Washington Commanders Super Bowl Odds 2023
The Commanders entered the 2022 season with hopes of improvement after finishing 7-10 in 2021. Washington traded for Carson Wentz in an attempt to upgrade from Taylor Heinicke, who showed his limitations down the stretch last season. The Commanders also took care of one important piece of business in the offseason, locking Terry McLaurin into a lucrative contract extension. Still, their Super Bowl odds entering the season were not promising, with the Commanders and Giants clearly a step behind the Cowboys and Eagles in the NFC East. For a franchise that hasn’t won a single playoff game since 2005, even the Commanders’ best case scenario has never looked likely to turn into a Super Bowl run.
Washington Commanders Super Bowl Odds & Futures
The Commanders have a legitimate chance at reaching the playoffs, but their Super Bowl odds are still near the middle of the pack as they look to overcome their offensive inconsistency.
Washington Commanders Odds Analysis
As it turns out, Carson Wentz was not the solution in Washington. When the Commanders were 1-4 through five games, Ron Rivera’s team seemed destined for a last-place finish in the NFC East. An injury to Wentz gave way to Taylor Heinicke, who has turned out to be exactly what the Commanders needed.
While a last place finish in the division is still possible, Washington is set to play meaningful games into January after rattling off some big wins – including one against the Eagles.
What does this mean for the Commanders’ Super Bowl odds? Their odds sit as the 14th-best among all teams even as they hold a playoff spot. That’s a dramatic improvement from early in the season, but the odds still qualify as distant. While the Commanders have won big games, the offense hasn’t been convincing. Heinicke’s lows have been as low as his highs, and Washington has had to rely on some late-game magic just to take down some questionable opponents. While the running game is starting to gain momentum with rookie Brian Robinson Jr. rounding into form, it’s very unlikely the Commanders have the passing game to keep up with the NFC’s best on a consistent basis.
The defensive line remains the anchor of the defense and should get better as Chase Young returns. Montez Sweat is also having a great bounce-back year. Both the pass defense and run defense have been about average this season, but that’s unlikely to be enough to carry a lackluster offense to many wins in January. If the Commanders can reach the playoffs, though, this season will be viewed as a pretty big success.
Reasons Why the Commanders Can Win the Super Bowl
- The offense is becoming more dangerous as Brian Robinson Jr. emerges
- Washington’s defensive line is loaded with Chase Young set to return
Reasons Why the Commanders Can’t Win the Super Bowl
- Taylor Heinicke is much too inconsistent for a deep playoff run
- Middle-of-the-pack defense can’t be trusted to overcome shaky offense
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