Alshon Jeffery Fantasy Football Outlook & Value 2019

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Alshon Jeffery played 13 games last season, and had a similar season to his first year in Philadelphia. Jeffery isn’t the highest upside wideout anymore, and his time in Philly is going to be spread out just like every other position. The plus side of Jeffery is that the touchdown production can be rather consistent. If you are high on Carson Wentz, you should be high on Jeffery being a viable WR2 or even WR3 if you are loading up on wideouts heading into 2019.

2018 Fantasy Recap

The first year in Philly, Alshon Jeffery struggled to get much going because of the sub 50% catch rate. A lot of that was because of erratic quarterback play. 2018 was better, and his red zone targets are always going to be a plus. This gives him a chance to be a 7-8 touchdown guy on a yearly basis. Jeffery’s catch rate jumped to 70% last season, which was a career high. He also had the highest amount of receptions since 2014. Catching 15 touchdowns in his first two years in Philly is no surprise. He is a big body in the red zone, and the Eagles know how to get him the ball in that area. Jeffery posted a top 30 fantasy season among wideouts, and that is likely to happen again if he can remain healthy.

2019 Fantasy Outlook

The Eagles offense has a bit of a problem in terms of getting consistent targets and touches. However, that isn’t really the case for Jeffery. Targets are reliable for him in this offense, especially down in the red zone. He would have been over 100 targets if he had played the full season. Jeffery could certainly close in on 1,000 yards in a ceiling year, and the touchdowns are going to be there. There is no hesitation using him as a WR2 this year and feeling comfortable about it. Jeffery saw the second most red zone targets on the team behind Zach Ertz, and that was missing three games. He had six red zone touchdowns on eight red zone completions. Jeffery posted similar numbers in 2018.

Only five players converted at least 35% of their red zone targets into TDs over the past three seasons (among 57 players with 30+ red zone targets):

1. Cam Brate (45% red zone TD rate)
2. Jordy Nelson (37%)
3. Davante Adams (36%)
4. Eric Ebron (36%)
5. Alshon Jeffery (35%)

— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) April 6, 2019

Draft & Auction Value

I feel Alshon Jeffery is somewhat undervalued, yet his ADP and auction value is about right. A guy with 8-10 touchdown upside and 900-1000 receiving yards in this range is going to be a plus. Jeffery is flirting with the end of the sixth round and early seventh. He fits in a WR2 range if you are waiting to fill that void. While he is flirting with 30 years old and a potential slide into a more WR3 role for fantasy, Jeffery still remains a solid fantasy threat. You can make the case for some of the younger guys around his ADP, but Jeffery is one of the safer ways to get exposure to this Eagles offense.