Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Indianapolis Colts Player Props (11/28/21)

The Colts earned one of the upset wins of the season over the Bills last week, while the Buccaneers got a blowout home win in primetime over the Giants to help them get back on track. With both of these teams riding some momentum and looking like solid playoff squads, this game carries plenty of intrigue. There are several exciting player props to explore in this one, and in this article, I’ll discuss some of the best values. You can use the player prop search tool below to find the best values in your betting market.

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Jonathan Taylor Over 108.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

The Colts’ running back is in the midst of a historic season, and his five-touchdown effort last week put him into the MVP conversation. He has gone over this scrimmage yardage marker in eight straight games and is averaging 131.3 yards from scrimmage per game. The Buccaneers allow the third-fewest rushing yards per game, but they could be without two key players in Vita Vea and Devin White. Taylor is the Colts’ offense, and he’s been incredible in the receiving game, as well. This line is too low, and I don’t care what the matchup is; I’m taking Taylor to go over on his yardage.

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O.J. Howard Under 10.5 Receiving Yards

This may not be the most exciting prop to bet on, but now that Rob Gronkowski is back in the lineup, we can bank on O.J. Howard making a limited impact. Howard has only gone over ten yards in a game once over his last four outings, and his snap share fell to 26% last week as Gronkowski and Cameron Brate were more involved than him. Howard only averages 7.7 yards per reception, so he would need two catches in this game to hit this yardage number, and I don’t see him getting there.

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Carson Wentz Under 0.5 Interceptions

The Colts’ quarterback has quietly been extremely efficient this season as he’s only thrown three interceptions this year. PFF tracks turnover-worthy plays, and Wentz grades out very favorably there too, with a rate of just 2.4%. Wentz has only thrown a pick in two of his eleven games, and the fact that you can still get close to even odds on this prop is pretty surprising. The Buccaneers’ defense is certainly capable of generating turnovers, but I’ll back Wentz to continue playing efficient, turnover-free football under Frank Reich.

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Leonard Fournette Under 48.5 Rushing Yards

After a solid start to the season, Leonard Fournette has been much less productive lately. He has averaged just 36 rushing yards per game over his last three games. Last week against the Giants, it was an ideal matchup and game script, and he only had 35 yards. Ronald Jones still played less than 30% of snaps, but he got eight carries and ate into Fournette’s workload. Against the Colts this week, the Buccaneers will likely look to pass more than run against a defense that’s better against the run than it is against the pass. Fournette is a solid running back, but he’s nothing special, and I see him getting held in check again this week.

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I've been writing about sports for Lineups since the beginning of 2020 and on my own website since 2018. In May 2021, I graduated from the University of Michigan with a degree in sport management. As the United States embarks on an exciting journey towards the legalization of sports betting, I'm thrilled to have the opportunity to cover industry news, NFL and NBA odds, and more.

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