Joe Mixon Fantasy Football Outlook & Value 2019

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Position Ranking– RB11, ADP– 1.11, Auction Value ($200)– $53, Team– CIN, Bye– 9

The Cincinnati Bengals struggled last season en route to a 6-10 finish. They were especially bad at defense but finished as the 17th ranked offense. They were 21st in rushing yards and 16th in rushing TDs. Look for another season where the Bengals run the wide receiver set led by AJ Green along with their tight end Tyler Eifert and running back Joe Mixon.

Upside

After playing in a split backfield with Giovanni Bernard, Mixon finally got the spotlight in 2018. He was the feature back in the Bengals backfield and racked up 1,168 rushing yards and 8 TDs in what was his best year to date. He’ll obviously look for a repeat performance as the Bengals main three points of attack on offense are him, receiver Green, and tight end Eifert. However, Andy Dalton isn’t necessarily known as the best quarterback in the league and there will likely be a large amount of carries alloted to Mixon each game. I could forsee a season of 1,300 rushing yards and 10 TDs en route to an even better 2019.

Floor

The floor for Mixon is actually fairly high based on his ability to be a factor in both the running and passing game. He average around 16 carries per game last year despite not playing a full season. Should teams beging stacking hte box, Mixon might have a problem getting out into open space and into the secondary. With QB Dalton throwing 11 picks last year, that might be a legitamate possibility. The only play that could concern fantasy owners if Cincinnati’s quarterback play and not Mixon, himself. At worst, you’ll get a 900 rushing yard running back and 6 TDs.

.@Bengals @Joe_MainMixon could be in the “MIX” to lead the league in rushing and all purpose yards. He is that good and if he plays all 16…. lookout! #BaldysBreakdowns pic.twitter.com/MZUTsugw9b

— Brian Baldinger (@BaldyNFL) June 14, 2019

What to Expect

Mixon is currently ranked as the 11th running back off the board and holds an auction value of $53. He’s currently projected to have 1st round draft value. Mixon broke out last year and became a force in both the running and passing game. The question remains on whether he can keep up that production and if he can remain healthy for a full season. While the health question is anyone’s guess, he’ a great draft day option as he can affect the game in both ways. Last season, he averaged over 100 total yards per game, more than any other Bengal on the roster.

Mixon is being drafted among the elite tier of running backs and deservingly so. He enters the year right on the bottom tier of RB1 status and has great numbers to back it up. He’s projected as the 11th pick off the board and I wouldn’t blame anyone for taking him even a pick or two earlier. He has potential to be a very solid RB1 if he can increase the rushing yards and maintain similar passing yards from last year.

Mixon is likely to make a great RB1 option for anyone’s fantasy team. He’s ranked among the likes of Le’Veon Bell, James Connor, and Dalvin Cook. That’s some great company and it’s likely personal preference that determines where Mixon gets taken this year. His auction value of $53 appears to be a bit high given the amount other runnnings backs are going for. Ezekiel Elliot is going for just $2 more, Alvina Kamara is $4 cheaper, and the majority of high upside RB2s are over $10 less. In a season where RBs are going to cost a premium, I’d rather take a shot at 2 high end tier 2 backs than Mixon and a low end RB2/ high end RB3 with my budget.

Mixon is undoubtedly a great player both in fantasy and for his Bengals. If you can get him in the end of the 1st round, he’ll make for a worthy RB1 though I’d rather take him as my RB2 to be safe. The same goes for auction values where he’s just too expensive for my taste. If he were still available near the latter half of the second round or worth around $43, he’d be more up my alley. In 2019, Mixon will go for 1,100 rushing yards and 7 TDs.