USA-Mexico Odds, Picks, Predictions, Start Time: USMNT In 2025 Gold Cup Final (Sunday, June 6)
On Sunday night, archrivals will clash at NRG Stadium in Houston. Bettors have seen the U.S. men’s national team showcase its fair share of growth under manager Mauricio Pochettino, now one victory away from its eighth Gold Cup crown. Meanwhile, defending champion Mexico is favored to win a record-setting 10th title on the national stage. Let’s break down the odds for USA vs. Mexico.
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Opening Odds: USA vs. Mexico Final (Regular Time)
| Match Result | Caesars Odds | DraftKings Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mexico | +155 | +155 |
| Draw | +210 | +190 |
| USA | +175 | +210 |
USA-Mexico Odds To Lift Trophy
| To Win Cup | DraftKings Odds |
|---|---|
| Mexico | -135 |
| USA | +100 (EV) |
Goalscorer Prop Bets
| Name | First Scorer | Last Scorer | Anytime Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Jimenez | +500 | +500 | +180 |
| Santiago Gimenez | +550 | +550 | +230 |
| Angel Sepulveda | +600 | +600 | +260 |
| Brian White | +600 | +600 | +220 |
| Patrick Agyemang | +650 | +650 | +275 |
| Julian Quinones | +750 | +750 | +300 |
How Did We Get Here?
To kick off the CONCACAF Gold Cup tournament, the USMNT was listed at +200 to hoist the trophy, only behind El Tri (+150). It finished first in Group D with three wins over Trinidad and Tobago, Saudi Arabia, and Haiti. The quarterfinals were no cakewalk, with the Americans avoiding an upset bid by Costa Rica in an intense 4-3 penalty shootout victory.
After taking an early 2-0 lead against Guatemala in the semifinals, with both goals scored by midfielder Diego Luna, the pressure quickly returned in the second half. The United States was outshot (20-12), producing just one shot after the 67th minute. The visitors also kept 51% of the possession.
Conversely, forward Raúl Jiménez delivered Mexico’s lone goal in a 1-0 win over Honduras. Jiménez, who has notched 42 goals for his country, is nearing the national record of 52, achieved by the 37-year-old Javier “Chicharito” Hernández.
Since the tournament began in 1991, these countries have squared off eight times in the Gold Cup final. In their last matchup, the USMNT pitched a shutout against Mexico (1-0) in August 2021. Miles Robinson played hero ball, tallying a header in extra time to stun Mexico and hand the United States its seventh trophy.
Unsurprisingly, Mexico and the U.S. have owned this tournament. They’ve combined for 17 of 18 possible Gold Cups, with Canada stealing the other.
USA-Mexico Betting Tips: Shop Around
Odds shopping, otherwise known as price shopping, is a tactic used by bettors to discover the best possible odds or lines for their bet of choice.
For instance, a bet on the USMNT to win in regular time is +175 at Caesars Sportsbook. This operator provides plenty of fantastic odds daily, but it never hurts to sign up for more than one book.
Over at DraftKings Sportsbook, the same wager is +210. By converting these odds to implied probability, the Americans have a 32.3% chance of cashing in this ticket. However, if you believe the wrong team is favored to control this match, the latter odds provide a bigger edge.
At the moment, the best odds of Mexico lifting the trophy are -135, equivalent to a 57.5% implied probability.
Best of luck with your bets on USA-Mexico odds!
How To Watch USA vs. Mexico
- Start Time: Sunday, July 6 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: FOX
USMNT Projected Starting Lineup (4-2-3-1)
- Freese; Freeman, Richards, Ream, Arfsten; Berhalter, Adams; McGlynn, Tillman, Luna; White
Mexico Projected Starting Lineup (4-3-3)
- Malagón; Sánchez, Montes, Vásquez, Chávez; Álvarez, Ruiz, Rodríguez; Alvarado, Vega, Jiménez
