Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Player Props (9/11/2022)

The Panthers host the Browns on Sunday in what many are already calling the Baker Mayfield revenge game. Mayfield facing his former team will get the headlines, but it could be the running backs that carry the weight of their respective offenses in this one. With some new pieces playing major roles for both teams, who’s in line to fill the stat sheet?

Keep an eye on these player props that could produce great value on Sunday.

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Over/Under Joe Mixon 67.5 Rush Yards

I’m taking the over for Mixon to gain at least 68 rushing yards. Mixon should have no problem reaching that total as he is going up against the Steelers who had the worst rush defense in the league last year. Mixon, who finished 3rd in rushing yards last season with 1205 yards, has been one of the league’s better backs the past few years and should take advantage of this favorable matchup. Two of Mixon’s better performances last season were versus the Steelers with Mixon averaging at least 5.0 yards per carry in those games. So long as the Bengals give Mixon a reasonable amount of touches, expect him to clear this line with no problems.

Over/Under Joe Burrow 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

I’d pick the over for this one and count on Joe Burrow to throw at least two touchdown passes. While Burrow may not need to throw for a ton of yards in the matchup, especially if the Bengals can gain a lead or rely on Mixon, Burrow has too many playmakers to believe he won’t throw a couple touchdown passes. He also has an improved offensive line in front of him with new additions Ted Karras, Alex Cappa, and La’el Collins which should add even more confidence in putting the ball in his hands. With his proven group of pass catchers and a bolstered offensive line, Burrow should have an even easier time firing into the end zone.

Over/Under Diontae Johnson 5.5 Receptions

I’m taking Diontae Johnson to hit over 5.5 receptions versus the Bengals. While the Steelers have two other key targets in WR Chase Claypool and rookie WR George Pickens, Johnson really emerged last season as the main receiving target. He has shown he’s a reliable pass catcher and someone for Mitchell Trubisky to rely on as Trubisky becomes a starter again. With Claypool taking a step back last year and Pickens still only a rookie, expect Johnson to get the main share of targets. Johnson has even already shown some good chemistry with Trubisky this preseason, like this amazing throw and catch from Trubisky to Johnson down the left sideline.

Over/Under Najee Harris 59.5 Rushing Yards

Expect Najee Harris to go under 59.5 rush yards as he has a tough matchup this week versus the Bengals. Last season the Bengals had the 5th best rush defense against the league and have retained most of their players from their super bowl run season. In two match ups versus Najee Harris last year, the Bengals defense held him to just 23 and 40 yards at 2.9 yards per carry. Meanwhile, the Steelers offensive line has not shown much improvement through the preseason which will not help Harris. Despite the fact that Najee Harris did reach 1200 yards last season, he only averaged 3.9 yards per carry and had many games with low rushing totals.