Week 3 NFL Odds & Lines
Lookahead NFL odds & Lines for Week 3
NFL Week 3 Betting Picks
How many Week 1 overreactions will survive the Week 2 schedule? As the second week of the NFL season gets ready to reveal what’s true and what’s not about many teams, it’s not too early to start giving a few Week 3 betting lines some consideration.
Let’s take a look at the early Week 3 odds and which bets to place early.
New York Jets Moneyline (+110) vs. New England Patriots
The Jets lost twice to the Patriots in 2022, but both were razor-thin games that it felt like the Jets would’ve won with even slightly better quarterback play. Whether Zach Wilson can be marginally better is still to be determined. What we do know is that the Jets’ defense can be every bit as dominant as it was against New England last season.
New York’s defense had Josh Allen confused throughout the second half and overtime in Week 1, even after the emotional blow of losing Aaron Rodgers. Playing at MetLife Stadium, the combination of a dominant defense and an offense that hopefully will benefit from Rodgers’ impact on Wilson, it feels like this line could be a bit more even.
The Patriots have a very tough assignment in Week 2, facing a healthy and talented Dolphins offense. If they drop to 0-2 – or if the Jets do a great job against the Cowboys’ offense, even in a loss – +110 might be the best value you can get on the Jets moneyline.
Jacksonville Jaguars (-7.5) vs. Houston Texans
The Jaguars earned a 10-point win over the Colts even after a flukish defensive play (catching Tank Bigsby sleeping) gave Indianapolis a free touchdown. A home game against the Texans should be enough for a pretty sizable win, and this line might reflect that as the game approaches.
If Jacksonville hangs with the Chiefs in Week 2, which certainly seems possible with the way Trevor Lawrence was slinging the ball in Week 1, it’s going to become clear the Jaguars are in an entirely different stratosphere than the Texans.
Likewise, if Houston struggles at all against a bad Colts team – very likely if Davis Mills starts in place of C.J. Stroud – it’s going to remove what little confidence is left in the Texans. I like this line today and would be surprised if it narrowed at all.
Atlanta Falcons (+5.5) vs. Detroit Lions
I like the Falcons’ chances at home against the Packers in Week 2, particularly with Aaron Jones out for Green Bay. Atlanta’s defense looks improved, the running game is as dynamic as expected, and the only step left is seemingly to get Desmond Ridder throwing to Kyle Pitts and Drake London. If the Falcons handle the Packers well, they probably won’t be such a significant underdog in Week 3, even on the road.
The Lions’ defense has improved greatly, but their run defense did get torched by Carolina on Christmas Eve last season. The chances of Detroit struggling to handle the two-headed monster of Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier are too high for the line to sit beyond five points.
Seattle Seahawks (-4) vs. Carolina Panthers
It’s hard not to lose all faith in the Panthers, as the offense clearly needs more weapons and the injury to CB Jaycee Horn could leave a gaping hole in their secondary. Their chances against the Saints, who are running out Chris Olave and a still-healthy Michael Thomas, are pretty slim without Horn. If those two carve up Carolina’s defense, what could D.K. Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba do?
The Seahawks could move this line themselves by going into Detroit and knocking off the Lions. Just a competitive game would help restore some confidence in Seattle. Even if the Seahawks don’t win, more evidence that the Panthers are far away from contention could move this line toward Pete Carroll’s group.