Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants NFL Player Props & Picks (12/11/2022)

Get Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants player prop picks & odds for the (12/11/2022) matchup

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Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants Player Prop Picks

Two overachieving teams collide in week 14 when the New York Giants (7-4-1) host the Philadelphia Eagles (11-1). After a 6-1 start, the Giants may be coming back down to earth a bit having gone 1-3-1 in their last five games, while the Eagles are coming off perhaps their best performance of the season in a 35-10 blowout over the Titans. The Eagles are nearly a touchdown favorite on the road against their divisional rival, although the Giants have won the last two games these teams have played in New York.

In last year’s game at the Meadowlands, Jalen Hurts had perhaps the worst game of his young career, going 14-of-31 for 129 yards with no touchdowns and three interceptions, although he did manage 77 rushing yards on eight carries. Hurts is putting together an MVP-worthy season this year and surely would like to make up for last year’s performance this time around.

Saquon Barkley is also looking to get back on track this week after averaging just 41.3 rushing yards (2.8 yards per carry) and 14.6 receiving yards per game over his last three games. This might just be the matchup he needs to do that, as the Eagles have struggled to stop the run this season, but they have showed great improvements over the last few weeks, especially last week when they held Derrick Henry to just 30 yards (2.7 per carry).

Can we find some value betting on player props for Hurts or Barkley this week? Let’s take a look at the player prop bets I like the most in this Eagles vs. Giants matchup.

Saquon Barkley under 71.5 rushing yards (-115 at DraftKings)

Barkley just has not looked the same since toting the rock a season-high 35 times in week 10 against Houston. He is trending down and the Eagles’ run defense is trending up, so we would need to see both of those trends reverse in order for Barkley to hit the over. Of course, that is certainly possible, but I don’t see it happening.

The Eagles know that if they stop Barkley, the Giants will struggle to move the ball offensively. Just like they did last week, they are going to sell out to stop the run and force Daniel Jones to try to beat them through the air. The Giants are also likely to be playing from behind for much of this game, which may also limit Barkley’s opportunities to run the ball.

If that wasn’t enough good reasons to bet the under, Barkley was also added to the Giants’ injury report on Thursday with a neck injury and his status for the game could be in doubt. If he does suit up, it seems he will not be at full strength, and that may be another reason for the Giants to limit his touches.

Those are too many good reasons to bet the under, which probably means I’m going to be dead wrong. We’ll see.

It’s worth noting that as of this writing, Barkley’s line on his rushing yards is 71.5 at DraftKings and Unibet but as low as 65.5 at Caesars. So if you disagree with me about your expectations for Barkley on Sunday, go there to bet the over.

DraftKings Banner Update $1,050

Jalen Hurts over 228.5 passing yards (-115)

After three straight games of under 200 passing yards, Hurts busted out in a big way last week against the Titans, throwing for a season-high 380 yards in only three quarters of action. Prior to that three-game stretch, Hurts had eclipsed 228.5 passing yards in six out of eight games, and one of those games (against Jacksonville) was played in a torrential downpour that forced a very run-heavy game plan. As of this writing, there is a chance for some snowy conditions in this game, which bears monitoring before kickoff and would probably dissuade me from sticking with this pick if it’s bad enough.

Assuming the conditions are OK, Hurts should have no problem clearing this number. The Giants’ secondary is banged up. Their best cornerback, Adoree Jackson, is missing his third straight game, and the other week one starter, Aaron Robinson, is already out for the season. Backups Darnay Holmes and Nick McCloud have been limited in practice this week with shoulder and hamstring injuries, respectively. The Giants pass defense is 28th in DVOA this season and has allowed opposing quarterbacks to eclipse 228.5 passing yards in three of the last four games. Two of those quarterbacks were Davis Mills (319 yards) and Taylor Heinicke (275).

So yeah, weather permitting, hammer the over on 228.5 passing yards for Jalen Hurts.

BetMGM Banner $1,000 Risk-Free Bet

Jack Stoll over 8.5 receiving yards (-120)

Stoll had his best game as a pass catcher in his young career last week, hauling in all three of his targets for 41 yards. Since assuming the starting tight end role for the injured Dallas Goedert in week 11, Stoll has been playing 78% of the snaps. The other backup tight end, Grant Calcaterra, is the better pass catcher, but Stoll is getting way more opportunities to be on the field because of his superior blocking, which can also translate to targets. He has reliable hands when targeted (70% career catch rate) and an average depth of target of 6.9 yards.

After averaging 13.6 yards per catch last week, Stoll may only need one target to hit the over on 8.5 yards. The Giants are average at defending tight ends and have allowed an opposing tight end to hit the over on their receiving yards in five of the last seven games. It may not be the sexiest pick, but I’m betting on Stoll to make it six out of eight.

Caesars Promo Code $1,250 Bet

Boston Scott anytime touchdown (+900)

At the time I’m writing this, there are no odds available for Boston Scott’s props for anything besides an anytime touchdown, which is not surprising considering his very limited role in the Eagles’ offense this season. However, I would be remiss to write about player props in this game without mentioning that Scott has been nothing short of a Giant Killer in his career. It doesn’t really make a whole lot of sense, but for some reason the Eagles just love using Scott against the Giants, and he consistently delivers for them.

In his six career games against the Giants, Scott has more yards (327) and more touchdowns (7) than he does against any other team. In two games last year, Scott tallied 27 carries, 105 yards and two touchdowns. He had 60 carries and 268 yards in his other 14 games. Scott has just 124 yards on a career-low 3.4 yards per carry this season and is playing on a career-low 16% of snaps, but those numbers don’t scare me. You know what they tell me? He hasn’t played the Giants yet.

Noah hails from Philadelphia and is a diehard Philly sports fan. He graduated from Penn where he was a sports writer and editor for the student newspaper and also spent a summer covering the Baltimore Orioles for MLB.com. He has been playing fantasy sports since before live stats were a thing, and he has enjoyed learning the nuances of DFS in recent years. As a current resident of Florida, he is hoping the wave of sports betting legalization will eventually reach his home state.

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