Titans Odds to Win Super Bowl 2021
Titans Odds to Win Super Bowl: +3000
Titans Win Total: 8.5
Titans Odds to Win Division: +165
Titans Odds to Win Conference: +1600
Titans Odds Analysis
The Titans were the darlings of the 2019-20 NFL Playoffs. After winning on the final day of the regular season to clinch a Wild Card berth, Tennessee upset the New England Patriots and top-seeded Baltimore Ravens and gave the eventual Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs all they could handle in the AFC Championship Game.
Despite their deep playoff run last year, the Titans are not among the Super Bowl LV favorites as the new NFL season approaches. Tennessee’s Super Bowl odds of +3000 are good for only the 16th shortest odds on the board at FanDuel Sportsbook. The Titans’ win total is set at 8.5 and their AFC title odds are +1600, the 7th shortest in the conference. While the Chiefs and Ravens once again figure to be key players in the AFC, the carryover of playoff experience, a wide-open AFC South division and terrific coaching and leadership are all major positives for those looking to back the Titans on the futures market.
AFC South Betting Analysis
Looking around the AFC South, the Titans have as good a shot as any other team to claim the crown. The Indianapolis Colts get the nod as division favorites with +135 odds. The Titans are next in line at +165, followed by the Houston Texans at +300, and finally the Jacksonville Jaguars at +2000.
The Colts made a splash in free agency when they signed veteran quarterback Philip Rivers. The jury is still out on whether the 38-year old can help Indianapolis improve. The Texans also made some noise in the offseason, albeit more for what they lost in star wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins than for what they gained. And while the Titans did experience some roster turnover, the key pieces of both the offense and defense return.
The Titans do have a slightly easier strength of schedule than both the Texans and Colts based on win percentages from last season. Divisional playthrough opponents will be in the AFC and NFC North divisions this year. While these games won’t be easy, there are wins to be had. Four of Tennessee’s six AFC South battles come in their final eight games, including both against the Colts. The second half of the season will have major divisional implications.
Titans Offseason and Draft
Tennessee showed last season that they are perhaps one of the most workmanlike teams in the NFL. Head coach Mike Vrabel and GM Jon Robinson put together a solid offseason, balancing key losses with promising additions both through free agency and the NFL Draft.
The major headline of the Titans offseason was the massive contract extension of quarterback Ryan Tannehill. The offensive improvement when he took over as the starter last season was undeniable. The Titans believe he fits their system perfectly and are set to ride with him for the foreseeable future. While he will have to wait another year for a major payday of his own, star running back Derrick Henry did agree to terms to play under the franchise tag for the 2020-21 season. The addition of rookie third-round pick Darrynton Evans gives the Titans much-needed backfield flexibility as they try to keep Henry fresh for the whole season.
A.J. Brown emerged over the second half of his rookie season as the big-play receiving threat. While his connection with Tannehill is paramount to Tennessee’s ability to stretch the field, the offense is not lacking in other pass catchers, namely wideouts Corey Davis and Adam Humphries and tight end Jonnu Smith. The team also resigned tight end Anthony Firkser, a sound blocker, and capable receiver.
Concerning the offensive line, tackle Jack Conklin did depart in free agency, but the Titans did resign fellow tackle Dennis Kelly and also spent their first-round draft pick on tackle Isaiah Wilson. The 4th best line in terms of run blocking efficiency according to Football Outsiders will prioritize improving on pass blocking, an area that saw them rank dead last in the NFL based on the adjusted metrics.
The bulk of the Titans’ roster turnover resides on the defense. The most notable departures are defensive end Jurrell Casey and corner Logan Ryan. Linebacker Wesley Woodyard also remains unsigned. Fortunately, the Titans were able to adequately replace last season’s departures. A pair of former Atlanta Falcons in linebacker Vic Beasley and tackle Jack Crawford join the front seven while veteran corner Johnathan Joseph was the major free agent addition to the secondary. Corners Adoree Jackson and Malcolm Butler will likely start the season atop the cornerback depth chart, but Tennessee also drafted the talented Kristian Fulton in the second round. Safeties Kevin Byard and Kenny Vaccaro also both return to anchor the back end of the defense.
– Run Game
– Multitude of Pass Catchers
– Talent-laden Secondary
– Terrific Coaching and Scheming
– Pass Protection
– Lack of Consistent Pass Rush
– Struggle Playing from Behind
– Blown Coverages in the Secondary
I consider the Titans to be among the top five teams in the AFC heading into the season. The team’s playoff run last year was surprising, but also put Tennessee on the map as a legitimate AFC contender. The Titans adequately filled those holes left by free agency departures while also bringing in promising rookie talent for the future.
Ideally, the Titans will be able to find their footing in the first half of the season ahead of a key stretch of divisional games in the back half. While the Colts and Texans both have legitimate cases to win the AFC South, the Titans would be my preferred choice. Look to back them to win the division at +165 odds.
Can Tennessee once again make noise in the postseason? The AFC will have a fine lineup of challengers but compared to the AFC title and Super Bowl odds of other teams in the conference, I am not opposed to the idea of sprinkling a little on the Titans at +1600 and +3000, respectively.
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