Get Commanders Vs. Lions player prop odds and picks for the 9/18/22 matchup. Find updated player prop odds below.
Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions Player Prop Search Tool
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Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions Player Prop Picks
This week’s matchup between the Commanders and Lions might feature two underwhelming passers in Carson Wentz and Jared Goff, but it has one of the higher over-under totals of the week and provides plenty of intriguing storylines. This article will focus on the best available player prop values in this game. You can use the player prop search tool below to find the best values in your market.
Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 6.5 Receptions and Anytime TD
At a certain point, we have to start talking about Amon-Ra St. Brown as one of the best receivers in the NFL. In Week 1, he extended his streak of 8+ receptions to seven games, the longest in the NFL. If he does it again this week, he’ll tie Michael Thomas and Antonio Brown for the longest streak of all time.
All offseason, we heard about how St. Brown’s target share from the end of last season wasn’t sustainable and he wouldn’t have the same impact. However, he had a whopping 90% snap share, 95% route participation, and 32% target share in Week 1. His targets aren’t going anywhere.
Christian Kirk torched the Commanders out of the slot last week with six catches for 117 yards, and St. Brown will be occupying the same space for Detroit. The Commanders had no answers for Kirk, and they even let linebacker Jamin Davis get torched for three catches on three targets against him.
The only Washington defensive back that PFF graded close to above average in coverage last week was Darrick Forrest, a second-year fifth-round pick making his first career start. To be fair, Forrest earned PFF’s highest defensive grade among safeties, but it remains to be seen if that’s sustainable.
St. Brown also scored another touchdown on Sunday, bringing his streak to five straight games, and if he hits 8+ receptions and a touchdown again this week, he will be the first receiver in NFL history to have six straight games with both. Let’s bet on history this week against an incredibly vulnerable Washington secondary.
Antonio Gibson Over 21.5 Receiving Yards
After a rocky offseason for Antonio Gibson, he was heavily utilized in Week 1 to the tune of 58 rushing yards and 72 receiving yards (130 combined). Gibson had a PFF receiving grade of 85.6, the best among all running backs, and he was excellent running routes out of the backfield. Go figure – a collegiate wide receiver is a great route runner.
Antonio Gibson had a 19.5% target share in Week 1, played 49 snaps, and ran 27 routes on Carson Wentz’s 49 dropbacks. Meanwhile, J.D. McKissic ran 17 routes and played 31 snaps, significantly less than Gibson. McKissic had six opportunities to Gibson’s 22, and it’s clear that Gibson will get a large workload this season.
Perhaps most importantly, Gibson had 21 touches and didn’t have a single fumble. While Brian Robinson will likely return at some point this season, it won’t matter if Gibson keeps playing this well and doesn’t fumble the ball. Regardless, Gibson should keep producing against a Lions’ defense that just allowed Miles Sanders to average 7 yards per touch.
Gibson had 26.1% of last year’s receiving production accomplished in just one game, but he’s not done yet. He’s now averaging 30 receiving yards per game over his last five outings, and his involvement in the passing game will continue in what’s projected to be a high-scoring game against a poor defense. The player prop market hasn’t caught up yet.