San Francisco 49ers vs. Cincinnati Bengals Player Props (12/12/21)

Both the 49ers and Bengals suffered devastating defeats on Sunday, which significantly hurt their playoff chances, and this is a crucial game for obvious reasons. While the player props in this article could change due to the ongoing injury statuses of key players on both teams, I’ll do my best to present what, in my opinion, are the best values in this matchup. You can use the player prop search tool below to find the best odds in your market for the players you want to bet on.

San Francisco 49ers Vs. Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Search Tool

Joe Burrow Under 257.5 Passing Yards

In twelve games this season, Joe Burrow has been over this line in eight of them. However, Burrow has thrown for under 200 yards in two of his last three games. This week, he faces the 49ers, who have allowed just 205.1 passing yards per game, the fifth-fewest in the NFL. San Francisco has not allowed a player to surpass this yardage number since Aaron Rodgers in September. Burrow suffered a gruesome dislocated pinky finger on Sunday. While he is expected to play in this game, it will likely impact his ability to grip the football and handle snaps properly. The Bengals will probably look to run the ball as much as possible to make Burrow’s life easier, particularly against Nick Bosa and a ferocious San Francisco pass rush. The health status of Burrow will likely go a long way in determining the outcome of this game, and I’m banking against him being at 100%.

Jeff Wilson Jr. Over 58.5 Rushing Yards

It’s been a tough year for Jeff Wilson Jr. as he missed the first several weeks of the season and has now averaged just 2.7 yards per carry since making his return to the lineup. However, with Elijah Mitchell out this week, Wilson will likely see the bulk of the team’s rushing workload. Cincinnati has a stout run defense that has allowed just 92.5 rushing yards per game, the fourth-fewest in the NFL, and they rank eleventh in the NFL in run defense DVOA. However, I expect Kyle Shanahan to find a way to get more creative with the running scheme and get Wilson some easier opportunities on the ground. Sixty rushing yards is not a ton, and even if Deebo Samuel returns to steal away a few carries, I expect Wilson to be heavily involved in this game and surpass that number.

C.J. Uzomah Under 22.5 Receiving Yards

The 49ers’ defense has been elite against the pass across the board, especially against the tight end position. San Francisco ranks first in the NFL in pass-defense DVOA against TEs and has allowed just 30.1 receiving yards per game to the position. After a solid start to the year, Uzomah has taken a backseat in the offense as Ja’Marr Chase has continued to excel in his rookie year, and Tee Higgins has gotten healthier. Uzomah is averaging just 12.6 receiving yards per game over his last three games, and this is not the matchup I’m looking to target for a bounce-back, especially with Burrow not 100% healthy. As a quick aside, I planned to include Mixon over 18.5 rushing attempts in this slot, but his questionable status steered me away. If he’s good to go on Sunday, consider that prop as well.

George Kittle Under 5.5 Receptions

It’s tough to fade Kittle coming off his best game of the season, but that’s what I’m doing here. Last week, Kittle caught nine passes for 181 yards and two touchdowns against the Seahawks, taking advantage of a boosted target share with Deebo Samuel inactive. It sounds likely that Samuel will return this week, and it’s important to note that I will not be betting on this prop if he is inactive again. However, with Samuel healthy, there are too many mouths to feed in a low-volume passing offense. Last week was just the third time in nine games this season Kittle has had six or more receptions. Kittle had averaged just four per game in the four games since his return to the lineup before last week.