Tennessee Titans Super Bowl Odds 2022
The Titans have been one of the most exciting teams in the NFL over the past two years since acquiring quarterback Ryan Tannehill. Tennessee’s offense was unstoppable last year as they scored the fourth-most points and compiled the second-most yards in the league. However, after making a Conference Championship run in 2019, the Titans fell to the Ravens in the Wild Card round last year. With Derrick Henry, A.J. Brown, and Julio Jones leading an electric offensive attack and a defense with some new pieces, Tennessee did an excellent job addressing some of its most extensive needs over the offseason and is reloaded for a hopeful dark horse Super Bowl bid in the AFC.
Tennessee Titans Team Future Odds
- Super Bowl Odds:
- To Win AFC:
- To Win AFC West:
- To Earn AFC #1 Seed:
- To Make Playoffs:
Titans’ general manager Jon Robinson did a masterful job of keying in on major weaknesses and improving the roster through free agency and the draft while maintaining the defined identity of the team. Corey Davis and Jonnu Smith left in free agency, so Tennessee added Hall of Fame wide receiver Julio Jones. He’ll join A.J. Brown as arguably the best wide receiver tandem in the NFL. Tennessee also added Josh Reynolds to the pass-catching corps. Kendall Lamm is a potential starter at right tackle on the offensive line, and Spencer Pulley provides some depth on the interior.
Tennessee’s pass defense was very problematic last year as they allowed the ninth-most passing yards and generated the third-fewest sacks in the NFL. They recognized this key area of need and replaced Malcolm Butler, Desmond King, and Adoree’ Jackson with veteran Janoris Jenkins and rookie Caleb Farley. In addition, the Titans let Jadeveon Clowney walk and added Bud Dupree, who has 19.5 sacks in 27 games over the last two seasons. Denico Autry and John Simon help round out the pass rush on this team, along with rookies Monty Rice and Rashad Weaver.
The most notable transition the Titans will be facing this year is at offensive coordinator as former OC Arthur Smith is the new head coach of the Falcons. Todd Downing, formerly the tight ends coach for the Titans, will replace him as the new offensive coordinator. He previously served as the OC for the Raiders for one season in 2017 and is on the younger side at 41 years old. Head coach Mike Vrabel returns while Shane Bowen has been promoted from outside linebackers coach to defensive coordinator – Tennessee did not employ a DC last season.
Titans Odds Analysis
The Titans currently have -149 odds to make the playoffs and -120 odds to win the AFC South. Their division had been a two-team race between them and the Colts, but injuries to Carson Wentz and Quenton Nelson have given Indianapolis a very murky future. The Colts are now just +115 to make the playoffs and +180 to win the AFC South. The Jaguars are a young team with a new head coach in Urban Meyer and a rookie quarterback in Trevor Lawrence; while their future is bright, they aren’t a real playoff threat this season. The Texans are likely to be one of the worst teams in the NFL. All that considered, the Titans have one of the easier paths to the playoffs in the NFL.
Tennessee is currently listed at +2800 to win the Super Bowl, making them the fifth-most likely team to succeed in the AFC. The Chiefs (+500), Bills (+1200), Ravens (+1400), and Browns (+1600) all have better odds at the time of this writing. However, all of those teams will likely play in tougher divisions than the Titans will. Tennessee is also listed as the fifth-most likely team in the AFC to make the playoffs behind the Chiefs (-1000), Bills (-333), Ravens (-305), and Browns (-200). I see considerable value with the Titans given these odds, and I believe they should be closer to the Bills or Ravens in odds than where they currently sit. If Tennessee can be a top-two seed in the AFC, a distinct possibility, Ryan Tannehill would be a potential MVP candidate. At +3200 to win the award, he’s one of my favorite dark horse candidates.
Reasons Why Titans Win Super Bowl
The biggest strength of the Titans is their run game, and it sets up everything they do. Derrick Henry is a monster at the running back position and laughs in the face of any analysts who say running backs don’t matter. I guarantee you, this one very much does. Henry became the eighth running back in NFL history to surpass 2,000 yards last season, and he has run for 33 touchdowns in the previous two years. The elite rushing threat sets up a fabulous play-action passing offense as teams are forced to stack the box against Henry. With weaker coverage on the outside, A.J. Brown and Julio Jones should feast on overmatched cornerbacks in single coverage. That’s a recipe for another year as one of the best offenses in the NFL. Tennessee doesn’t have to have an elite defense with that elite scoring attack, but their defense should be much improved.
If Caleb Farley can stay healthy (he had some troubling medical issues heading into the draft), he could form an elite cornerback tandem with Janoris “Jackrabbit” Jenkins and Kevin Byard, one of the best safeties in the NFL. Bud Dupree could emerge as one of the best pass rushers in the draft and challenge for the league lead in sacks, and the combination of better coverage and better pass rush should give Tennessee much-improved pass defense. Mike Vrabel has established a brand of physicality and toughness on offense, and if their defense matches that intensity this year, it should make the team one of the more balanced outfits in football. The easy division could land the Titans as a top-two seed in the AFC with home-field advantage until the AFC Conference Championship. Tennessee is one of the few teams that can reasonably challenge Kansas City this year. The pieces are there for the Titans to make a surprise Super Bowl bid.
Reason Why Titans Don’t Win Super Bowl
I wouldn’t exactly count out the Colts with Frank Reich as the head coach as there is still plenty of talent on that roster even with Quenton Nelson and Carson Wentz hurt. While the Titans’ division could see them earn a 4-2, 5-1, or even 6-0 record, it’s not all roses as far as the schedule goes. In fact, in regards to opponents’ 2020 combined win percentage, Tennessee faces the 11th-most demanding schedule this season. Tennessee has to face the NFC West, arguably the best division in the NFL and home to the Rams, 49ers, Seahawks, and Cardinals. None of those are easy games. The AFC East is also on the docket, with the Bills, Patriots, and Dolphins all presenting unique challenges. For good measure, the Titans also have to play the defending AFC Champion Chiefs, Sean Payton’s Saints, and Sean McVay’s Rams during the regular season.
So, yeah. It may not be such an easy slate for them. The Titans will be hopeful they made the necessary changes on defense to fix things, but we’ve never seen Bud Dupree play outside of an elite Steelers’ defense and he may struggle with more attention placed on him. Janoris Jenkins may be on the decline at 32 years old and Caleb Farley may miss significant time due to his back issues. There isn’t enough depth behind those two players. Offensively, things look great on paper, but Arthur Smith was the lifeblood of this group and his departure could end up being more significant than we initially realized. There are also some concerns over Ryan Tannehill’s ability to lead a team to the Super Bowl, something he’s never done before. Needless to say, there is a wide range of outcomes for this Titans’ team this season.
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