Week 11 QB Start, Sit: Quaterback Fantasy Football Strategy

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This week, there are a lot of quality QBs with a huge upside. Dual-threat QBs, like Lamar Jackson, Dak Prescott and Deshaun Watson, continue to be great fantasy options due to their success in both the passing and ground games. While there are other great QBs who are on a bye week, like Russell Wilson, you can find reliable replacements, like Josh Allen and possibly Jimmy Garoppolo. Fortunately for fantasy owners, there aren’t many bad options to select from in week 11. However, QBs like Jared Goff and Matt Ryan should be avoided unless you are in the deepest of leagues.

Start ‘em

Drew Brees

Opponent: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Drew Brees is averaging 343.3 passing yards per game in the three full games he’s played in this season. This season, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been focused on stopping the run rather than the pass. As a result, they are currently allowing 298.9 passing yards and 31 points a game, which are both the highest in the league, thus solidifying Brees as a high-end QB1.

Lamar Jackson

Opponent: Houston Texans

Lamar is a must-start QB1 regardless of his matchup for the rest of the season. Jackson is on pace to break the QB fantasy point record and has excelled against strong defenses like the New England Patriots. Jackson has scored 25+ points in 67% of his games this year and has scored 20+ points in all but one of his games this year. The Texans are currently allowing 22.44 fantasy points to opposing QBs, which is the eighth-most in the league, setting Jackson up for a great fantasy day.

Dak Prescott

Opponent: Detriot Lions

Dak Prescott is a high-end QB1 option who currently has the fourth-most fantasy points amongst QBs this season. The Dallas Cowboys star QB presently has the third-most passing yards and 4th most passing TDs in the NFL, which projects well heading into week 11. The Lions are surrendering the 4th most passing yards/game, 6th most QBs fantasy points, and eighth-most total points per game. Dak has scored 20+ fantasy points in his last three games this season and will likely continue this streak after his game in Detroit.

Patrick Mahomes

Opponent: Los Angeles Chargers

After missing two weeks with a dislocated knee, Patrick Mahomes went off for 446 passing yards, three TDs, and no picks. The Chiefs signal-caller has scored 30+ points in half his games this season and hasn’t scored below 17 points in any of the games he’s entirely played in. While the Los Angeles Chargers defense restricts quarterbacks to the sixth-fewest fantasy points in the NFL, Patrick Mahomes’ floor is still higher than most QBs ceilings. As long as Mahomes is healthy, you’d be crazy to bench him in any given week.

Deshaun Watson

Opponent: Baltimore Ravens

Deshaun Watson is projected to be the second-best fantasy quarterback in 2019. The Texans QB currently has a fantastic 18:5 TD: INT ratio, and has scored 15+ fantasy points for five straight weeks. While the Baltimore Ravens are surrendering the 12th most passing yards to QBs this season, they are limiting offenses to the fifth-fewest passing TDs. Therefore, Watson is a modest QB1 option due to the red zone success of the Ravens.

Josh Allen

Opponent: Miami Dolphins

Even though Josh Allen is 26th amongst all qualifying QBs in terms of passing yards per game, he is a decent fantasy option due to his rushing production and success in the red zone. Allen has scored 15+ points in his last five games and excels against shoddy defenses like the Browns and Dolphins. The last time Allen played Miami, he threw for 202 yards and two touchdowns. Allen is a low-end QB1, but he is still a guy who can help you get an edge over your fantasy opponents in week 11.

Caution:

Kyler Murray

Opponent: San Francisco 49ers

Kyler Murray heads into week 11 for a rematch against a daunting 49ers defense that limits QBs to the second-lowest fantasy production in the NFL. The last time Murray played the Niners, he threw for 241 passing yards, two passing TDs, and ran for 34 rushing yards. Even though Murray currently has the eighth-most QB fantasy points per game, San Francisco limits offenses to 143.8 passing yards per game, which is the lowest in the NFL. Therefore, Kyler is an intriguing fantasy option with both a high ceiling and a low floor.

Jimmy Garoppolo

Opponent: Arizona Cardinals

If you are in desperate need of a QB to help fill in for a bye week, Jimmy G might be a suitable option. The last time Garoppolo played the Cardinals, he went off for a season-high 317 passing yards and four touchdowns. The Cardinals’ defense has allowed the most fantasy points to quarterbacks and allows the fifth-highest passer rating in the red zone. While he’s not a permanent fantasy solution, due to his extreme volatility, his red-zone success makes him a high-end QB2 option in week 11.

Sit ‘em

Carson Wentz
Opponent: New England Patriots

This will probably be the last time that Carson Wentz lands on this list. The former North Dakota St. Bison has played three straight games against three of the six stingiest defenses in terms of QB fantasy points. However, he will have his hardest matchup of 2019 when the Eagles host the Patriots on Sunday. To make matters worse, the Eagles receiving corps ranks in the top ten in terms of dropped passes, prompting Doug Pederson to shift to a run-heavy scheme. Therefore, Wentz should be avoided in most leagues for week 11.

Jared Goff

Opponent: Pittsburgh Steelers

Jared Goff is coming off a poor performance in which he threw two interceptions against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Goff is a quarterback whose production is heavily based on the matchup he plays against. When Goff goes against a top 11 defense against fantasy QBs, he averages 5.76 fantasy points. Against a stingy Bears’ defensive unit that limits QBs to the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game, Goff should be avoided entirely.

Matt Ryan

Opponent: Carolina Panthers

Matt Ryan is a low-end QB2 option against the Panthers and should only be started in the deepest of leagues. Ryan is currently the 13th best QB in terms of fantasy points, according to Yahoo Fantasy, and is going against a Panthers defense that has recorded the third-most interceptions. To make matters worse, Ryan’s offensive line allows the fifth-highest sack rate in the NFL, which is horrible news considering he’s going against a Panthers defense that has the most sacks in the NFL. Ryan just lost his second-best pass catcher, making a QB to avoid in week 11.

  

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