RBC Canadian Open Odds, Picks, Predictions: Best Bets, Props, OAD
A week after seeing a tough grind at Muirfield Village, the 2025 RBC Canadian Open at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley is sure to open up the playing field to more contenders. A simple formula of distance and rendering iron play should lead to strong results here. Hopefully, the same applies to my bets on RBC Canadian Open odds.
Below, we’ll go through my final betting card. Click the odds anywhere in this article to place wagers on RBC Canadian Open odds. For a full breakdown of the tournament and course, visit my RBC Canadian Open preview.
RBC Canadian Open Betting Odds
Find the comparison table at the bottom of this post for RBC Canadian Open odds and the best available prices across sportsbooks in your state. Navigate to my longshots post for more golf DFS picks and considerations.
How I Built My RBC Canadian Open Betting Card
We don’t know exactly how this course will play, hosting a PGA Tour event for the first time this week. However, with its generous fairways, oversized greens, and negligible penalty for missing the fairways, all indications seem to point towards this being a bomber’s paradise. It’s still important to be on point with your approach play here, so I built my card around long hitters with trending irons for the 2025 RBC Canadian Open.
From a unit allocation standpoint, it’s back to business as usual for my weekly stake at the 2025 RBC Canadian Open.
RBC Canadian Open Odds: Outright Bets (3.70 units)
Taylor Pendrith
My Bet: +2800
Best Available Odds:
A popular bet this week, and for good reason, Pendrith is checking all the boxes I’m looking for in a contender this week. One of the longest drivers on Tour, he’s complemented that skillset with elite iron play as well lately, ranking top-15 in Prox: 150+, and top-20 in SG: Ball-Striking.
It’ll be a home game atmosphere for all Canadians in the field this week, with an energetic crowd willing them along. But TPC Toronto will be especially familiar to Pendrith, who grew up within an hour’s drive of the course, and has gone on record as saying he’s played here over 50 times before. That’s a distinct advantage in a week where many of our competitors will be seeing it for the first time. He also proved to suit this venue well already, finishing runner-up in the PGA Tour Canada’s Osprey Valley Open at this venue in 2019.
Keith Mitchell
My Bet: +5000
Best Available Odds:
My official pick to win this week and featured spotlight player, I am undeterred by all of Mitchell’s past shortcomings, and believe this is the perfect week for him to finally break through. Long, driver-heavy courses are Mitchell’s forte, as he ranks in the top 10 in this field in Comp Course History, Driving Distance, and SG: OTT. Course fit aside, he also enters this week in top form, ranking No. 5 in SG: TOT over the last 36 rounds with five top-20s over his last seven starts.
Mitchell has excelled north of the border, too, picking up top-10 finishes in two of his last three RBC Canadian Open appearances. With form and course fit all trending in Mitchell’s direction, I fully expect him to be a factor in this tournament come Sunday.
Kurt Kitayama
My Bet: +7000
Best Available Odds:
By all accounts, TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley is a bomber’s paradise, which should reward the longest hitters with the hottest irons. Like many other players I’ve filled my betting card with this week, Kitayama’s game exemplifies exactly that. The former Arnold Palmer Invitational champion has done the most damage throughout his career on driver-heavy layouts that allow him to flex his distance advantage.
More encouragingly, the rest of Kitayama’s tee-to-green game has rounded into form of late. He’s posted top-20 finishes in two of his last three starts now, including a T5 at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson, which requires a similar driver-heavy approach to what we’ll see at TPC Toronto.
Cameron Young
My Bet: +7500
Best Available Odds:
Fresh off earning a place in the U.S. Open at his regional qualifier on Monday, Young may be playing with some extra freedom this week, knowing his place at Oakmont CC is secured. ON paper, a driver-heavy course that emphasizes long-iron approach play should be a perfect fit for Young’s game, as he ranks No. 3 in Comp Course History.
Of course, things don’t always go as planned when backing Cameron Young, but at this price, it’s worth riding the momentum he’s recently built up with two top-25 finishes over his last three starts.
Chris Gotterup
My Bet: +8500
Best Available Odds:
There should be no doubts about the state of Gotterup’s game after coasting through the U.S. Open qualifier on Monday. That continues a stretch of form that includes five consecutive top-30 finishes leading into this event. The 2022 Haskins Award winner and 2024 Myrtle Beach Classic champion is proving he’s much more than just a bomber, as he ranks No. 14 in SG: TOT (L36) leading into this week.
Justin Rose
My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds:
A bit of an exception on my card full of pure bombers, Justin Rose still has plenty of distance at age 44, and has slipped too far down the board to ignore at this number. Believe it or not, Justin Rose is the fourth-best player in this field in terms of OWGR rank (No. 19). With top-10 finishes in each of his last two RBC Canadian Open appearances, Rose is a great buy-low target here, just five starts removed from a playoff loss at The Masters.
