The Wizards reshaped their roster by trading Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Ish Smith for Monte Morris and Will Barton. Losing Caldwell-Pope’s perimeter defense stings, but Barton provides perimeter scoring and Morris addresses their nagging point guard issue. The addition of Delon Wright aids their point guard problem as well. Washington also drafted Johnny Davis with the 10th pick. He will add ball handling and playmaking while boosting their point of attack defense.
Washington Wizards NBA Championship Odds & Futures 2022-23
The current odds for Washington futures are located in the table below. It includes championship, conference, division, playoff, and win total odds for the Wizards.
|Washington Wizards NBA Championship Odds & Futures||Odds (Updated February 2023)|
|2023 NBA Championship Odds|
|Eastern Conference Winner Odds|
|Southeast Division Winner Odds|
|Regular Season Win Total Odds|
|Odds To Reach Playoffs|
The Wizards are stuck in an undesirable location: a mediocre team that cannot win multiple series or secure excellent lottery odds. Their roster has a few solid pieces, but they lack the talent to make a serious run in the brutal Eastern Conference. At their absolute peak, Washington could be a nuisance to a premier contender in the first round. However, it would require health luck and multiple leaps from their young talent.
Washington shares a division with Miami, Atlanta, Charlotte, and Orlando. The Magic are not a threat, and it’s feasible for the Wizards to pass the Bridges-less Hornets. The Heat and upgraded Hawks remain a serious problem though, so the Wizards division odds are unattractive.
Their projected regular season win total is slightly low, which means value can be found there. A core of Beal, Kristaps, Kuzma, Barton, and Morris has a realistic chance to win 38-42 games, especially considering the deep bench. Health is a major obstacle because of Kristaps and Rui, but the collective talent is enough to favor the over. Therefore, the plus odds for the over are attractive.
Reasons Why Washington Wizards Can & Can’t Win NBA 2022-23 Championship
- Ball Security: The Wizards ranked 7th in assist to turnover ratio (1.91) and 11th in turnover percentage (13.3%). They made smart passes and rarely lost games because of turnovers. Washington upgraded this area even further over the off-season. Monte Morris possesses elite ball security. He turned in an impressive 4.27 assist to turnover ratio last season. For context, Chris Paul was the only player in the NBA to at least match Morris’ ratio and usage percentage. Delon Wright didn’t have quite the same usage percentage, but he had a fantastic 4.18 ratio. Look for Washington to avoid mistakes and limit opponent points off of turnovers.
- Three-Point Shooting: They ranked 26th in 3PT%, but the Wizards actually have talented outside shooters at every position. Morris, Barton, and Kispert are snipers from deep, while Beal has the capability to sink off the dribble contested threes. The frontcourt can also space the floor, as Hachimura shot a 44.7 3PT% on 2.9 3PA. Porzingis (36.7%) and Kuzma (34.1%) had solid percentages, but their talent exceeds those values. Overall, the starting lineup will feature five respectable shooters, which is rare.
- Depth: Washington has a deep and reliable bench. Delon Wright and Johnny Davis bring ball handling and playmaking, while Kispert and Rui provide shot making. Avdija is a solid secondary playmaker for his size, and Gafford locks down the paint on defense. The Wizards bench isn’t elite, but it will hang with the vast majority of opposing benches.
- Perimeter Defense: The Wizards were 24th in spot up defense and 20th in pick and roll ball handler defense. To make matters worse, they lost their best perimeter defender (Caldwell-Pope) for two subpar defenders in Morris and Barton. Washington drafted Davis because of his elite defense, but he’s an unknown commodity at this point. Beal lacks the talent and motor to make a difference on the defensive end, so the Wizards have a scarcity of perimeter defenders. Opponents will once again shred this shoddy defense.
- Pull Up Shooting: They had a paltry 42.9 eFG% on pull up jumpers, which ranked 25th in the NBA. Beal is a crafty scorer off the dribble, but the Wizards lack reliable players in this department. Kuzma was inefficient, and Barton couldn’t consistently create separation. The Wizards have a plethora of catch and shoot threats; however, they may struggle to recover from broken plays when the shot clock is winding down. This flaw will ultimately limit Washington’s offensive ceiling.
- Health: Porzingis is the biggest concern, as he has only played in 66.8% of regular season games over the past three seasons. His knees are extremely worrisome given his 7’3” frame and previous ACL injury. If he cannot play, then the Wizards lose an impact player on both ends of the court. Hachimura, meanwhile, has dealt with a variety of injuries throughout his three-year career. Overall, Rui has managed to play in 65% of games, which is concerning for someone as young as him.
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