San Francisco 49ers Vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Player Props & Picks (12/15/22)

Get San Francisco 49ers Vs. Seattle Seahawks player prop picks & odds for the (12/15/22) matchup.

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San Francisco 49ers Vs. Seattle Seahawks Player Prop Picks

On Thursday night football this week, the Niners and Seahawks face off in a game with massive playoff implications. Brock Purdy leads San Francisco in this divisional showdown after both Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo suffered season-ending injuries. Meanwhile, the Seahawks get a big lift with the return of Kenneth Walker here.

In this article, I’ll break down some player props in this game that have caught my eye. You can check out the Lineups YouTube channel for further coverage on this and every NFL game in Week 15. In addition, use the player prop search tool above to compare odds from different sportsbooks in your market. Let’s get to work.

George Kittle Over 38.5 Receiving Yards (-115 BetMGM)

If you just use recent results for your analysis, you’d come to the conclusion that you should be taking the under on this prop. George Kittle has under 30 receiving yards in four of his last five games and is only averaging 36.2 receiving yards over his last five games as he hasn’t been a consistent part of the passing offense.

However, Deebo Samuel will miss this game with a sprained ankle and MCL, so Kittle will be crucial to the passing game. Kittle has averaged 71.6 receiving yards per game in his career without Samuel, and he’s gone over this listed prop in three career games against the Seahawks without Samuel in the lineup.

The Seahawks have struggled against tight ends all season, allowing the fourth-most receiving yards per game and ranking 27th in DVOA against the position. Kittle is averaging 4.6 receptions for 62.4 yards per game against the Seahawks in his career, and the favorable matchup combined with Samuel’s absence make this a smash play.

Tyler Lockett Over 62.5 Receiving Yards (-115 BetMGM) and Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200 FanDuel)

When the Seahawks and 49ers faced earlier this season, Tyler Lockett was Seattle’s only productive offensive weapon. He finished the game with nine catches for 107 yards, and it was part of a superb season for him overall. Lockett has been one of the best wide receivers in the NFL this season, and he’s averaged 68.9 yards per game this year.

More impressively, Lockett has scored a touchdown in six straight games. While he won’t score in every game for the rest of his life, the fact that you can get 2-1 value on FanDuel on his touchdown prop is surprising. I’d recommend playing a half unit on the touchdown and a full unit on the yardage here.

While the 49ers have an excellent defense overall, they have some vulnerabilities on the back end. They rank 3rd in DVOA against WR1s thanks to the excellent play of Charvarius Ward, 9th against WR2s, and 31st against all other wide receivers.

Lockett plays about a third of his snaps from the slot, and he will likely see less of Ward than D.K. Metcalf in general, Injuries to Emmanuel Moseley, Ambry Thomas, and Samuel Wormack have left the 49ers thin at cornerback, and Lockett should take advantage.

Kenneth Walker Under 49.5 Rushing Yards (-115 DraftKings)

Fresh off an ankle injury that kept him out of last week’s game, this won’t be an easy outing for rookie Kenneth Walker. While he’s certainly a tantalizing prospect, Walker had finished with under 40 rushing yards in three straight games prior to suffering the injury. It’s tough to imagine he’ll be at 100% here, and the matchup is tough.

The 49ers have allowed just 75.1 rushing yards per game, the second-fewest in the NFL. They rank 2nd in run defense DVOA, 2nd in success rate, and 1st in yards per carry allowed. Only one running back has hit the over on their listed yardage prop against San Francisco since October.

The concern here is that Walker has home-run hitting speed and could take a run to the house if he sees any daylight throughout the game. However, the offensive line has done him no favors as they rank dead last in adjusted line yards. Walker is a boom-or-bust running back, and there are far more outcomes where this game is a bust for him.