Gary Woodland
My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds:
Any time distance and long iron approach play are at a premium, I’ll always find a way to fit Gary Woodland on my card. Woodland ranks No. 15 in my model, carried by his top-15 ranks in Driving Distance, SG: Putting (Bent-Poa), and Comp Course History. Fresh off a T11 finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge in his latest start, Woodland is a good candidate to keep that momentum going at TPC Toronto.
Matti Schmidt
My Bet: +9000
Best Available Odds:
The Charles Schwab Challenge runner-up finisher has been known to ride the hot hand week over week. Though still chasing his first career PGA Tour win, Schmid has been circling the drain with three top-10 finishes over his last five starts. TPC Toronto is an ideal course setup for Schmid to capitalize on his distance advantage and trending ball-striking form.
Nicolai Hojgaard
My Bet: +10000
Best Available Odds:
I’m surprised to see it’s Nicolai who is priced longest of the two Hojgaards this week. Compared to Rasmus, Nicolai has been the longer hitter this season and has displayed a higher ceiling on Approach, ranking No. 13 in SG: APP in his last start at the PGA Championship. With legitimate Ryder Cup aspirations still, Nicolai may be my favorite value on the board this week.
Karl Vilips
My Bet: +17500
Best Available Odds:
Vilips spared no time acclimating to life on the PGA Tour, picking up a win at the Puerto Rico Open in his third career start. He’ll head to another long, driver-heavy course that rewards driving distance at TPC Toronto this week, and is rounding into better all-around form of late, fresh off a T11 finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge.
RBC Canadian Open Bets: First-Round Leader (0.80 units)
Taylor Pendrith
My Bet: +4000
Best Available Odds:
It may take some players a round or two to acclimate to this brand course set up at TPC Toronto. Not Taylor Pendrith, though. Pendrith has played this course “over 50 times” and has the distance to create ample birdie opportunities.
Keith Mitchell
My Bet:+5500
Best Available Odds:
Mitchell has emerged as the face of the opening rounds this 2025 season, and I see no reason to believe that trend will stop at TPC Toronto. Mitchell is in great form and has a solid track record playing well in this event.
Matti Schmid
My Bet: +7000
Best Available Odds:
Distance will lead to birdies at TPC Toronto, whether it be the reachable par-5s or two drivable par-4s. Schmid is in great form with three top-10s over his last five starts and is positioned well to keep that momentum going this week.
Nicolai Hojgaard
My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds:
Similar to Schmid, Hojgaard’s combination of length off the tee and spike approach upside will create scoring opportunities at TPC Toronto. He’s in solid form coming into this week, coming off a top-30 finish at the PGA Championship in his latest start.
Karl Vilips
My Bet: +9000
Best Available Odds:
Distance does a long way at TPC Toronto, so like the rest of my FRL card, I’m prioritizing bombers, like Karl Vilips, who are in good form and will have shorter clubs into these over-sized greens to hunt for birdies in Round 1.
RBC Canadian Open Picks: Props (2.20 units)
Full Tournament Matchup: Taylor Pendrith Over Sungjae Im
My Bet: -110
The theme of my betting card this week is an advantage to the bombers. That’s what makes this one of my favorite matchup bets of the year. Pendrith may not have the pedigree of Sungjae Im (though he’s not far behind), but he clears Sungjae in terms of recent form and course fit. Sungjae is below field average in driving distance and has not gained strokes on approach since the Cognizant Classic. Pendrith, on the other hand, ranks top-15 in Driving Distance, Prox: 150+, and SG: Ball Striking.
Top-20 Finish: Keith Mitchell
My Bet: +200
Best Available Odds:
I have uncomfortably high conviction in Mitchell this week, which means I have to corner the market on him and get exposure wherever I can. It’s a bit daunting to expect Mitchell to pick up his first PGA Tour win since 2019, so this acts as a nice hedge if he simply knocks on the door once again this week.
Top-20 Finish: Nicolai Hojgaard
My Bet: +330
Best Available Odds:
My favorite value this week is a prime example of the type of player who should fare well at TPC Toronto. He has elite Driving Distance, can spike with his irons (particularly beyond 150 yards), and is a proven winner on the DP World Tour.
One & Done
My Pick: Keith Mitchell
It’s an interesting week for OAD. Rory McIlroy is a sensible play if you still have him available at this point in the season, but many will still try to save him for a higher-priced event like the U.S. Open or the Open Championship. After McIlroy, I’m not drawn to too many of the top favorites this week, as few of them carry a significant distance advantage.
With that in mind, I’m diving a bit further down the board with Mitchell, whom I have conviction is an ideal course fit for TPC Toronto, and is not likely to be highly owned.
If not Mitchell, I would also consider playing Corey Conners, Pendrith, or McIlroy in OAD.
RBC Canadian Open Odds & Best Bets: The Full Card
That’ll do it for this week’s PGA Tour golf bets. Best of luck this week with your own RBC Canadian Open bets, and see you on Sunday for the U.S. Open preview!
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