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I will take a look at the worst defenses of Week 7 and provide an in-depth look on borderline names to get a bump or just overall strong matchups where we could see ceiling games from players. If you are looking for player rankings for Week 7, you can find them here, as well as waiver wire adds. Anything fantasy football related can be found here. For this week, we have defenses like Miami and Cincinnati that provide bumps to offenses that may not be the most noteworthy offenses in the league. Patrick Peterson is due back for the Cardinals, which will help what has been a poor pass defense this season. Jalen Ramsey might debut for the Rams this week, and that would certainly give them a bump.
Los Angeles Rams @ Atlanta Falcons
Coming off a horrendous performance against the 49ers, the Rams go on the road to take on an Atlanta secondary that is struggling big time. Since Keanu Neal went down, the Falcons have allowed 13 passing touchdowns in the last four games, and have allowed 300+ passing yards in three of the four games. Marcus Mariota put up 25.6 fantasy points, Jacoby Brissett 23.9, and Kyler Murray last week put up 32.2. We also had Deshaun Watson mixed in with 46 fantasy points. The Falcons are ranked as the second worst pass defense, and the 7th best rush defense. Given the state of the Rams rushing attack, we should expect Jared Goff to air it out this week. The Rams and Falcons are both averaging over 40 passing attempts per game.
All three of the wideouts are in consideration to finish inside the top ten. Cooper Kupp has been fantastic, and leads all Rams wideouts with 69 targets, 522 yards, a 70% catch rate, and four touchdowns. Time is coming for Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods. This is going to be the breakout week for Woods, after a somewhat slow start. He is averaging 11.5 YPC, and has seen 51 targets.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals defense is on par with Miami as one of the worst in the league. The Bengals are allowing 26.5 points per game, and are bleeding fantasy points to most positions. Running backs have had a huge advantage against the Bengals this year. For one, game script is generally positive, two this is just a brutal defense. No starting running back has scored less than 15 PPR points against the Bengals so far this season. They have allowed three 20+ fantasy point games to running backs this season. Leonard Fournette is averaging 23.5 touches per game this season, and is due for some positive regression in the touchdown department.
While Cincinnati hasn’t allowed a lot of fantasy points towards quarterbacks and wide receivers, this is still a good spot for Garnder Minshew and company. Dede Westbrook popped up on the injury report, but DJ Chark has been the fantasy stud so far. One of the reasons for the lack of fantasy points is that they aren’t seeing a lot of passing volume, because teams are having so much success on the ground. They have also played some lower passing teams, outside of Arizona. Jacksonville has been a pretty balanced offense so far. Despite the fantasy points allowed numbers, the passing core is still a strong start.
Buffalo Bills Vs. Miami
Welp, I mean this is an easy one. However, Buffalo still has names that you might debate on starting this week. Frank Gore isn’t a high upside back, but the odds of him paying off this week are high. Miami ranks 30th against the run, and teams have just been running the ball heavily against them. Despite playing just five games, they have allowed the third most rushing attempts per game to opposing running backs, and 35 PPR points per game. They have allowed five 15+ fantasy point weeks to running backs so far this season, and I could see a similar line from Gore to Adrian Peterson’s last week, where he rushed for over 100 yards but couldn’t find the end zone. I’m big on Gore this week, especially if you need a plug and play for McCaffrey or Chubb.
John Brown is on the injury report now, which is a bummer if he truly isn’t 100%. Coming off a bye week he likely injured it in practice. Miami is allowing big games to quarterbacks, and Josh Allen had his way on the ground with this defense last season. The Dolphins have allowed at least two passing touchdowns in each week they have played so far, and quarterbacks have posted 36, 27, 27, 23, and 17 fantasy point games against the Dolphins defense. The 17 was Case Keenum.
San Francisco 49ers @ Washington Redskins
Another team where running backs have a high volume of rushing attempts against is Washington. They are allowing the 7th most, and are allowing the 5th most fantasy points per game. The 49ers are the most run heavy team, running the ball at a 57% clip, averaging 39 rushing attempts per game. Tevin Coleman is back, which pushes Matt Breida into a backend role, but both have standalone value this week. The disadvantage for Breida, is Coleman gets the red zone looks. Washington has the 24th ranked pass defense, and have allowed the 9th most receptions to tight ends. I’m not big on the wide receivers, but George Kittle and the running backs get a bump in this matchup.
New York Giants Vs. Arizona Cardinals
It is a great week for the returning Giants players, and thankfully they are back to take advantage of this matchup. Saquon Barkley is returning, and should be at a solid workload. The Cardinals don’t scream fantasy points allowed because the touchdowns have not come yet. However, they have allowed strong yards to struggling run offenses of late. Joe Mixon rushed for 93 yards in Week 5, and Devonta Freeman rushed for 88 yards in Week 6. Freeman had the two receiving touchdowns, where Mixon couldn’t find the end zone to make it a bigger day. Since Week 2 when they held both Kerryon Johnson and Mark Ingram to less than ten fantasy points, they have allowed 27.5, 18.5, 11.9, and 26.8 PPR point games.
Patrick Peterson is back, but we will see if he is in game shape and ready to go. Arizona has been getting crushed through the air, and rank 29th against the pass. They have allowed back to back 100-yard receiving games to Tyler Boyd and Julio Jones. Tight ends have enjoyed most of the numbers through the air against Arizona. For one they are allowing 46 receptions, which is tied with the Chiefs for the most. Cincinnati was the first week where they didn’t target tight ends against them. Targets for starting tight ends against the Cardinals by week have gone 9, 9, 7, 8, 4, and 8. Engram has averaged 9.6 targets per game when healthy this season, which is the highest among tight ends.
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