Philadelphia Eagles vs. Detroit Lions Player Props (10/31/21)

While it may not be the headline-grabbing matchup of the week, this week’s game featuring the Eagles and Lions provides plenty of betting value and viewing intrigue. The Lions will be looking for their first win of the season at home while the Eagles are on the road for the second straight week after losing to the Raiders in Las Vegas last week. Let’s take a look at the best available player prop betting value.

Philadelphia Eagles Vs. Detroit Lions Player Prop Search Tool

Dallas Goedert Over 51.5 Receiving Yards

With Zach Ertz no longer on the team, Dallas Goedert should see a significant bump in target share moving forward. In six career games without Ertz in the lineup, Goedert is averaging four catches for 55.8 yards. According to Football Outsiders’ positional defensive metrics, the Lions are the fifth-worst defense against tight ends in DVOA. They have allowed 49.5 yards per game to the position even though their schedule has not been full of the top players at that position. Goedert played on 93% of the team’s snaps last week, his highest mark of the season, and I only expect that to continue moving forward.

Boston Scott Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +250

Kenneth Gainwell is expected to be the starting running back with Miles Sanders on Injured Reserve for the foreseeable future, but don’t discount Boston Scott’s role in the offense. Last week, after Sanders got hurt, Scott saw three red-zone carries and scored on the goal-line as he took over Sanders’s typical goal-to-go role. Gainwell has only seen four red-zone carries all year, and it’s clear the team views Scott as the guy in that department. I see this prop as essentially a coin flip with Scott expected to be the goal-line back, and you’re getting almost 3-to-1 value to make it one of my favorite plays.

D’Andre Swift Over 49.5 Rushing Yards

The game script has prevented D’Andre Swift from seeing a heavy rushing workload this season as the Lions have trailed in most of the games they’ve played. However, this should be a game where Detroit can establish their ground game. In matchups against the Vikings and Rams, Swift passed this number despite facing formidable run defenses as the Lions were very competitive in those games. This week, the Lions stand to pull off a potential home upset, and they face the Eagles’ defense that ranks 29th in run defense DVOA per Football Outsiders. Jamaal Williams is also still dealing with a thigh injury, making Swift’s projection even better for this week. It’s hard to imagine a better spot to target Swift’s rushing yardage total.

Quez Watkins Over 41.5 Receiving Yards

While preseason success doesn’t always translate to regular-season production, it has in this case. Quez Watkins has broken out in his second year in the NFL and has averaged 43 receiving yards per game over the past three weeks. Watkins is averaging 19.3 yards per reception this season as a reliable big-play threat, and this is a matchup that should accentuate his skillset. The Lions have allowed an explosive play on 15% of defensive snaps, the second-highest rate in the NFL, so I’m banking on a couple of big plays to propel Watkins to this number. I couldn’t find the longest reception prop for him, but I’d contemplate going in that direction as well.