The Super Bowl Coin toss has become one of the popular prop bets for the game. It is becoming a staple of Super Bowl prop betting, and thousands of bets flock to it each year. The coin toss for the big game is also becoming a spectacle of its own.
Any regular coin toss will have the team captains, an official, and maybe a few media members. For the Super Bowl, nearly 100 people are surrounding the coin toss for the big event. In Super Bowl LII, the coin toss was the most bet prop for that game.
Something about betting the ultimate 50/50 odds gets people wanting in on the action despite not having favorable odds. Here is everything you need to know about betting the Super Bowl coin toss.
Super Bowl Coin Toss Odds
|SB Coin Toss Odds||DraftKings||FanDuel||BetMGM|
Super Bowl Coin Toss History
Heads: 25 times
Tails: 28 times
Most coin toss wins: Cowboys (6)
Longest winning streak: Miami (3)
|Year||Super Bowl||Teams||Toss Result||Toss Winner||Champion|
|2020||LIV||Kansas City vs San Francisco||Tails||San Francisco||Kansas City|
|2019||LIII||New England vs LA Rams||Heads||LA Rams||New England|
|2018||LII||New England vs Philadelphia||Heads||New England||Philadelphia|
|2017||LI||Atlanta vs New England||Tails||Atlanta||New England|
|2016||L||Carolina vs Denver||Tails||Carolina||Denver|
|2015||XLIX||Seattle vs New England||Tails||Seattle||New England|
|2014||XLVIII||Seattle vs Denver||Tails||Seattle||Seattle|
|2013||XLVII||Baltimore vs San Francisco||Heads||Baltimore||Baltimore|
|2012||XLVI||New England vs NY Giants||Heads||New England||NY Giants|
|2011||XLV||Green Bay vs Pittsburgh||Heads||Green Bay||Green Bay|
|2010||XLIV||New Orleans vs Indianapolis||Heads||New Orleans||New Orleans|
|2009||XLIII||Arizona vs Pittsburgh||Heads||Arizona||Pittsburgh|
|2008||XLII||NY Giants vs New England||Tails||NY Giants||NY Giants|
|2007||XLI||Chicago vs Indianapolis||Heads||Chicago||Indianapolis|
|2006||XL||Seattle vs Pittsburgh||Tails||Seattle||Pittsburgh|
|2005||XXXIX||Philadelphia vs New England||Tails||Philadelphia||New England|
|2004||XXXVIII||Carolina vs New England||Tails||Carolina||New England|
|2003||XXXVII||Tampa Bay vs Oakland||Tails||Tampa Bay||Tampa Bay|
|2002||XXXVI||St Louis vs New England||Heads||St Louis||New England|
|2001||XXXV||NY Giants vs Baltimore||Tails||NY Giants||Baltimore|
|2000||XXXIV||St Louis vs Tennessee||Tails||St Louis||St Louis|
|1999||XXXIII||Atlanta vs Denver||Tails||Atlanta||Denver|
|1998||XXXII||Green Bay vs Denver||Tails||Green Bay||Denver|
|1997||XXXI||New England vs Green Bay||Heads||New England||Green Bay|
|1996||XXX||Dallas vs Pittsburgh||Tails||Dallas||Dallas|
|1995||XXIX||San Francisco vs San Diego||Heads||San Francisco||San Francisco|
|1994||XXVIII||Dallas vs Buffalo||Tails||Dallas||Dallas|
|1993||XXVII||Buffalo vs Dallas||Heads||Buffalo||Dallas|
|1992||XXVI||Washington vs Buffalo||Heads||Washington||Washington|
|1991||XXV||Buffalo vs NY Giants||Heads||Buffalo||NY Giants|
|1990||XXIV||Denver vs San Francisco||Heads||Denver||San Francisco|
|1989||XXIII||San Francisco vs Cincinnati||Tails||San Francisco||San Francisco|
|1988||XXII||Washington vs Denver||Heads||Washington||Washington|
|1987||XXI||Denver vs NY Giants||Tails||Denver||NY Giants|
|1986||XX||Chicago vs New England||Tails||Chicago||Chicago|
|1985||XIX||San Francisco vs Miami||Tails||San Francisco||San Francisco|
|1984||XVIII||LA Raiders vs Washington||Heads||LA Raiders||LA Raiders|
|1983||XVII||Miami vs Washington||Tails||Miami||Washington|
|1982||XVI||San Francisco vs Cincinnati||Tails||San Francisco||San Francisco|
|1981||XV||Philadelphia vs Oakland||Tails||Philadelphia||Oakland|
|1980||XIV||LA Rams vs Pittsburgh||Heads||LA Rams||Pittsburgh|
|1979||XIII||Dallas vs Pittsburgh||Heads||Dallas||Pittsburgh|
|1978||XII||Dallas vs Denver||Heads||Dallas||Dallas|
|1977||XI||Oakland vs Minnesota||Tails||Oakland||Oakland|
|1976||X||Dallas vs Pittsburgh||Heads||Dallas||Pittsburgh|
|1975||IX||Pittsburgh vs Minnesota||Tails||Pittsburgh||Pittsburgh|
|1974||VIII||Miami vs Minnesota||Heads||Miami||Miami|
|1973||VII||Miami vs Washington||Heads||Miami||Miami|
|1972||VI||Miami vs Dallas||Heads||Miami||Dallas|
|1971||V||Dallas vs Baltimore||Tails||Dallas||Baltimore|
|1970||IV||Minnesota vs Kansas City||Tails||Minnesota||Kansas City|
|1969||III||NY Jets vs Baltimore||Heads||NY Jets||NY Jets|
|1968||II||Green Bay vs Oakland||Tails||Oakland||Green Bay|
|1967||I||Green Bay vs Kansas City||Heads||Green Bay||Green Bay|
The coin toss has started every Super Bowl off since the beginning. In the 54-coin flips, tails have hit 29 times compared to heads’ 25. The 50/50 odds are almost identical even after 54 tries.
