Super Bowl 55 is over with as Tom Brady led the Buccaneers to a 31-9 victory over the Kansas City Chiefs. Looking ahead at next year, the Chiefs are favored again and by a wide margin. This was the case last year. The difference between the odds of these two teams and last year is that the Bucs were not heavily favored, especially before the Brady acquisition. A few teams in that same boat could make a Super Bowl type leap if they get the right piece at quarterback.We will be updating this page throughout the year and also have our real-time NFL Super Bowl Odds page where you can shop lines from the top US Sportsbooks.
Super Bowl 56 Odds
The Early Favorites
After back-to-back Super Bowls and Patrick Mahomes as the Chiefs quarterback, seeing them as the frontrunners is no surprise. They have been in this spot for the last two years now but came up short against the Buccaneers, who are +900. They are tied with the Packers as the best teams to come out of the NFC. The Buccaneers being tied for the best odds in the NFC suggests we will see Tom Brady return for another year. With a tremendous defense and an offense that will likely retain most of their weapons, they are primed to make another run. Oddsmakers are certainly looking at a Chiefs and Buccaneers/Packers combo of a Super Bowl early on. It makes a lot of sense for the Packers to still be in this running as they have Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams. The run defense still needs to improve, and with what should be a very friendly draft and free agent class, getting Rodgers another weapon should be a priority.
Every one of these teams has some question marks as they head into the offseason. Tampa will need to address Chris Godwin’s looming free agency but have plenty of depth to where they could opt to spend that money elsewhere. As mentioned, Green Bay needs to sure up the run defense still but also needs to really get a strong WR2. Kansas City needs a true WR2, but the offensive line, as we saw in the Super Bowl, really cost them.
Dealing With The QB Carousel
The 2021-22 season is going to see a ton of changes. We have yet to see if Drew Brees is retiring, but it seems very likely. The Deshaun Watson and Houston Texans saga will be one to watch over the offseason, and we have already seen one quarterback move on from a horrendous organization. Matthew Stafford orchestrated a deal to the Los Angeles Rams. They are +1300 to win the Super Bowl, which is the third-best odds in the NFC. We also have an excellent crop of quarterbacks coming in, and while the featured names will go to lesser teams, there are names like Mac Jones who could go to a team ready to compete.
Now there are a few teams that have been active in looking for a quarterback. This last year, we saw a vacancy at quarterback kept the odds low until they made a signing. Who will be this year’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers? I think the Colts have the potential to possibly make a move or even move up in the draft to push them forward. They are in a weak division, and +2500 odds are very solid for a team that is a solid quarterback away from being a contending AFC team. Carolina and San Francisco are also teams to watch out for as they have a strong core, but an improvement at the quarterback position would give them a huge edge. New Orleans sits at +2000 right now, so they have middling odds despite quarterback question marks.
Best Long Shot Teams
In addition to the Colts at +2500, who could have a solid offseason that bumps their odds closer to the season, a few other teams stand out. Miami is sitting at +2500 and has been rumored to be in the mix for Deshaun Watson. Any move for Watson would skyrocket the Dolphins. They have a great coaching staff led by Brian Flores and defense on the right track. The AFC East is certainly Buffalo’s division now, but Miami is a competitive bunch that took great strides last season. The Chargers are intriguing at +3000, especially if Justin Herbert doesn’t have a second-year drop-off. Injuries and coaching decisions killed the Chargers. Otherwise, this was a competitive bunch. Any AFC team is already in a tough spot with the Chiefs being front-runners, but AFC West teams also have it rough having to try and take the division from them. I really like this Chargers group, but health remains the biggest hurdle. Arizona at +4000 is intriguing if they make the right offseason moves, and Kingsbury figures it out somehow. Pittsburgh was largely frauds last year, but an improved run game and a better offensive line would put them right back into consideration.
If we want to go even deeper, a few teams could shake things up and potentially make a deep run. The Panthers at +5000 are building something special. They were aggressive in the Matthew Stafford sweepstakes but failed to land him. Now there is a chance they trade up and take one of these young quarterbacks, it seems. They are loaded with weapons and have hit on some excellent young defensive draft picks of late. While I still believe they are a year away and a quarterback change away, watch out for this young group over the next few years. The final team in Washington at +6000. This was a playoff team in a dreadful NFC East, but that defense and combination with some young offensive weapons gave them life for the future. Finding a viable quarterback should be priority number one. If Washington can piece something together in what should be a wild offseason, they have the cap space to bring in another WR and have a draft to fill out some needs.
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