When looking through the fantasy points allowed to kickers page, you will notice all the production stats. Starting with field goals made and field goal attempts, these are the driving numbers to producing fantasy points. Volume is the main goal here, but of course, you can't get fantasy points without making the kick. You will see the essential fantasy points per game and fantasy points allowed stats that show where each defense rank. Each set of ten-yard kicks is going to have a different score, so showing the number of kicks the defense has allowed can help narrow down how those fantasy points got there.
Extra points are also shown here to help you gauge how teams are allowing their fantasy points. If a defense allows a lot of touchdowns and extra points, they might not be allowing a lot of field goal attempts. This can be negative for a kicker at times if they hit four extra points in a game and have no chance at anything else. The top tab shows you the scoring formats and site formats, but kickers are generally going to score the same throughout most of the default settings. If not, then you are covered. If you are looking at a specific period, you can use the weekly slider to pinpoint the exact range you want to see.
What Factors Into A Defense Allowing More Fantasy Points To Kickers
Allowing fantasy points to kickers has very little to do with the opposing kickers that they face. In fact, out of all the positions for fantasy, this has very little to do with the scheduling for their team. Where in other positions, a string of good running backs can inflate a score. There are a few main reasons for breaking down how defenses allow a lot of fantasy points to kickers. For one, their defense overall is not very good. Teams that have weak defenses let teams march down the field on them, and that equates to a potentially high volume of field goal attempts. Many of the defensive issues come in the passing game, where they allow teams to move quickly and in more extensive chunk plays. Some of the defenses that allowed the most fantasy points to kickers also had bottom ten pass defenses.
Good defenses can also still allow fantasy points to kickers. We have seen the bend don't break style where they allow more field goals because they are excellent when it comes to forcing teams to kick three points. In 2019 the Denver Broncos allowed the 5th most fantasy points but had a top-ranked defense as well. They allowed a lot of volume because teams found themselves settling for field goals more often.
Teams that are run-based teams and are often playing with a high time of possession are going to make it tricky to get volume. Those teams that play faster or are giving up lots of time of possession will chip in with allowing volume. Defenses have very little to do with efficiency numbers, as that has more to do with the weather effects and the overall talent of the kicker.
What Factors Into A Defense Allowing Fewer Fantasy Points To Kickers
Most of the top tier defenses in the league are also not going to allow a lot of kicker production against them. There will be some outliers as mentioned above, but for the most part, those top ten defenses are also not allowing kicker production. This is because they are not allowing enough movement into their own territory. Teams that make it tough to move the ball against you are also not going to let much field goal attempt volume against. They will also not see those extra point additions as well. Keeping the amount down is the most significant way to shut down an opposing kicker. Ways of doing this begins with the defense, but offenses can take overtime of possession and not allow games to have a ton of scoring in general.
Teams are also going to force teams to be more aggressive. When they win or feel the need to go for it on those close-downs, then forgoing the field goal attempt is an optimal choice for the team. However, it is not optimal if you need fantasy points from your kicker. Teams will have some luck certainly go towards them, as the kickers they face might hit only 70% of the kicks against you. Defenses won't have much control over this unless they are blocking an above-average amount of field goals.
There is undoubtedly going to be some variance in these departments, especially throughout the first half of the season. That is why it is essential to understand that you are searching for teams allowing more volume over actual efficiency numbers. A team might give up five attempts, but a kicker hits two of them. The fantasy points won't be there, but positive regression will be the next time they give up another five attempts.
Using Fantasy Points Allowed To Stream Kickers
Fantasy points allowed to kickers can be useful in addition to other research for helping you choose your kickers based on matchup. Streaming kickers are extremely popular because you can rotate each week or every few weeks with the kicker in the best matchup. You are often not reaching for those kickers earlier in drafts, so more sense to load up elsewhere and deal with the easily disposable position. When you are streaming kickers, you will want to first look for kickers who are getting their volume on their own. That can be from a team struggling in the red zone, or a kicker just on a team that is pointing up points in bunches.
After you have narrowed down some kickers worthy of using, finding the best matchup is next. Fantasy points allowed won't tell you the whole story with kickers, especially early in the year. There are a few things you will want to use, and they often will correlate with fantasy points allowed towards the end of the year. So when you are looking during Week 7, look for these things instead of just fantasy points allowed. Find teams that are allowing a lot of field goal attempts against them.
You are going to want to see how those attempts have come because two weird games where they allowed ten total field goal attempts compared to 1-2 every time else is going to be misleading. Teams with lousy pass defenses and find themselves in high-scoring games will be a kicker's dream for fantasy points. Those higher Vegas totals in addition to fantasy and production stats allowed against them are going to be an excellent combo to find out those plus matchups for kickers.
Why Is There High Variance Each Year In Fantasy Points Allowed To Kickers?
We might see some teams allow a lot of fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks for a few years before their defense improves, and the same goes for other positions. There is a longer track record of those teams struggling before they quickly flip the switch and stop allowing for fantasy points. That is not the case for kickers, where fantasy points allowed vary year to year with different teams. Now the top defenses have been more steady in terms of not letting this production, but average and below-average defenses have flipped all over the place in fantasy points allowed of late.
There is an easy explanation for this, and that is because events that lead to field goals, touchdowns, and turnovers are high variance themselves. A team's defense could be in the same scenarios for three seasons but have different scores against them. The volume against teams is going to change each year, no matter what they do personnel-wise. This is why we can't go off of last year's numbers. Instead, we need to be looking at the things mentioned above. The past here is not a predictor of the future. We can do our best to keep trusting the process by attacking teams who give up a lot of volume.
Who Allowed The Most Fantasy Points To Kickers In 2019?
Tampa Bay allowed the most fantasy points to opposing kickers last season, allowing 149 total fantasy points. They allowed over nine fantasy points per game. Kickers had 38 extra points made, and 37 overall field goals made against the Buccaneers.
Who Allowed The Fewest Fantasy Points To Kickers In 2019?
The Buffalo Bills allowed the fewest fantasy points to kickers in 2019. Kickers averaged just 4.3 fantasy points per game and 69 total points. Kickers struggled to miss ten field goals against Buffalo, and there was not much volume against either.
How Do Defenses Allow Fantasy Points To Kickers?
Holding teams to a field goal can be viewed as a good thing, but in fantasy, they still allow points to kickers. Defenses will allow points through field goals made and extra points made against. The distance of the field goal will also equal more points based on how far.
A team with a bad defense is going to allow a lot of extra points, and the Raiders allowed 51 extra points made. They allowed the fourth-fewest field goal attempts because their defense allowed more conversions than stops in their territory.