Interestingly, tails are on a five-game winning streak after hitting in this year’s Super Bowl. Tails now tie heads for the longest winning streak. The coin has come tails in five of the last seven Super Bowls. In the first Super Bowl, heads were the correct call.
Winning the Super Bowl coin toss does not translate to success, however. The team that has won the coin toss has gone on to win the Super Bowl 24 times, posting a .444-win percentage. Maybe losing the coin toss gives the team the extra motivation for the game. Out of the winning teams that won the coin toss, heads and tails have come up 12 times each, showing its true 50/50 odds.
The team with the most coin toss wins is the Dallas Cowboys at six. Dallas has won the coin toss, picking heads three times and tails three times, and the next team is the San Francisco 49ers coming in with five-coin toss wins. The Niners have won the coin toss with tails four times and heads once. Rounding out the top three is the Miami Dolphins. Miami has won the coin toss four times by winning on heads three times and tails once.
Value on the Coin Toss
Overall, betting the coin toss is not the most profitable strategy given the unfair odds bookmakers put on the 50/50 event. A coin has a 50 percent chance of landing on heads or tails, and in the sports betting world, an event that has a 50 percent chance of happening is listed at +100 odds.
In reality, the sports betting odds of the coin toss should sit at +100 for heads and +100 for tails. However, sportsbooks do not give bettors these odds. In Super Bowl LIV, sportsbooks like FanDuel and DraftKings gave odds of -103 for both heads and tails at their site.
-103 odds convert to a 50.7 percent chance of happening. Therefore, a bettor wagering on a 50 percent chance of something happen with 50.7 percent odds means that they will lose .7 percent value over time. This makes betting the coin toss a losing bet.
This does not discourage bettors, however. Of course, there is the thrill of betting the coin toss as it is one of the first events to bet on during the Super Bowl next to the National Anthem. There is also something exhilarating betting something with true 50/50 odds and the event happening so quickly.
One thing sportsbooks have done, to get more action on the coin toss is different prop bets with the event. During last year’s Super Bowl, MyBookie gave out odds on the coin toss, which team will win the coin toss, will the winner of the coin toss win the Super Bowl, and will the team calling the coin toss to make the correct call?
The different bets give bettors more options to wager even than just heads or tails. Some can argue that there is more handicapping and being able to find an edge with four different types of bets that can be placed that go along with the coin toss.
People can handicap the fact that teams that win the coin toss only win the Super Bowl 44 percent of the time. Little things like this help sportsbooks get more action, and also give bettors more options on bets to make.
Finding an Edge in the Coin Toss
The coin toss has a 50 percent chance it lands on heads and a 50 percent chance it lands on tails. Sportsbooks will never give you odds in favor of betting heads or tails on a coin toss.
However, there could be a chance to bet the Super Bowl coin toss using recent history strategically. Studies have shown that if you flipped a coin 1,000 times, then there is a very good chance that the coin will land on heads 500 times and land on tails 500 times.
Overall, the coin toss will always regress to an even number of times each side the coin will land on. Since the start of the Super Bowl era, tails have come up 29 times, and heads have come up 25 times. I would personally lean towards heads to the next Super Bowl, knowing there is a regression that will come with tails.
This might be the best chance to find an “edge” on a 50/50 chance of something happening. Also, tracking historical data from the coin toss and see if a side has won multiple years in a row. The odds of it coming up in consecutive years would be more of an outlier than seeing the other side come up.
Again, the coin toss has 50/50 odds of happening every time, but it also mindful to understand that wonky trends will happen during stretches. If you can find a trend and play it the opposite way, then there is a chance at profiting as their by going with the ole “tails never fails.”
Coin Toss FAQ
- How can I bet the coin toss?
- Who has the best coin toss odds?
- What strategy can I use to bet the coin toss?
- Has heads or tails come up more in the Super Bowl coin toss?
- Which team has won the coin toss the most in the Super Bowl?
There are a few ways you can bet the coin toss. Sportsbooks give the traditional will heads or tails come up in the coin toss. Now, sportsbooks will give bets on will the team who calls the coin toss call it correctly, or will the team that wins the coin toss win the game. There a few more options to coin toss betting.
In last year’s Super Bowl, MyBookie had the best coin toss odds at -101. FanDuel and DraftKings were next at -103 odds, and other sportsbooks were -104 and beyond. With betting on a pure 50/50 chance of happening, it is best to find a sportsbook with the lowest juice possible. If someone has -100 odds to bet a coin toss then those odds would be even more ideal.
The coin toss has 50/50 odds and independent from every other toss. However, people can use possible trends on whether or not the coin will come up heads or tails. If one side has hit more times, then choosing the opposite side find has an edge as the chances are 50/50.
Tails have come up 29 times while heads have hit 25 times. Tails have come up in five of the last seven Super Bowl coin tosses and also hit in Super Bowl LIV. It is interesting how tails have come up more times than heads. However, do not be surprised if we see more heads land over the next decade to make the coin toss closer to 50/50.
The Dallas Cowboys have won the most coin tosses with six. The San Francisco 49ers are next with five wins, and the Miami Dolphins have won the coin flip four times. The Seattle Seahawks are a perfect three for three with winning the coin toss in their Super Bowl appearances, and the Chicago Bears have won both appearances they have been in.