The current Portland Trail Blazers NBA championship odds are . They finished last season with a 27-55 record, but the entire year was utter chaos. Damian Lillard only appeared in 29 games, Nassir Little managed 42 games, and longtime Blazer CJ McCollum was traded. Their ugly record gave them the 7th selection in the draft, which was used on combo guard Shaedon Sharpe.
Portland made several splashes during the off-season, but the biggest acquisition was forward Jerami Grant. Over his two seasons with Detroit, Grant produced 20.9 PPG, 4.4 RPG, and 2.6 APG on a 42/35/84 shooting split. The Blazers also stole Gary Payton II from the Warriors and re-signed starting center Jusuf Nurkic. Overall, it was a busy yet productive off-season for Portland.
Portland Trail Blazers NBA Championship Odds & Futures 2022-23
The current odds for Portland futures are located in the table below. It includes championship, conference, division, playoff, and win total odds for the Blazers.
|Portland Trail Blazers NBA Championship Odds & Futures||Odds (Updated February 2023)|
|2023 NBA Championship Odds|
|Western Conference Winner Odds|
|Northwest Division Winner Odds|
|Regular Season Win Total Odds|
|Odds To Reach Playoffs|
Despite fielding Damian Lillard and a talented supporting cast, the Blazers lie outside the top half of the NBA for shortest championship odds. However, they are not an appealing bet for championship and conference winner odds. Portland made key improvements, but they still lack the star power and security to win three or four series in a row. The West is unbelievably difficult, so it’s unlikely Portland clinches home-court. They will either face a top seed early or fight for their playoff lives in the play-in tournament.
Can Lillard, Nurkic, Grant, and Little also remain healthy for 82 games plus multiple grueling series? Based on their injury history, the Blazers will be forced to play numerous games without vital starters. Because of missed games and a lack of chemistry, I expect the Blazers to make the play-in and not outright qualify for the playoffs.
Lillard’s clutch ability and Portland’s three-point shooting mean they always have a chance in a win-or-go-home game, so counting them out of the playoffs would be foolish. Through these qualities, there is definitely value in their odds to reach the playoffs.
Reasons Why Portland Trail Blazers Can & Can’t Win NBA 2022-23 Championship
- Guard Rotation: At his peak, Lillard is an unstoppable flamethrower who provides otherworldly spacing. He can drop 30 points in his sleep, but he’s also an underrated playmaker and ball handler. While he was injured last season, Anfernee Simons exploded as a scorer and playmaker. He isn’t a threat to the magnitude of Lillard, but defenders must respect him. Because both players can thrive on or off-ball, the offense should be hyper-efficient with that duo. Off the bench, Portland has defensive menace Gary Payton II. His sticky perimeter defense and spot up shooting will mesh perfectly with Lillard or Simons. Josh Hart, meanwhile, supplies three-point shooting, rebounding, and moments of playmaking.
- Three-Point Shooting: Lillard has unlimited range, and he shot a 39.1 3PT% on 704 3PA during the 2020/21 season. Simons had a blistering 47.8 3PT% on 228 catch and shoot 3PA, while Payton made 37.7% of his catch and shoot threes. Portland also rosters capable shooters in Hart, Grant, and Little. The Blazers have the firepower to overwhelm teams from behind the arc, and the offense will run smoothly with Lillard at the helm.
- Wing Defense: Little and Hart made strides as all-around defenders, and they will be essential towards fielding an average defense. However, the additions of Grant and Payton are the headline. Grant’s length and range will help cover mistakes, and he can mark the bigger forwards. Payton is a ferocious guard defender, but he can also switch onto wings and stop them in their tracks. Although the defense still has plenty of holes, the Blazers have a quartet of competent wing defenders.
- Lillard & Simons Defense: This is perhaps the biggest question mark on the roster, as both are undersized defensive liabilities. Their teammates can aid them during the regular season, but playoff opponents will mercilessly hunt this duo down on defense. Portland may have to adjust by starting Payton with Lillard and bringing Simons off the bench in a Poole/Herro role. The Blazers struggled with this problem when they had Lillard and McCollum, and it was a huge reason why they failed to reach the Finals. Is history repeating itself here?
- Health: Lillard rarely missed games before last season, but he is now 32-years-old and coming off a major injury. If he suffers another problematic or untimely injury, then Portland can pack its bags. Besides Lillard, the Blazers have to be worried about Nurkic’s ability to stay on the court. Over the past three years, he has played in just 44.6% of regular season games. If he goes down again, the Blazers will be in a dire situation considering their center rotation.
- Center Rotation: Nurkic is a bully in the post who controls the glass on both ends. He posted 15 PPG, 11.1 RPG, and 2.8 APG on a 53.5 FG%. However, he is injury prone and can be somewhat exploited in the pick and roll. Portland’s backup center rotation is shaky, as Drew Eubanks is the prime candidate to soak up minutes. While he possesses solid footwork and runs the floor, it’s unclear whether he can hold up in the playoffs. If Eubanks must replace an injured Nurkic, then Grant must put forth a Herculean effort on the defensive end to compensate. Neither Nurkic or Eubanks has consistent three-point range either, which hurts their potential spacing.
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