Week 2 is here with a lot of shootout potential. There are currently four games with a 50+ implied total, and there are 11 teams with over a 25 implied teal total. FanDuel tournament picks range from various prices and is a mix of upside projections and ownership. To preface the picks below, I will still be targeting Chargers, Cowboys, Buccaneers, Seahawks, Titans, Cardinals, and Vikings receivers. It is likely that most of the names cut into each other’s ownership a bit, so nailing the right combination will be key as usual. However, these will be the popular games that many target. I just want to shine some light on other games and also give some unique builds.
Matthew Stafford – Los Angeles Rams – $7,500 – Projection: 21.1
The Rams offense is laughably cheap on both sites this week, but that will probably change after this week as they were on the primetime game after salaries came out. I talked about picking on the Colts last week, and Russell Wilson delivered a monster performance with his two wide receivers. I am going back to the well here. This secondary relied a lot on Xavier Rhodes last year, who is still dealing with an injury. They are very thin in the secondary and have not been a team to generate a ton of pressure. This is a recipe for disaster on the defensive side. Stafford is a great pivot away from the other quarterbacks in this range.
Matt Ryan – Atlanta Falcons – $6,700 – Projection: 19.3
Going a bit off the wall here, but $6,700 is an insane price tag for someone who can toss 300 and multi-touchdowns this week. The Buccaneers defense does scare me a bit but more for the reasons of generating pressure and not so much defending the pass. If the Falcons can keep Ryan upright this week, him and Ridley/Pitts can put up some fantasy points. This will be a favorable game script again for Atlanta, given the Bucs will win this game and put up a big score. Ryan allows an additional bundle of salary to upgrade at other positions if needed. Although on FanDuel you are essentially playing with free squares until pricing tightens up.
Chris Carson – Seattle Seahawks – $6,700 – Projection: 16.2
Most people look at Seattle and plug in Lockett/Metcalf/Wilson and call it a day. I mean, I do at times. Yet, we often overlook Chris Carson’s role in this offense. Carson had 19 touches against the Colts, tallying over 100 yards of offense. However, he missed the touchdown to have a big day. Tennessee gave up a ton through the air last week but allowed a combined 116 yards between Edmonds and Conner on the ground last week. They also allowed the 7th most half-PPR points to running backs last season. Seattle is touchdown favorites in this one and has a massive 30 implied team total. This adds up for a strong week
Austin Ekeler – Los Angeles Chargers – $7,000 – Projection: 17.4
This is similar logic for Austin Ekeler as we get another high-scoring game where most people will be looking at the passing games. Austin Ekeler had the dreaded injury tag last week but ended up having 15 touches. And that was even without a single catch, in fact, he didn’t have a single target. Dallas defense is going to be one to target all season long and we know their struggles against the pass, but they also allowed over 2,000 yards on the ground last season and 22.5 half-PPR points per game to running backs.
Cooper Kupp – Los Angeles Rams – $6,200 – Projection: 14.9
Both Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods are ridiculously cheap this week. Colts were a middle-of-the-road defense against wide receivers last season, especially when they faced better offenses. Kupp is coming off a massive Week 1, as Sean McVay showed off his shiny new toy in LA. The price tag is the appealing part of Kupp this week, but a full on Rams stack is what I am after. This team is going to put up points in bunches and because of the way the schedule shapes up for Week 2, the Rams will be undervalued and lower owned.
Stefon Diggs – Buffalo Bills – $7,500 – Projection: 19.5
Stefon Diggs had a relatively quiet Week 1 and won’t be on the radar for many in Week 2 due to the strong matchups for names around him. At $7,500 this is a steal and his ownership should be sub 10%. Miami allowed the 10th most fantasy points to WRs last season and didn’t look particularly impressive against the Patriots pass offense, led by Mac Jones. Diggs dropped over 200 receiving yards in the two meetings last season against Miami, who play a lot of man coverage. Diggs excels against man coverage and will be overlooked.
Chase Claypool – Pittsburgh Steelers – $5,900 – Projection: 11.3
Ben Roethlisberger has some interesting odds this week as his passing touchdown numbers are actually favored to go over 2.5. The Steelers are at home against the Raiders, who head on the road after an insane win over the Ravens. Las Vegas really struggled with the Ravens receivers, but luckily the pass rush was a big help. While I don’t love the Steelers line, it won’t be like how it was last week and that is a concern. The Steelers wideouts are appealing pivots in this one and Claypool is a home run threat with multi-touchdown upside. He can certainly differ your teams in tournaments.
George Kittle – San Francisco 49ers – $6,700 – Projection: 15.2
It was the Deebo Samuel show last week as George Kittle had a “quiet” 4-78-0 day against the Lions. The Eagles are a strong matchup for Kittle this week, as they allowed the 10th most half-PPR points to tight ends. Kittle torched this team last year for a 15-183-1 line. Philadelphia gave up a ton of targets to tight ends last season and I’d be shocked to see Kittle have a quiet day. The price tag is more than reasonable and given how cheap everybody is this week, you can slide him in without sacrificing elsewhere.
Cleveland Browns – $4,200 – Projection: 9.4
Houston’s offense actually didn’t look bad last week but that was against a Jaguars defense that will be torched all year. Cleveland will rebound this week against the Texans. The Browns have a strong defense and a deeper secondary now compared to last season. The pass rush and secondary will be a big part of this team’s success. The Texans have an implied total of 17 this week, which is the lowest on the board. We will get to see how this unit does under some pressure and trying to come from behind.