U.S. Odds & Golf DFS Picks: 5 Longshot Bets, Including Corey Conners
Our golf major content keeps on flowing in with this breakdown of my favorite U.S. Open sleepers! Oakmont is set to host this event for a record 10th time and is (at least in my opinion) the most deserving course on the rotation to keep coming back to. It is a fair, yet grueling, all-around test that requires precision and punishes any misfires with severely penal rough and ample bunkers.
It would not be a surprise to see a score over par win this week, but while the U.S. Open is intended to reward the best in the field, we have still seen longshots like Wyndham Clark and Gary Woodland prevail over the last six years.
So, with some help from Underdog Fantasy, let’s get to our 2025 U.S. Open longshots and sleepers for your Fantasy lineups and betting cards. Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state.
Oakmont Country Club: Course Introduction
Appropriately earning the distinction as the most difficult of all major championship venues, Oakmont CC is a brutal test of players’ all-around skills and willpower. It requires power, precision, and patience to withstand for all four days, but it has always appropriately rewarded the most deserving champion by week’s end.
Oakmont is unique among U.S. Open venues in that it is effectively bomb-and-gouge-proof, instead placing a premium on accuracy both off the tee and on approach. That isn’t to say that distance does not matter at Oakmont, however, as players who can drive the ball both long and straight will find the most birdie opportunities this week. With massive, lightning-fast undulated greens, Oakmont will also uniquely reward approach putting, as players will need to work hard to avoid three-putts when they do manage to reach greens in regulation.
For a deeper dive into the course, read my U.S. Open preview. Without any further delay, let’s get to our U.S. Open picks, with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your Fantasy lineups.
- Related: Golf Oddsmaker On Scottie Scheffler’s Historic U.S. Open Odds
2025 U.S. Open Betting: Outright Odds
U.S. Open Golf DFS Picks & Predictions
To identify “value” any given week on the PGA Tour, I find it’s best first to understand the consensus key stat profile. Then, take a stance on the elements of the tournament that may go overlooked. At the U.S. Open, recent form, performance in recent majors, and total driving are consensus key areas factored into each player’s price.
From a sleeper perspective, I will primarily emphasize the importance of accuracy off the tee and approach putting to differentiate my player pool and find value for this week’s tournament. Oakmont is unique from many recent U.S. Open venues in that the lesser overall course yardage should keep the longest hitters in the field from running away.
Below, find my favorite value PGA golf DFS picks and longshots for the 2025 U.S. Open. Stats pulled across the Last 36 Rounds unless otherwise noted.
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Corey Conners:
Conners has exactly the kind of game you need to compete at Oakmont. He is elite across all pertinent form stats leading into this week, ranking top-10 in terms of SG: OTT, Driving Accuracy, SG: Ball Striking, SG: Approach, and SG: T2G. That has resulted in a streak of 13 consecutive made cuts leading into this event, with nine top-25s over that span.
It may feel easy to write off Conners when the stakes are at their highest, as he does not have the greatest track record of closing out tournaments on Sundays, but Conners has quietly built up quite an impressive resume in Majors over the last five years. He has six finishes of T12 or better over that span, and has finished top-26 in each of his previous five major starts.
While I have my reservations about Conners out-dueling the best in the world this week, he makes for an appealing play in fantasy formats and placement betting markets.
Keegan Bradley:
If the combination of precise ball striking and power is the name of the game at Oakmont, then Team USA’s Ryder Cup captain looks poised to make a run in Pittsburgh. There’s no question Bradley has found his form this season, notching six top-15 finishes on the year, and back-to-back top-10s in his two latest starts. All the while, Bradley has been a model of consistency from tee-to-green, contending whenever his putter has been able to cooperate.
Keegan ranks No. 9 overall in my model this week, with top-10 ranks in the key categories of SG: T2G, SG: APP, SG: Ball Striking, Approach Putting, and Comp Course History. The 2011 PGA Champion may not have a great track record in majors since, however he’s shown new life with an encouraging T8 finish at Quail Hollow in his latest major start last month. On paper, all signs point towards Keegan Bradley being a factor at Oakmont this week.
Harris English:
One of the most underrated risers in the majors in this field, you can always count on getting a nice discount on English despite having such a strong record. English has already picked up a win on tour this season at Torrey Pines, another long and challenging test with penal rough threatening on every shot. He’s continued to impress on the biggest stages this year as well, finishing T12 and T2 in his first two majors of the year.
He enters Oakmont fresh off of an impressive T12 showing in his latest start at the Memorial, yet another comp course to Oakmont CC, which demands elite ball-striking, course strategy, and approach putting on large, nuanced, and fast greens.
It may be asking too much to expect a win from Harris English at a venue which has virtually only crowned golf Hall of Famers before him, but with five top-20s over his last seven starts, English has one of the highest floors of any player priced around him this week.
Matt Fitzpatrick:
From a fantasy ownership standpoint, the first three names I’ve mentioned in this article will not help much for leverage, as they stand out to be the consensus most mispriced players who check the obvious boxes of recent form, event history, and course fit. Matt Fitzpatrick, who flies a bit further under the radar, is one of my favorite players this week.
Fitzpatrick is one of a select few players in this field who has successfully conquered a USGA setup, and enters in respectable form. The 2022 U.S. Open champion has rediscovered that vintage form in the second half of this season, with three consecutive top-30 finishes leading in. That includes a T8 showing at the PGA Championship, where he ranked No. 4 in the field in SG: APP for the week. Fitzpatrick has made a career out of grinding in difficult conditions, faring best on course setups that reward stacking pars.
He ranks among the top 15 in SG: OTT and SG: Ball Striking in Difficult Scoring Conditions and stands out as one of my favorite values in his price range.
Davis Riley:
If you’re looking for a deep flyer with legitimate top-40 upside, Davis Riley is the most viable option I see towards the bottom of the board. He ranks No. 25 overall in my model this week, with top-15 ranks in the key categories of SG: TOT (L36), SG: ARG, SG: OTT (Difficult Driving Conditions), and SG: Putting (Fast Greens). Riley’s undervalued skills helped propel him to his most recent PGA Tour win at the 2024 Charles Schwab Challenge, where he successfully outdueled Scottie Scheffler.
Riley has played his best golf on the biggest stages this season, finishing T21 at The Masters and T2 at the PGA Championship. Truly a boom-or-bust player, there are few others in Riley’s price range who will offer the same upside.
Best of luck if you choose to roster these for U.S. Open odds and golf DFS picks. Remember to sign up for “King of the Course,” which gives bettors a chance to win a share of $1 million in bonus bets!
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