NFL Week 6 Betting Trends: Great Week to Back the Road Favorites

Week 6 of the NFL is here, which means we have teams on bye for the first time; this week, the Saints, Falcons, 49ers, and Jets will not be taking the field. However, there are several exciting matchups to watch, and you can get a full rundown of each game with my Week 6 Lines & Predictions article. In this article, I take a look at betting trends around the NFL this season and trends for the upcoming games. Hopefully, knowing recent history related to the upcoming games and betting results for the current season will help you make more intelligent and more successful bets. Let’s dive in.

Interesting Trends So Far

One of the most exciting betting trends so far has been the relative lack of success of home teams – they have gone just 39-41 straight up and 35-45 against the spread. Most people expected a return of fans to stadiums to lead to the opposite result, but that has not been the case so far. Home favorites have been particularly vulnerable in going 20-30 against the spread, although they have been 29-21 straight up.

I’m backing a handful of road favorites this week, and I feel decent about it, given they are 19-10 straight up and 15-15 against the spread so far. Underdogs crushed to start this season, but that trend has leveled out, and dogs went 7-9 against the spread in Week 5 to bring their record to 45-35 against the spread on the year.

Last week, I suggested not chasing the under trend as the under had hit in 57.8% of games heading into Week 5. The under went just 7-9 in Week 5, so I hope you heeded that advice. I have not been particularly successful in betting on the over-under this season, but there are a handful of games I’m targeting this week.

Week 6 Betting Trends to Know

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6.5, O/U 53) vs. Philadelphia Eagles

• Buccaneers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 road games
• Eagles are 1-4 SU in their last 5 home games
• The over is 22-6 in the Buccaneers’ last 28 games against NFC teams
• The under is 13-4 in the Eagles’ last 17 home games

Miami Dolphins (-3, O/U 47.5) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

• Dolphins are 10-1 in their last 11 games after allowing 30+ points
• Jaguars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against the AFC
• The under is 7-1 in the Jaguars’ last 8 games against the Dolphins
• The under is 7-4 over the last 11 London games

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Baltimore Ravens (-2.5, O/U 51.5)

• Chargers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games
• Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record
• The under is 4-1 in the Chargers’ last 5 games
• The over is 4-0 in the Ravens’ last 4 Sunday games following Monday night game

Minnesota Vikings (-1.5, O/U 45.5) vs. Carolina Panthers

• Vikings are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games
• Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after an ATS loss
• The over is 4-0 in the Vikings’ last 4 road games
• The under is 7-1 in the Panthers’ last 8 games

Green Bay Packers (-4.5, O/U 44) vs. Chicago Bears

• Packers are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games in Chicago
• Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against the NFC North
• The under is 5-0 in the Packers’ last 5 games in October
• The under is 7-0 in the Bears’ last 7 games in October

Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5, O/U 48) vs. Detroit Lions

• Bengals are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss
• Lions are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a wining record
• The over is 5-1-1 in the Bengals’ last 7 games as a favorite
• The over is 13-4 in the Lions’ last 17 home games

Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts (-10, O/U 43)

• Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog
• Colts are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite
• The under is 10-2 in the last 12 games between these teams in Indianapolis
• The over is 8-1 in the Colts’ last 9 games after accumulating more than 350 yards

Los Angeles Rams (-9.5, O/U 48.5) vs. New York Giants

• Rams are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games against the Giants
• Giants are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after an ATS loss
• The over is 8-1 in the Rams’ last 9 games in October
• The under is 5-0 in the Giants’ last 5 games as a home underdog

Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5, O/U 56.5) vs. Washington Football Team

• Chiefs are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall
• Washington is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating 350 yards of offense
• The under is 12-2 in the Chiefs’ last 14 games following a double-digit home loss
• The over is 4-0 in Washington’s last 4 games overall

Arizona Cardinals vs. Cleveland Browns (-3, O/U 49)

• Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record
• Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss
• The under is 10-1 in the Cardinals’ last 11 road games
• The under is 5-1 in the Browns’ last 6 games after scoring 30 or more points

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos (-3.5, O/U 44)

• The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games between these teams
• Bronos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against the Raiders
• The under is 15-1 in the Raiders’ last 16 games in Week 6
• The under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these teams

Dallas Cowboys (-3.5, O/U 51.5) vs. New England Patriots

• Cowboys are 5-0 ATS this season, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a win
• Patriots are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games after a straight up win
• The under is 4-0 in the Cowboys’ last 4 games as a road favorite
• The under is 6-0 in the Patriots’ last 6 games as a underdog

Seattle Seahawks vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (-5, O/U 42.5)

• Seahawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a losing record
• Steelers are 54-26-2 ATS in their last 82 games in October
• The under is 7-1 in the Seahawks’ last 8 games after an ATS loss
• The under is 7-1-1 in the Steelers’ last 9 home games against a team with a losing record

Buffalo Bills (-5.5, O/U 54) vs. Tennessee Titans

• Bills are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring 30 or more points
• Titans are 10-25-1 ATS in their last 36 games after allowing 150 yards rushing
• The over is 7-1-1 in the Bills’ last 9 games on grass
• The over is 8-1-1 in the Titans’ last 10 games after an ATS win