Le’Veon Bell Fantasy Football Outlook & Value 2019

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The last full year we saw of Le’Veon Bell was 2017, and after sitting out for 2018, he got his contract with the New York Jets. Bell went from one of the best offenses, to not playing, to an rebuilding offense. There is some concern here with Bell’s injury history and also coming back after taking a year off. He is behind a poorer offensive line, yet his ADP doesn’t reflect much of this. The premium price tag is still attached, and his name value is likely behind that. Projections and rankings around the industry are rather high on Bell, but he comes with some red flags.

2018 Fantasy Recap

We have no recap of Le’Veon Bell for 2018, as it was a holdout year for him to get paid. This is a completely new team and situation for him, and also factoring in the off-year, it is hard to recap and expect similar results moving forward. 2017 Bell had 11 total touchdowns, and over 300 attempts. It was an inefficient year for Bell, but the weekly volume got him there. He was also one of two running backs with over 100 targets. Bell should continue similar receiving production, and if the offensive line struggles, we could see similar inefficiencies.

2019 Fantasy Outlook

Projecting Le’Veon Bell has been a fun one, where he has more going against him than for him. It isn’t a bad schedule for him, although playoff weeks are tough against top ten defenses. His middle of the year stretch will sit against bottom half run defenses. However, as mentioned in the tweet below, there is some concern about the offensive line holding up for him compared to the offensive lines he has had in the past. Even if the efficiency isn’t there, the volume should carry him to a top ten RB finish. New York doesn’t have primed wideouts, and Sam Darnold could easily use Bell as a nice safety blanket. There wasn’t much receiving upside with the Jets the last few years, but that will change with Bell’s presence. He should be solid on a week to week basis, but it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him have struggling games where that touchdown doesn’t push his fantasy score to the next tier.

#Steelers OL rank in FootballOutsiders’ adjusted offensive line yards in Le’Veon Bell’s last four seasons: 6th, 8th, 3rd, 7th

Last year, the #Jets ranked 32nd in FO’s line yards, 26% of their carries were stopped at/behind the LOS (last), and NY was 28th in yards before contact.

— Graham Barfield (@GrahamBarfield) July 15, 2019

Draft & Auction Value

Things get tricky with Le’Veon Bell, as you may have drafted him in 2017 and started out your season horribly. Bell is going in the back half of the first round. I am not in love with him this year, and the news of Melvin Gordon and Ezekiel Elliot’s holdout potential this year could move Bell up the ladder. If things are looking dicey for Elliot or Gordon, I don’t mind grabbing Bell in this spot. He is in a mix of grabbing one of the top WRs as well, and then a possible turnaround of the next group of running backs. This is the strategy I prefer. In auctions, Bell is only finding his way onto rosters with a slight discount. At this rate right now, we are not getting that discount.