The NFL season is cruising along, and it’s hard to believe we’re already to Week 14. While there aren’t many weeks of the regular season remaining, there can still be some fantastic value in placing future bets. In this weekly article, I look at my favorite values on the board and select two future bets that I would be placing before Week 14 begins. Let’s take a look.
Futures We’ve Bet On
*Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook
- Arizona Cardinals Under 13.5 Wins; Current Odds: 13.5 Wins
- New England Patriots to Make the Playoffs at +350; Current Odds: -10000
- Seattle Seahawks to Make the Playoffs at +230; Current Odds: +1000
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the #1 Seed in the NFC at +490; Current Odds: +200
- Cleveland Browns to win the AFC North at +420; Current Odds: +600
- Denver Broncos Over 8.5 Wins; Current Odds: 8.5 Wins
- Kansas City Chiefs to win the AFC West at -110; Current Odds: -200
- Philadelpia Eagles to Make the Playoffs at +200; Current Odds: +125
- Tennessee Titans Over 12.5 Wins; Current Odds: 11.5 Wins
- Miami Dolphins to Make the Playoffs: +1000; Current Odds: +800
- Jonathan Taylor Offensive Player of the Year: +225; Current Odds: +160
Green Bay Packers to Win the Super Bowl: +750
The Patriots are quickly ascending in Mac Jones’s rookie year, the Chiefs and Buccaneers are the incumbents, and the Cardinals are the hottest team in the NFL. It’s easy to forget the Packers, however, and I believe the case can be made that they are the best team in the league. Green Bay is 9-3 and in a dead heat with Arizona and Tampa Bay for the #1 seed in the NFC, but the Packers have the upper hand as they face the second-easiest schedule for the remainder of the season with three divisional matchups against losing teams still on deck.
While Aaron Rodgers is playing excellent football and should be a strong MVP candidate, the Packers have been driven by one of the best defenses in the NFL. Despite being without All-Pro cornerback, Jaire Alexander, and Pro Bowl linebacker Za’Darius Smith for essentially the entire season, the Packers have allowed the fifth-fewest points per game. Alexander and Smith are close to returning to the team, as is All-Pro left tackle David Bakhtiari whose return will help steady an already solid offensive line.
Green Bay’s bye week came at an excellent time for a veteran team with a handful of ongoing injuries, and they should be able to get on a hot streak entering the playoffs. This is my current pick to win the Super Bowl, and +750 odds seems like it should be too good to be true.
Cincinnati Bengals to Miss the Playoffs: -110
The Bengals are essentially sitting at even odds to make the playoffs despite their blowout home loss to the Chargers, but they have an uphill climb to make that happen. Joe Burrow, Joe Mixon, and Tee Higgins, three of their most offensive players, haven’t practiced as of Wednesday afternoon, leaving their respective statuses up in the air for this week’s pivotal game against the 49ers. If any of the three cannot play, I would be leaning towards San Francisco winning that game that is already a pick ‘em in the odds.
Cincinnati has a brutal schedule the rest of the way, with the Chiefs, Ravens, 49ers, Browns, and Bengals still on the slate. Three of those games are at home, but those teams are all capable of generating pressure on Joe Burrow behind a banged-up offensive line and forcing him to make mistakes to add to his league-leading 14 interceptions. There are debatably eight different teams fighting for the same three Wild Card spots in the AFC, and the Bengals have more adversity to deal with than most of them, despite having a game in hand over most of those teams.
I’m not saying the Bengals will miss the playoffs, but if Burrow or Mixon is unable to play this week, the Niners will likely win, and if the Niners win, these odds will be much higher on Monday morning. With an uphill climb to grab a postseason seed, I like these odds to bank against a suddenly significantly injured Cincinnati team.