Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Player Props & Picks (9/24/23)
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The Pittsburgh Steelers meet the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday night. Check out below for Steelers vs. Raiders player prop odds, predictions, and best bets, including George Pickens, Davante Adams, and Maxx Crosby.
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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Picks
Which players will step up in the Steelers vs. Raiders contest? Can Las Vegas’ pass rush get to Kenny Pickett? Which top receiver will rack up receptions?
George Pickens Over 3.5 Receptions (-166 DK)
Despite facing an elite 49ers defense, George Pickens secured 5 receptions on 7 targets in Week One. Diontae Johnson went down with an injury, so Pickens’ role increased in Week Two against Cleveland’s exceptional secondary – 4 receptions on 10 targets. Pickens will find it far easier to create separation against Las Vegas’ middling secondary, and Kenny Pickett has few other options besides Pat Freiermuth and 30-year-old Allen Robinson. The hyper-talented receiver should see 8-11 targets, so the juice is worth it.
He must catch four passes about 62 percent of the time for the bet to have a positive expected value.
Davante Adams Over 5.5 Receptions (-135 DK)
Adams’ 34.7 percent target share ranks third in the NFL, and he also has one of the highest First Read Target Shares per Fantasy Points. In other words, Jimmy Garoppolo is constantly looking for Adams, who remains a hyper-elite separator with reliable hands. Jakobi Meyers’ return will cut some of his targets, but it also deters Pittsburgh from constantly doubling Adams – leading to superior route quality. And while Minkah Fitzpatrick is elite, Pittsburgh’s corner duo of Patrick Peterson and Levi Wallace leave plenty to be desired.
Adams must get six catches about 57 percent of the time for the bet to have a positive expected value.
Maxx Crosby Over 0.75 sacks (+110 DK)
Crosby notched 15 sacks and a 15.6 pass rush win percentage last season, which was good for 15th in the NFL (min. 300 pass rush snaps, per PFF). He’s only at one sack so far, but Crosby’s increased his pass rush win percentage to 20, so it’s only a matter of time. He faces a horrendous Steelers offensive line that ranks dead last in PFF pass blocking grade. The unit has allowed a whopping 35 pressures (left tackle Dan Moore Jr has 15 by himself), and quarterback Kenny Pickett has the fifth highest dropbacks under pressure rate.
Look for Crosby to abuse this offensive line and take down Kenny Pickett at least one time, which he must do 47 percent of the time based on the odds.
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