Pittsburgh Steelers Vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Player Props & Picks (10/9/22)

Get NFL player prop picks & odds for the Pittsburgh Steelers Vs. Buffalo Bills matchup on (10/9/22).

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Pittsburgh Steelers Vs. Buffalo Bills Player Prop Picks

The 1-3 Pittsburgh Steelers head to Buffalo this weekend to take on the 3-1 Bills. Steelers rookie QB Kenny Pickett will get his first NFL start against one of the best teams in the league in the Bills. The super bowl favorite Bills are heavily favored to win this game as the spread lists them at -14, but let’s take a closer look at how a few of the individual players will fare against their predicted stat totals. Check out the following four prop bets about two Bills rushing totals and receiving yardage totals for two Steelers receivers.

Josh Allen O/U 44.5 Rushing Yards

This over/under line for Josh Allen’s rushing total is set almost exactly at the number of yards Josh Allen rushed for against the Steelers in 2021, which was 44 yards. Take the over and expect Josh Allen to rush for at least 45 yards versus the Steelers. The Bills offense revolves around Allen as he accounts for over 80% of the team’s yards and Allen is never afraid to take off and run. Allen not only averages 45.7 rushing yards per game this season, but has run for over 45 yards in 3/4 games to start the year, making the over on his rushing yards the safer bet.

Devin Singletary O/U 53.5 Rushing Yards

I’m picking Bills RB1 Devin Singletary to rush for under 53.5 yards versus the Steelers. Though the Steelers have a bottom 10 run defense, Singletary has yet to clear 50 rushing yards all season. The Steelers defense may be a good matchup for him to surpass the half century mark, but it’s too risky to bet he’ll accomplish a feat he hasn’t in 2022. In addition, the Bills are one of the most pass heavy teams and Singletary does not get a consistent amount of carries like the better backs in the league. The most carries he’s gotten this year is 11 and he has to split playing time with backup running backs Zack Moss and James Cook.

Chase Claypool Over/Under 33.5 Receiving Yards

I anticipate Steelers WR Chase Claypool will fail to gain at least 34 receiving yards. Though both the Steelers offense and Trubisky have underwhelmed, Claypool has also shown little this season to expect him to surpass this total. Claypool has not only had a season high receiving total of just 35 yards, but he recorded 0 receptions on 2 targets versus the Jets last week. With the Steelers carving out larger roles this year for TE Pat Freiermuth WR Diontae Johnson, and rookie receiver George Pickens, Claypool’s yardage and targets have dwindled.

George Pickens Over/Under 38.5 Receiving Yards

I see George Pickens clearing 38.5 yards versus the Bills this week. Though he’ll be going up against the #1 pass defense, Pickens comes off his first career 100 yard receiving game versus the Jets. He slowly has seen more targets come his way as he eases into his rookie season and after this OBJ-esque catch.

GEORGE PICKENS.

WHAT A CATCH. 🤯

(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/XvfpvOc25d

— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) September 23, 2022

The quarterback switch to the rookie Pickett will likely help Pickens reach 39 yards as Pickens had 71 of his 102 receiving yards after Pickett came in the game last week. Pickett, who’s known for his accuracy coming out of college, will hopefully be able to get the ball to Pickens more accurately than Trubisky did.