Get NFL player prop picks & odds for the Philadelphia Eagles Vs. Arizona Cardinals matchup on (10/9/22).
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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Arizona Cardinals Player Prop Picks
The Arizona Cardinals (2-2) host the undefeated Philadelphia Eagles (4-0) on Sunday, October 9. In a matchup with two of the league’s best mobile QBs in Kyler Murray and Jalen Hurts, it should be a fun game with plenty of interesting player prop options from which to choose. Let’s take a look at the player prop bets I like best in this matchup.
Jalen Hurts over 251.5 passing yards (-115 on DraftKings)
Hurts’ passing yards prop has been gradually creeping up over the course of the season, and he’s hit the over in three out of four weeks so far. Last week was the first week he missed the over, and that was because of torrential rain that forced a very run-heavy game plan. I like Hurts’ chances to hit the over on his passing yards again this week against a weak Cardinals pass defense that is currently 23rd in the league. Arizona is 29th in net yards allowed per pass attempt (7.2) and Hurts leads the league with 8.19 net yards per attempt. So yeah, I am slamming the over on Hurts’ passing yards this week.
If you’re betting that, it would also make sense to pair it with the over on some of Hurts’ pass catchers. I like Devonta Smith to go over his number of 53.5 receiving yards, but I like this next one even better.
Dallas Goedert over 43.5 receiving yards (-135 on DraftKings)
The Eagles have been excellent so far this season at executing tight end screen plays with Goedert, which shows up in his career-low 2.3 yards before catch per reception and career-high 12.8 yards after the catch per reception. The Cardinals defense has given up more yards after the catch than any other team so far this season. That is a good recipe for Goedert hitting this over.
Then you consider that the Cardinals defense is the worst in the league against tight ends. They have given up the most receptions, yards, touchdowns and yards per target to tight ends of any team this season. The Cardinals are also the second-most blitz-heavy team in the league so far, and what is one of the most effective plays against the blitz? A screen play.
Goedert has eclipsed 45.5 receiving yards in three of his four games this season. Oh, and the Eagles have some extra motivation to show off their talented tight end early and often in this game with their former tight end Zach Ertz on the opposing sideline. Hammer the over on Goedert’s receiving yards in this matchup, and I would also take him to go over 19.5 yards for his longest reception.
Zach Ertz over 45.5 receiving yards (-125 on DraftKings)
Goedert isn’t the only tight end I am taking to hit the over in this game. I also like Ertz to do it in a revenge game against his former team. Since joining the Cardinals in the middle of last season, Ertz has averaged 7.5 targets, 5.2 catches and 50.3 yards per game. He has topped his receiving line for this week in 8 of his 15 games with the Cardinals (and has gone for 42, 42, 41, and 45 in four others). In a game the Cardinals are expected to be trailing, Kyler Murray will be passing the ball plenty, and many of those passes will be going to their healthiest pass catcher in Ertz, who has a 17.5% target share so far this season.
James Conner under 44.5 rushing yards (-115 on DraftKings)
Conner has been an effective red zone rusher for the Cardinals (15 touchdowns last season) and an underrated receiver, but he has not been the most efficient on a yards per carry basis (3.7 last year, 3.2 so far this year). To hit the over on his rushing prop, he needs to get plenty of volume, and he isn’t likely to see that in a game the Cardinals are expected to be trailing.
Conner has gone over 44.5 rushing yards just once this season and nine times total in 19 games with the Cardinals. Eight of those nine games were Cardinals wins, and Conner averaged five more carries per game last year in wins compared to losses. The Eagles have been especially stingy against the run over the last three weeks after giving up 181 yards to the Lions in week 1. They will shut down the run game once again this week and force Kyler Murray to try to beat them through the air.