Dak Prescott Fantasy Football Outlook & Value 2019

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Ranking: QB15, ADP: 12.01, Auction Value($200): $22, Team: DAL, BYE: Week 8

Dak Prescott: “My expectations are high. Not necessarily any ceiling on what I can do or what this team can do. It’s just been about work. … Working to get better in every aspect of my game, making sure my teammates are doing the same. We’re excited for the position we’re in.”

— Jon Machota (@jonmachota) June 23, 2019

A few days ago, Dak Prescott via Jon Machota on Twitter stated that My expectations are high. Not necessarily any ceiling on what I can do or what this team can do. It’s just been about work. … Working to get better in every aspect of my game, making sure my teammates are doing the same. We’re excited for the position we’re in.” This season, we’ll see exactly what position he’s set to be in when fantasy owners look for him to finally break out and for his expectations to match ours.

Last year, the Dallas Cowboys ranked as the 22nd offense despite all their weapons. In the passing game, they were 23rd in passing yards and 22nd in passing TDs. All of those were heavily Dak Prescott’s fault as he failed to deliver in the big moments. The offensive unit was lead by WR1 Amari Cooper who will return for his second year in Dallas after coming over from the Silver and Black. Complimenting the offense is running back, Ezekiel Elliot, who’s expected to be drafted in the first round in many fantasy drafts.

Upside

Though Prescott didn’t have the best season last year by any means, there remains potential for him to finally have a breakout year. The pressure has been mounting for America’s team for years and Prescott finally has a new #1 wide receiver since his days of Dez Bryant were over. Last year, passed for 3,884 yards and 22 TDs. If he can truly break out, his ceiling should be around 4,100 yards and 28 TDs.

Floor

Though his numbers last year may look nice, there’s one thing I ommitted. In 2018, Prescott also had 8 interceptions only passed for more than 300 yards in 2 games. That might limit his potential as Dallas likes to feature Elliot’s running game as their main point of attack. Prescott’s floor should be similar to his 2018 numbers if he continues to receive the same amount of opportnities as last season. His floor should be approximately 3,500 yards and 20 TDs which doesn’t exactly make him draftable, especially as a starter.

What to Expect

Prescott is currently rated as the 15th overall player at his position with an average draft position in the 12th round. His auction value with a $200 budget is projected to be $22. Comparing his value with the other players you could draft in the same round, Prescott’s $22 price tag seems like a huge overpay. I’d much rather get Cousins in the same round or any of Rivers, Trubisky, and Newton for cheaper prices. After what he did last season, there shouldn’t be any reason to pay that much for Prescott in your auction draft.

If you’re drafting Prescott in the 12th round, there may be some potential to keep him on the bench for potential. However, if Prescott’s all that’s available for you as a starter, I might be trying to explore some trade options. Overall, Presocott is a decent low risk, high reward draft pick as a backup and high risk, low reward pick for a starting QB.

Prescott is projected to have a fairly decent year with 3,800 passing yards and 23 TDs. That puts him in line with more or less the same stat line as last season. While those aren’t great stats at the QB position, most waiver wire players won’t have the potential he has. If you have a pick to spare and could use a backup QB, Prescott’s your guy.