NFL Week 4 Player Prop Bets: Back Michael Pittman Jr. to Continue Breakout
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Week 4 of the NFL season is going to bring a ton of exciting matchups with all kinds of avenues to explore for placing bets. In this column, I take a look at a handful of player prop lines that I think may be worth betting on this week. As always, check out a number of different sportsbooks to make sure you are getting the best odds in the market.
Week 4 NFL Searchable Player Props
Quarterback Player Props
Ryan Tannehill
Over 203.5 passing yards
A.J. Brown and Julio Jones have been ruled out for the game on Sunday, leaving Tennessee’s offense a little lighter. Ryan Tannehill should still be able to move the ball against the Jets, however, and this line is low for a player who is among the better quarterbacks in the NFL. The Titans will make an effort to push the ball downfield still to open up more opportunities for Derrick Henry on the ground, and Tannehill will have a few big passing plays against the New York secondary.
Matthew Stafford
Under 295.5 passing yards
Matthew Stafford has had an excellent start to the season, but he faces the Cardinals this week who have allowed just 202 passing yards per game, the eighth-fewest in the NFL. With two strong defenses on either side, this game will likely be more of an offensive struggle than Vegas is making it out to be. I love Stafford, but I’m fading him this week in a tougher matchup, and I currently have him projected for around 288 passing yards. While the Cardinals-Rams game should be one to watch, fantasy players expecting a firey shootout may be a bit disappointed.
Running Back Player Props
Damien Harris
Over 45.5 rushing yards
While Damien Harris is coming off a poor game with only six carries for 14 yards, I’m expecting his level of involvement to increase this week. The Buccaneers do have one of the best run defenses in the NFL, but Tom Brady is going to struggle in his return to New England, and this game will be competitive throughout. With a positive game script this week, Harris should see 15+ carries as he did in Weeks 1 and 2. Even if the Buccaneers allow just 3.0 YPC, he should pass this number.
Ty’Son Williams
Over 31.5 rushing yards
This week seems to be make-or-break for Ty’Son Williams after a poor showing with five carries and 22 yards last week. The Ravens had a weird game offensively overall, though, and I’m not holding it against Williams that he was less involved. This week, the Broncos should provide a stern test for the Ravens’ elite run game. However, Williams is still the Ravens’ top running back and can break off a few long runs and should be suitable for at least 32 rushing yards.
Wide Receiver Player Props
Michael Pittman Jr.
Over 4.5 receptions, over 47.5 receiving yards
The NFL world continues to sleep on Michael Pittman Jr., and this is another week where I think you can take advantage of player prop bets. The Dolphins have a decent defense, but they are allowing 265.3 passing yards per game, and Pittman is garnering a 26.9% target share so far this season. Assuming he gets 26.9% of those passing yards, he would be suitable for 71 receiving yards. While that’s a lofty expectation, I admit, Pittman should be able to surpass these numbers. He’s going to continue to emerge in his second professional season in the NFL.
Tim Patrick
Over 49.5 receiving yards
It’s been an excellent start to the year for Tim Patrick, and I’m very excited to see what more he has in store. With Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler both injured, Patrick has re-emerged as one of the lynchpins of the Denver defense. With Marlon Humphery’s defensive attention focused on Courtland Sutton this week, Patrick should succeed in lighter coverage. He’s a very talented receiver who is capable of taking advantage of his opportunity.
Tight End Player Props
Dawson Knox
Over 22.5 receiving yards
So far this season, it’s seemed like Dawson Knox has emerged as a more significant part of the offense with ten catches for 107 yards and two touchdowns through three games. Knox has a career of 12.6 yards per reception, making him capable of breaking off more extended downfield plays, and he should have every opportunity to do so against the hapless Texans.
Darren Waller
Over 68.5 receiving yards
After a whopping ten catches for 105 yards in Week 1, Darren Waller has had under 70 receiving yards in two straight weeks. However, this should be the matchup he can bounce back in as the Chargers and Raiders are expected to play a barn-burner on Monday night. With Joey Bosa harassing Derek Carr, Waller will be heavily relied upon as a safety blanket with the upside for huge plays downfield.
