Seattle Seahawks Super Bowl Odds 2022
It was a tale of two halves for the Seahawks last season as they started as one of the hottest offenses in the NFL and one of the worst defenses before middling out in both regards down the stretch. In the first eight games of the year, Seattle topped 30 points seven times and allowed 25+ points seven times. In the final eight games, Seattle topped 30 points just once and didn’t allow 25+ points a single time. Russell Wilson played like an MVP candidate over the first half of the season before cooling off in the second half of the year, while the pass defense was the worst in the league to start the season before evening out down the stretch. The Seahawks went 6-2 in both halves of the season, so the question persists – which team will we see in 2021?
Seattle Seahawks Team Future Odds
- Super Bowl Odds:
- To Win NFC:
- To Win NFC West:
- To Earn NFC #1 Seed:
- To Make Playoffs:
The Seahawks coaching staff mostly stays intact, with head coach Pete Carroll returning for his twelfth season in that role while Ken Norton returns for his fourth year as Seattle’s defensive coordinator. Shane Waldron is the new face at offensive coordinator, and he joins the team after serving as a passing game coordinator and quarterbacks coach under Sean McVay in Los Angeles. He will bring with him more unpredictability and more pre-snap motion, and wide receiver DK Metcalf said the team is “picking up the tempo on offense.” Systematically, Russell Wilson stated it isn’t a “massive departure” from what the team has done in recent years. Still, the increased tempo and unpredictability could make a significant impact on the team’s efficiency.
Seattle had a reasonably eventful offseason, although they didn’t do much in the draft as they only had three picks with which to work. Wide receiver D’Wayne Eskridge, cornerback Tre Brown, and offensive tackle Stone Forsythe aren’t expected to make a considerable impact as rookies. Still, they provide some high-upside depth for the team. Seattle traded their fifth-round pick for offensive guard Gabe Jackson from the Raiders in March. Jackson has started 99 of 100 games in his career, and with Mike Iupati’s retirement, he will step into a starting role and help bolster the team’s pass protection.
The Seahawks did have some key free agents of their own, most of whom departed for new teams, although they did a decent job of replacing their losses. Akhello Witherspoon provides a potential upgrade over Quinton Dunbar and Shaquill Griffin at cornerback. Gerald Everett is a higher-upside tight end in replacement for Jacob Hollister. Jarran Reed is a potentially significant loss as the team’s best pass-rusher for much of last season, but Seattle will be hopeful the additions of Aldon Smith, Kerry Hyder, and Al Woods can shore up the defensive line. Other departures include running back Carlos Hyde and wide receivers Phillip Dorsett and David Moore.
Seahawks Odds Analysis
The Seahawks are returning most of their key starters from a 12-4 squad, but they sit at just -120 to make the playoffs, almost a 50/50 shot. Why? They play in arguably the best division in football, with the Rams, 49ers, and Cardinals all having excellent rosters and a chance for a playoff season. Seattle has a win total of 9.5 games, which seems like excellent value as they have won 10+ games in eight of the last nine seasons, all of which had Russell Wilson as the starting quarterback. Seattle will also have an extra game in a 17-game season to get to that 9.5-win mark.
They have the second-lowest projected win total in their division behind the 49ers and Rams, both at 10.5 wins, with the Cardinals at 8 wins. These teams are all above-average in terms of roster talent, but there will have to be an odd team out as it’s doubtful all four clubs hit the over on their respective win totals. The Seahawks currently have +2500 odds to win Super Bowl LVI, just the ninth-best and behind the Rams and 49ers, both of whom are at +1500. The Seahawks made the Super Bowl in 2014 and 2015, winning it in 2014, but have not made it back since. With Russell Wilson at quarterback, this team has as good a shot as any in the NFC to make it to the big game, but it’s an uphill battle in this division.
Reasons Why Seahawks Win Super Bowl
It starts with Russell Wilson, who on his day can be the best quarterback in the NFL. Last season, he completed 68.8% of his passes for a career-high 40 touchdowns to 13 interceptions and added another 513 yards and 2 touchdowns on the ground. Wilson is also throwing to arguably the best wide receiver duo of his career as DK Metcalf (83-1303-10), and Tyler Lockett (100-1054-10) created a ton of issues for opposing pass defenses last season. Metcalf’s combination of size, physicality, and speed with Lockett’s shifty route-running and reliable hands make this a formidable one-two punch. Better health from Chris Carson and Rashaad Penny will help give this team a multi-dimensional look, and the offensive line looks like it could be one of the best Wilson has ever played behind.
Seattle has had a top-ten scoring offense in each of the last three seasons, and Wilson is a quarterback who knows how to get the job done when it matters most – he has 31 career game-winning drives in 9 seasons. Seattle’s Bobby Wagner leads a stout run defense – they allowed the fifth-fewest rushing yards last year. With the addition of Akhello Witherspoon and better health from Tre Flowers and Jamal Adams, the Seahawks could field a pretty competitive pass defense as well. Seattle has a complete roster well-suited to handle a demanding schedule and a loaded NFC. They have the quarterback; they have the coaching; they have the roster talent. This team has the pieces to win a Super Bowl if they get hot at the right time this season.
Reason Why Seahawks Don’t Win Super Bowl
The biggest obstacle facing the Seahawks is the 11th-toughest schedule in the NFL regarding combined opponents’ 2020 win percentage. The NFC West will have Seattle facing the Rams, 49ers, and Cardinals twice each, and they may be fortunate to escape that gauntlet with a 3-3 record overall. The Seahawks start their season with matchups against six playoff teams in the Colts, Titans, 49ers, Rams, Steelers, and Saints, and one should-be playoff team in the Vikings. Seattle does face the Texans, Jaguars, and Lions down the stretch, three of the worst teams in the NFL, but I’m not sure if the Seahawks have the necessary balance and consistency to get through this challenging schedule.
In addition, the odds they win their division are not high given the presence of the Rams and 49ers, and a Wild Card team has only won the Super Bowl seven times (including the Buccaneers last season). Wilson threw his offensive line under the bus earlier this offseason saying, “we’ve got to get better up front.” While he’s not wrong, that sets a dangerous precedence for lack of cohesiveness between the quarterback and his blocking. Seattle also allowed the second-most passing yards in the NFL last year, and in a league increasingly dictated by spread offenses and airing out the ball, the Seahawks run an antiquated Cover 3 system. Ultimately, this is a team with some lingering issues in the toughest division in the NFL. While Wilson may be an MVP candidate, the offensive line issues (on and off the field) and a shaky pass defense could hold this team back from its Super Bowl aspirations.
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