The Seahawks finally won a game last week for the first time since Halloween, but it’s too little too late for Seattle – at 4-8, they’re essentially out of the playoff conversation in the NFC. The Texans have been out of the playoff conversation in the AFC essentially since the season began, and it’s always tough to handicap a game between two low-quality teams. However, that doesn’t mean there can’t be good player prop value, and we’ll attempt to find that value in this article. You can use the player prop search tool below to find the best odds for your selected player prop in your particular betting market.
Seattle Seahawks Vs. Houston Texans Player Prop Search Tool
Davis Mills Over 218.5 Passing Yards
I completely understand if you’re not excited about betting on the Texans’ rookie passer who has struggled mightily at times this year, but Seattle has allowed 275.8 passing yards per game this season, the most in the NFL, and ranks just 26th in pass-defense DVOA. In three of his last four starts this season, Mills threw for well over this yardage line, and he averaged 250 passing yards per game in those four starts. The Texans don’t have many skill position players who will get you excited, but the Seattle defense is vulnerable enough that it doesn’t quite matter. This is a low line for what we’ve seen from both teams this season, and I’m willing to roll with Mills against one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL.
Alex Collins Over 46.5 Rushing Yards
While Alex Collins has only surpassed this mark twice all season (and once was by half a yard), I believe he’s going to do it this week. Adrian Peterson and Travis Homer have been ruled out for this game, leaving Collins and Rashaad Penny to split backfield touches. Since Week 5, Collins has led the team’s backfield in snaps every week and should see a significant workload in this matchup. Houston has allowed 144.2 rushing yards per game, the most in the NFL, and they’ve allowed lower-tier running backs like Devin Singletary, Zack Moss, Chase Edmonds, and Tevin Coleman to all beat this number this season. With the game script and matchup in his favor, Collins should be in for a productive week.
David Johnson Over 2.5 Receptions and Over 16.5 Receiving Yards
The Seahawks have been bad against the pass across the board this season, but they’ve been especially vulnerable to pass-catching running backs. Seattle has allowed 68.2 receiving yards per game to the position, the most in the NFL, and they rank last in the league in pass-defense DVOA against RBs. Johnson has averaged 2.5 receptions and 19.5 receiving yards per game this season, but I’ll give him a bump in his projections in this matchup. Davis Mills being the starter is an added benefit as Tyrod Taylor tends to target running backs less often as a quarterback who can handle himself on the run.
DK Metcalf Anytime TD Scorer
The Seahawks offense hasn’t quite been clicking lately and Metcalf hasn’t scored a touchdown since October, but I’m excited about his potential to find the end zone this week. Metcalf is seeing 34.2% of the Seahawks’ snaps within the 20-yard line this season and he scored eight touchdowns in the first eight weeks of the season. Metcalf is a red-zone aficionado and is a beast at making contested catches over smaller defenders. The Texans don’t have any cornerbacks who can handle Metcalf one-on-one, and I have a feeling he’s going to get in the end zone this week. Metcalf has around +700 odds to score the first touchdown or to score multiple touchdowns; those could be worth a flier as well.