Philadelphia Eagles vs. Detroit Lions NFL Player Props (9/11/22)
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The Detroit Lions host the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 1 of the 2022-23 NFL season. The Eagles clobbered the Lions 44-6 in Week 8 last season. We don’t expect this matchup to be quite so lopsided, but we do expect the Eagles to win and cover. Check out our other betting picks for the Philadelphia Eagles vs. Detroit Lions player props.
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Jalen Hurts over 225.5 passing yards (-114 on FanDuel)
Hurts averaged 209.6 passing yards per game in 2021 and only eclipsed 225 yards six times in 16 games. However, four of those six games came in the Eagles’ first seven games of the season, before the offense shifted to a much more run-heavy approach. Despite the success of the run-first scheme, the Eagles want to be a pass-first offense and they acquired a #1 wide receiver in A.J. Brown to help them do it. By all accounts, Hurts has improved his accuracy and anticipation this offseason, and while he probably won’t be putting up any gawdy passing numbers, I do expect those numbers to improve over his 2021 performance. The Eagles want to see what they have in Hurts as a passer, and they will give him every opportunity to do so in this opening week matchup. If the Eagles jump out to a big lead, game script might dictate a heavy dose of the running game in the second half, which would dampen Hurts’ chances of hitting the over on 224.5 passing yards, but I think the Lions keep this game close enough for Hurts to hit the over.
Dallas Goedert over 45.5 receiving yards (-114 on FanDuel)
The popular pick to pair with the Hurts passing yards over would be A.J. Brown over 65.5 receiving yards (-114 on FanDuel). While I like that pick, I feel even better about picking Goedert at over 45.5 receiving yards. Goedert averaged 55.3 yards per game last season and had 72 yards against the Lions despite Hurts only throwing for 103 yards in that game. A big reason for that is the Lions’ weak linebackers, which haven’t improved much since last season despite the addition of Hard Knocks darling rookie Malcolm Rodriguez. The presence of Brown should create even more opportunities for Goedert this season, and I expect him to easily surpass 45.5 receiving yards in this game.
D’Andre Swift over 32.5 receiving yards (-114 on FanDuel)
Swift was one of the best running backs in the league before he got injured in week 11 last season, and he was especially dangerous through the air. He averaged 34.8 receiving yards on 4.8 receptions per game and had over 32 receiving yards in seven of his 10 games before the injury. With starting RG Halapoulivaati Vaitai on IR and starting C Frank Ragnow questionable with a groin injury, the Lions may be facing some pressure up the middle from Eagles interior defensive linemen Fletcher Cox, Javon Hargrave and Jordan Davis. They will need to get Swift involved on outside runs, and especially in the passing game, where he is the most reliable safety blanket on checkdowns from QB Jared Goff. Game script is also likely to lean towards the pass for the Lions, which will create even more opportunities for Swift to catch the ball out of the backfield. Take Swift over 32.5 receiving yards in this one.
