Oakland Raiders vs New York Jets (11/24/19): NFL Betting Picks, Lines

The amount of remaining weeks in the 2019 NFL regular season continue to shrink and the calendar is getting later, yet the Oakland Raiders continue to remain a factor in the AFC playoff race.

On the strength of three straight victories (all at home), Oakland is now 6-4 and just behind the Kansas City Chiefs, who are 7-4 and on a bye in Week 12, in the AFC West race. That’s not bad for a Raiders’ team that finished 4-12 and eight games behind Kansas City in the division last season.

It all sets up a huge AFC West showdown in Week 13 as the Raiders, who lost by 18 points to the Chiefs at home in Week 2, visit Kansas City in a game that will go a long way in determining the AFC West title.

But, first things first. The Raiders begin the stretch run – four of their final six games are on the road – Sunday at the New York Jets.

The good part of this stretch run is the Raiders’ schedule is that it is filled with poor teams. The Chiefs are the only team remaining on the schedule that has a winning record. Yes, the Jets have won two straight games. But the wins came against the New York Giants and the Washington Redskins after the were the first time to lose to the Miami Dolphins.

So, let’s not get too excited about the Jets. They’re still a bottom feeder. The Raiders should roll Sunday.

Of course, that statement can be countered by saying the Raiders should have rolled the visiting Cincinnati Bengals in Week 11. They didn’t. The Raiders had to sweat out a, 17-10, victory over the winless Bengals.

Look, wins are wins and they should never be digested overly negatively. But it would have been nice to see Oakland hammer an opponent.

Most of the Raiders wins are over bad or average team and they are lose to good teams. Here’s an odd stat: Oakland is 6-4 yet it has been outscored by 25 points this season.

That’s living dangerously, especially entering a potential trap game with the Kansas City game looming. We will see how the Raiders handle the Jets in what is a must win.

Let’s look at some key betting elements to the game. Lines are based on a sampling of several sportsbooks:

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Point Spread

The line: Oakland by 3 points.

Why: I’m surprised the point spread is so low. It appears the oddsmakers took notice of the Raiders barely surviving against the winless Bengals. Oakland was 10.5-point favorites. Still, I’d think Oakland should be a 6-7-point favorite against the Jets, who are not good but are apparently better than the Redskins and the Giants.

My lean: I have to go with Oakland here. Look, I suspect the oddsmakers and realize they are excellent at this. So, I’m a bit scared. But I do think the Raiders are better and less mistake prone than the Jets. It will come down to that. Perhaps the Oakland beatdown we expected against Cincinnati will unexpectedly happen this week. At three points, backing Oakland offers terrific value.

The Total

The line: 46.5 points

Why: Last week, Oakland’s total against Cincinnati was 49.5 points. The game only totaled 27 points. However, it ended a streak of high totals for Raiders’ games. The previous seven Oakland games averaged a total of 50 points. So, this game’s total was not going to dip too much.

My lean: This is just a feeling, but I like the under. I can see it get into the 40-45 point range. I don’t see a shootout here.

The Moneyline

The lines: Oakland is -167 and New York is +135.

Why: This fits what you’d expect from a three-point spread game.

My lean: I like the Raiders to win fairly easily, so a +135 price offers decent value.

Prop bets to consider

Raiders -3 and under +275

Why: When I fee good about these combo parlays, I always suggest them. This is a very nice price for this parlay.

Raiders by 7-12 points +450

Why: These types of prop bets are tough because the final has to fit into a tight window. But This is an interesting prop. The price is what makes it so intriguing. What a great price, I think the Raiders will control this game and this is the most likely point range. It’s a worthwhile prop with such a great payoff.

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