Week 16 Fantasy Football PPR Rankings & Projections: Tyreek Hill In Line For A Monster Game

Week 16 is likely the championship week for fantasy football leagues around the world. The news is fairly quiet at the moment, but there are a few things to monitor. Ronald Jones hit the covid list and would be a top-ten back against that Detroit run defense. Julio Jones is week-to-week, and Keenan Allen hasn’t practiced early in the week. There are games scheduled across multiple days this week, but the Vikings and Saints will have the shorter week playing on Christmas. Those playing/facing Davante Adams, Aaron Rodgers, Derrick Henry, Josh Allen, or Stefon Diggs will have their championship sweats carry into the primetime games.

Week 16 Quarterback Rankings

Week 16 RankPlayerOpponentWeek 16 Projection
1Patrick MahomesATL24.2
2Lamar JacksonNYG22.3
3Aaron RodgersTEN21.9
4Kyler MurraySF21.2
5Deshaun WatsonCIN21.2
6Jalen HurtsDAL20.5
7Justin HerbertDEN20.3
8Tom Brady@DET19.8
9Josh AllenNE19.8
10Ryan Tannehill@GB19.6

Let us get right to it with Jalen Hurts and how he stacks up for Week 16. Dallas ranks 20th in DVOA against the pass and have allowed 30.9 points per game this season and 383 total yards per game. Philadelphia’s offense looks very good under Hurts, and I wouldn’t expect it to end this week against a soft Dallas secondary. Hurts jumps right into the top ten, and I would be starting him over plenty of quarterbacks this week. Someone I would be starting him over is Drew Brees. He sat outside the top-15 for me this week and looked rusty returning against the Chiefs. While this is a better matchup, I still don’t expect much of him in terms of upside. New Orleans should also handle this game and look to rely on the run. The tough question is Russell Wilson. He faces the Rams this week, who have allowed 19 points per game and 5.5 yards per pass. Wilson’s fantasy production has been very sluggish in the second half of the season.

Aaron Rodgers is in a great spot this week against a weak Titans secondary. The Titans rank 30th against the pass this season, and 64% of the Titans touchdowns allowed this season have come through the air. Rodgers is playing lights out this season, and I love him and Davante Adams in a big championship week. However, you would have had to overcome their Week 15 dud. It is a good matchup for Deshaun Watson this week, who has been great despite all the Texans continue to throw at him. He is QB6 on the season. The Bucs face a Detroit defense that ranks 31st against the pass. We won’t see the come from behind volume like has a week, but Brady should post top-ten numbers this week.

Week 16 Running Backs Rankings

Week 16 RankPlayerOpponentWeek 16 Projection
1Derrick Henry@GB20.2
2Alvin KamaraMIN19.2
3David Montgomery@JAX18.4
4Nick Chubb@NYJ17.9
5Aaron JonesTEN17.7
6Dalvin Cook@NO17.3
7Josh JacobsMIA16.9
8Austin EkelerDEN16.7
9Miles Sanders@DAL16.4
10Jonathan Taylor@PIT15.8

Alvin Kamara had an unlucky Week 5 but did produce another 90+ yard game and have a touchdown. Minnesota ranks 20th against the run this season and has allowed 593 rushing yards and five scores over the past five weeks. Kamara is a solid option once again. On the other side of this game, Dalvin Cook continues his strong season but has a very tough matchup against the Saints run defense. They have allowed just six rushing touchdowns this season and the second-fewest fantasy points per game. That ceiling seems a bit lower this week, but he has consistently produced. Leonard Fournette had two one-yard touchdowns bail him out of a rather lackluster game, and Tampa came out and said Ronald Jones is a long shot for this week. This is a week where he can finish top-15 scoring against a Detroit defense allowing the most fantasy points per game to running backs.

David Montgomery is set for another big week as he continues his insane stretch. He is now RB6 on the season, and over the last five weeks, he is averaging 26.5 PPR points per game. He faces the Jaguars this week, who have allowed the third-most fantasy points per game on the year to running backs. Jonathan Taylor has been on a roll lately, ranking RB5 in the past five weeks. He gest the Steelers, who have been showing some cracks of late. To wrap it all up, Derrick Henry gets the Packers this week. Henry has 733 rushing yards in the last five games and faces a Packers defense allowing the 5th most fantasy points to running backs.

