USA-Guatemala Odds, Predictions, Lineups: USMNT In 2025 Gold Cup Semifinals (Wednesday, July 2)

With the CONCACAF Gold Cup nearing a champion, the U.S. men’s national team will take on Guatemala in the semifinals. The match kicks off in St. Louis at 7 p.m. ET, and it will air on FS1. The USMNT avoided disaster by upending Costa Rica in a penalty shootout on Sunday. Conversely, Guatemala pulled off one of the most stunning upsets (+425) of the tournament, taking down Canada in the same fashion. Let’s break down the latest USA-Guatemala odds.

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USA vs. Guatemala Match Result (Regular Time) Odds

Match ResultBetMGM OddsDraftKings Odds
USA-375-380
Draw+475+500
Guatemala+950+1000

To Advance

To AdvanceDraftKings Odds
USA-900
Guatemala+500

Bet On USA vs. Mexico Final?

Many soccer bettors, fans, and oddsmakers will have a similar rooting interest during Wednesday’s CONCACAF Gold Cup action: a USA vs. Mexico final. Not only would it set up for a great match, but the betting handle for Sunday’s title tilt could reach epic proportions.

To earn a spot in NRG Stadium, the USMNT must upend Guatemala. It’s heavily favored to do so, listed as high as -900 to advance at DraftKings Sportsbook. By converting these odds to implied probability, the U.S. has a 90% chance of facing Mexico or Honduras.

Parlaying the USMNT and Mexico to advance would deliver -385 odds. To net $100, a bettor must place a $385 wager.

Historically, the U.S. has owned Guatemala, emerging victorious in four of its last five matches by a combined 17-1 score. During this stretch, it was only on the losing end in the 2016 World Cup qualifier in Guatemala (2-0).

Overall, the USMNT has tallied 16 wins in 27 tries. Guatemala has won five matches, and there were six draws between them.

USA-Guatemala Betting Odds: Will USMNT Strike Early?

Despite reaching this point, the U.S. made its fair share of mistakes in exhibition matches, surrendering cheap goals to Haiti and Costa Rica before struggling against Costa Rica. Guatemala has the talent to take advantage, only blanked once when restructuring its lineup against Panama. Nevertheless, the USMNT won the possession battle (64%) versus Los Ticos, manufacturing 18 shots in total, proving that a close score wasn’t necessarily indicative of how it performed.

Let’s get creative with a bet. I’d consider wagering on the Americans to tally the match’s first goal in the first half. These odds are -160 at BetMGM Sportsbook.

Good luck with your bets on USA vs. Guatemala!

USMNT Projected Starting Lineup (4-2-3-1)

Freese; Freeman, Richards, Ream, Arfsten; Berhalter, Adams; McGlynn, Tillman, Luna; White.

Guatemala Projected Starting Lineup (4-3-3)

Navarro; Morales, Samayoa, Pinto, Herrera; Munoz, Rosales, Robles; Santis, Rubin, Escobar

Post
Eli Hershkovich is a content editor for Catena Media. He’s been gambling for over a decade. His goal is to provide you with data and market insight to help lead you to winning bets. Eli specializes in college basketball, NFL, MLB, and the sports gambling landscape. He's most well-known for his futures bets on the hardwood. Three seasons ago, he cashed his 50-1 UConn ticket. He still hasn’t forgiven Virginia (and the refs) for ruining his 100-1 Texas Tech futures in the 2019 NCAA Tournament.

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