Thunder-Pacers Game 5 Odds & NBA Finals Predictions: Will Indiana Cover The Spread?

With the NBA Finals tied at two apiece between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers, the winner of Game 5 will gain a huge championship equity boost. Continue reading for my bets on Thunder-Pacers Game 5 odds ahead of Monday night’s matchup. Place your own picks on your favorite sportsbook apps.

Pacers At Thunder Game 5 Odds: NBA Finals Spread, Moneyline, Total

Will Pacers Cover The Point Spread?

The Thunder have outscored opponents by 21.6 points per 100 possessions at home this postseason. The only two losses were blown leads to the Nuggets and Pacers in Game 1 of their respective series. Their home crowd does wonders for their energy and role players, and I expect Oklahoma City to claim Game 5. However, a 9.5-point spread is a bridge too far. 

Indiana features a decentralized offense, shoots the lights out from deep, pushes the pace, and can match Oklahoma City’s depth. All of these factors are crucial to beating the Thunder, and it’s why the series is tied despite the pre-series odds being so slanted.

Plus, OKC has looked tired and worn down in the past two games, with Indiana still appearing fresh and on the attack. That could come into play tonight.  I suggest playing Indiana  at one unit.

Alex Caruso 12+ points (+120, DraftKings Sportsbook)

If the Thunder win the title, the Caruso trade will represent one of the best role-player offseason acquisitions in league history. 

In the playoffs, the veteran is averaging 10 points, 2.7 rebounds, 2.4 assists, and 1.9 steals while shooting 43.2% on triples. His scoring has especially spiked against the Pacers, as he’s pouring in 14.8 points per game on 54/50/83 splits. 

Along with the outside shooting success, Caruso’s cutting has been vital. He’s taking advantage of Indiana loading up on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and sneaking in for backdoor buckets if the Pacers swarm the roll-man.

Overall, Caruso should see significant minutes tonight, and he should once again get excellent looks at the basket. 

Thunder-Pacers Game 5 Odds: Caruso Prop Catalog

Luguentz Dort Over 1.5 Made 3s (-160, FanDuel Sportsbook)

Luguentz Dort is at 61.1% from behind the arc in this series, so efficiency hasn’t been a problem. His volume, on the other hand, has been extremely inconsistent: nine, three, five, and one.

Indiana’s defense has excelled at closing out on the arc and forcing passes instead of perimeter attempts. That’s a risk for this prop bet, but Dort isn’t as afraid to launch contested threes as other Thunder.

Plus, Dort is averaging 7.1 attempts per game from beyond the arc at home this playoffs compared to 4.7 on the road. He’s also 9.9% more efficient at home. I would play the prop at one and a half units.

Thunder-Pacers Game 5 Odds: Dort Prop Catalog

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Post
Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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