Week 16 Wide Receivers Rankings

Week 16 RankPlayerOpponentWeek 16 Projection
1Davante AdamsTEN20.4
2Tyreek HillATL19.8
3Calvin Ridley@KC18.5
4DeAndre HopkinsSF17.2
5Robert Woods@SEA16.8
6Allen RobinsonJAX16.6
7DK MetcalfLAR16.4
8Brandon Aiyuk@ARI16.1
9Stefon Diggs@NE15.9
10AJ Brown@GB15.7

DK Metcalf is certainly a hot topic alongside the rest of the Seattle options. They face the Rams, who are coming off a humiliating loss and need to win this week. The Rams have allowed the fewest fantasy points per game to wide receivers this season. This is a bigger knock to Tyler Lockett, who has been very quiet most weeks, where DK Metcalf is an alpha WR1. He remains a top ten option but does project a bit lower. On the other side of that game, I do like Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp against a better secondary, but it seems to be more matchup-based. They have still allowed the most fantasy points per game to wide receivers. Atlanta isn’t far behind them, and they have to travel to Kansas City to take on Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs this week. Tyreek Hill is your current leader in scoring, and that should continue.

The matchup for Stefon Diggs and the Bills got a bit easier this week without Stefon Gilmore. Diggs has been on a roll with a 111-1314-5 line this season. I love him once again with the high volume. AJ Brown will have a tough matchup against the Packers and likely see quite a bit of Jaire Alexander. Brown is still a strong play but will likely need that big play or two to make up for the volume. Davante Adams is in a tremendous spot as he faces the Titans secondary that is bottom five against the pass and allowing the third-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers this season.

Week 16 Tight Ends Rankings

Week 16 RankPlayerOpponentWeek 16 Projection
1Travis KelceATL16.5
2Darren WallerLV15.4
3TJ HockensonTB14.2
4Mark AndrewsNYG13.4
5Logan ThomasCAR12.9
6Noah Fant@LAC11.2
7Robert TonyanTEN10.8
8Jonnu Smith@GB10.5
9Hunter HenryDEN10.2
10Hayden Hurst@KC9.4

George Kittle could potentially return this week. I still find it a bit odd with the 49ers eliminated, and the injury is enough to keep him out multiple weeks. He is left out of the rankings but would be a top-five option if he is truly ready to roll. Travis Kelce is coming in as the easy number one target again this week. The Falcons have allowed the 5th most fantasy points per game to tight ends this season. TJ Hockenson continues to have a strong year with a 60-675-6 line. He gets the Bucs, who have allowed 14.5 PPR points per game to tight ends. Logan Thomas has been tremendous this season and red hot of late. I love the matchup this week against Carolina, who have allowed a 78-789-7 line to tight ends this season.

Week 16 Kicker Rankings

Week 16 RankPlayerOpponentWeek 16 Projection
1Justin TuckerNYG9.7
2Tyler Bass@NE9.6
3Harrison ButkerATL9.5
4Wil LutzMIN9.4
5Younghoe Koo@KC9.3
6Ryan Succop@DET8.7
7Jason MyersLAR8.6
8Daniel CarlsonMIA8.4
9Mason CrosbyTEN8.4
10Jason Sanders@LV8.3

Tyler Bass has been on a real roll this season and is now up to K2 on the season in scoring. He has averaged 8.9 fantasy points per game on the year, and I love him again this week against New England. Buffalo’s offense has moved the ball well, and the Patriots defense has struggled against the league’s better offenses. Mason Crosby should be involved in a high scoring game this season. The only reason the Titans have not allowed many points to kickers in comparison to other teams is that they continuously allow touchdowns. Crosby has a safe floor this week. Justin Tucker is in a strong spot against the Jaguars, who have allowed the 5th most fantasy points per game. Chiefs and Falcons should be a high scoring game that features both Harrison Butker and Younghoe Koo.

Week 16 Defense Rankings

Week 16 RankingsTeamOpponentWeek 16 Projection

Cleveland BrownsThere are a couple of defenses that stand out this week. The Browns have a real chance to improve their playoff position and could steal the division away as they face the Jets and the Steelers take on the Colts.  New York has allowed the 8th most fantasy points to defenses this season. The Bears will take on the Jaguars in a game where they should rebound on the defensive side. Chicago does still have a playoff spot to play for but needs some help from other teams. Buffalo on Monday night is a great spot against the Patriots and their lackluster offense. They have struggled to protect Cam Newton at times and have no offerings in the passing game.

Jason has been playing fantasy football for 20 years, starting back when Marshall Faulk was the top fantasy pick. He is well versed in various fantasy formats, from dynasty to super-flex. Jason not only enjoys playing, but helping others further their game.

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