U.S. Open Picks & Predictions: Golf Oddsmaker On Scottie Scheffler’s Historic Betting Odds
With the U.S. Open set to tee off, here’s a peek inside the sportsbook with Jeff Sherman, Westgate SuperBook’s golf oddsmaker and vice president of risk management in Las Vegas, for the latest information on the 125th edition of this championship. Below, Sherman shares his perspective on Scottie Scheffler’s historic betting odds of winning his fourth major and his favorite longshot bet for U.S. Open picks.
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Scheffler’s Record-Setting U.S. Open Odds
Per Sports Odds History, the world’s top-ranked player has the shortest odds () heading into a major championship since Tiger Woods in 2009. That year, Woods was lined at +250 or shorter in all four majors, including +175 odds of emerging victorious at the U.S. Open.
Scheffler represents one of just two contestants who have tallied a top-10 finish in the first two majors in 2025. He’s also notched three victories in his last four tournaments, along with an astounding nine top-10 results. What’s led to his torrid stretch? No one gains more strokes total, off the tee, or on the greens. The once-maligned putter even ranks 25th in Strokes Gained: Putting.
Is Scheffler Winning A ‘Bad’ Result?
Unsurprisingly, Scheffler is atop the board in both tickets and money bet on outright winners at the Westgate. Nevertheless, Sherman and his team have been ultra-aggressive in shrinking Scheffler’s odds, so much so that he would still churn out a positive outcome for the SuperBook if he lifts the U.S. Open trophy. Months ago, he was set in the +450 range.
“As tough a test as this is expected to be at a challenging venue, you would think that he’s going to be the one most well off because you have to keep the ball on the fairway,” Sherman said. “You’re going to have to have good ball placement on the greens. Obviously, he excels in every area, but if he continues avoiding difficult putt placement, he has such an advantage over everyone else.”
However, Sherman isn’t eyeing Scheffler for his U.S. Open betting portfolio, especially regarding matchup props. He noted that the potential variance involved at the Oakmont Country Club, featuring a bevy of undulating Poa Annua greens, tiny landing zones, and deep bunkering, isn’t worth toying with at such steep prices.
Scheffler’s -180 odds to finish ahead of Bryson DeChambeau, who has the second-best odds () of winning the tournament, are a prime example.
Sherman isn’t one to shy away from wagering on Scheffler, taking him in a matchup against Rory McIlroy ahead of the PGA Championship. Like most savvy bettors, he’s honed in on whether there’s enough value in the number.
If Scheffler wins consecutive majors, he’ll need one more at the Open Championship to complete the career Grand Slam.
- Related: Best U.S. Open Odds To Make & Miss The Cut
U.S. Open Picks: Bet On This Longshot?
Sherman’s outright card is small given Scheffler’s dominant run and the chaos that may ensue in Pittsburgh. With that in mind, he focused on longshots, including Harris English (). He also bet on the 35-year-old to sit atop the leaderboard after the first round () and in a matchup against Jason Day (-135).
Set to make his 10th U.S. Open start, English has a decorated past while competing for this major, including three top-10 finishes and a T-37 at Oakmont in 2016. In January, he won for the fifth time on tour at the Farmers Insurance Open before notching a second-place finish at the PGA Championship, his best career finish in any major.
“I got this (a bet on English to win outright) a few weeks ago at 150-to-1,” Sherman said. “He really took a dip on Monday morning. I was letting some friends know, ‘If you want to bet him, do it now.'”
Our golf expert, John Haselbauer, agrees with Sherman, pegging English as one of his favorite golf DFS picks this week.
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