O/U 50.5)

  • Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss
  • Bills are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games in November
  • Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these teams
  • Over is 10-1 in the Colts’ last 11 games against a team with a winning record
  • Under is 4-1 in the Bills’ last 5 games as a home favorite
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams

Detroit Lions vs. Cleveland Browns (-11, O/U 43.5)

  • Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win
  • Lions are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games in November
  • Browns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record
  • Browns are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games in November
  • Under is 4-0 in the Lions’ last 4 games as a road underdog
  • Under is 5-1 in the Browns’ last 6 games against a team with a losing record

San Francisco 49ers (-6, O/U 45) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

  • 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite
  • 49ers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win
  • Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November
  • Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record
  • Over is 6-0 in the 49ers’ last 6 games following an ATS win
  • Under is 4-0 in the Jaguars’ last 4 games as an underdog

Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans (-10, O/U 44.5)

  • Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss
  • Texas are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog
  • Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the AFC South
  • Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Tennessee against the Texans
  • Under is 4-0 in the Texans’ last 4 games as a road underdog
  • Over is 9-2 in the Titans’ last 11 games in November

Green Bay Packers (-2, O/U 49.5) vs. Minnesota Vikings

  • Packers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win
  • Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games
  • Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog
  • Vikings are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games
  • Under is 9-4 in the last 13 games between these teams
  • Under is 7-0 in the Packers’ last 7 games overall

Baltimore Ravens (-5, O/U 45.5) vs. Chicago Bears

  • Ravens are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite
  • Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a losing record
  • Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record
  • Bears are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a bye week
  • Under is 6-1 in the Ravens’ last 7 road games
  • Under is 5-1 in the Bears’ last 6 games against a team with a winning record

Cincinnati Bengals (-1, O/U 49.5) vs. Las Vegas Raiders

  • Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit home loss
  • Bengals are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite
  • Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog
  • Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall
  • Bengals are 4-0 ATS in these teams’ last 4 meetings
  • Over is 11-0-1 in the Raiders’ last 12 games as a home underdog

Arizona Cardinals (-2.5, O/U 48) vs. Seattle Seahawks

  • Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of 14+ points
  • Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Seattle
  • Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November
  • Seahawks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against the NFC
  • Under is 7-0 in the Cardinals’ last 7 games as a road favorite
  • Under is 6-0 in the Seahawks’ last 6 games as an underdog

Dallas Cowboys vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5, O/U 56.5)

  • Cowboys are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall
  • Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog
  • Chiefs are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games
  • Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 following an ATS win
  • Over is 7-3 in the Cowboys’ last 10 games after a straight up win
  • Over is 5-1 in the Chiefs’ last 6 games after allowing 15 or fewer points

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Los Angeles Chargers (-5.5, O/U 47)

  • Steelers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall
  • Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Los Angeles
  • Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss
  • Chargers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games in November
  • Under is 5-1 in the Steelers’ last 6 games following an ATS loss
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams in Los Angeles

New York Giants vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-11, O/U 49.5)

  • Giants are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November
  • Giants are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Tampa Bay
  • Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games
  • Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite
  • Over is 6-1 in the Buccaneers’ last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record
  • Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these teams
I've been a huge sports fan for as long as I can remember and I've always loved writing. In 2020, I joined the Lineups team, and I've been producing written and video content on football and basketball ever since. In May 2021, I graduated from the University of Michigan with a degree in sport management. My goal is to tell enthralling stories and provide meaningful insight on the sports I write about while helping you cash some bets along the way.

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